SwitzerlandSion - SwitzerlandFinished

Predictions graded

Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg #891Switzerland0Geoffrey Blancaneaux #365France2

Sets 3-6 · 4-6Wed 19 Aug 2026, 11:30 Predictions gradedSecond RoundClay

Predictions2–433%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageGeoffrey Blancaneaux · 526 places

Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg

Switzerland

Swiss right-hander born 13 February 2002. ITF lists clay and hard as his preferred surfaces; public ranking records place his singles career high at No. 814 in October 2025.

Current ranking: #891
Peak ranking: #814 · 2025
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: Clay, Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Geoffrey Blancaneaux

France

French right-hander whose ATP singles career high is No. 134, reached in November 2022. ITF lists clay as his preferred surface.

Current ranking: #365
Peak ranking: #134 · 2022
Current age: 27
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 18 Aug 2026, 22:19 · Europe/Bucharest

Blancaneaux is the favorite based on superior clay form and return game, but the odds are too short for value.

The match is likely to be competitive, making over 21.5 total games the best betting angle. Von Der Schulenburg's recent form is promising but lacks sample size.

Context

Blancaneaux last-15 clay record is 11-3 (78.6%) with 60.1% games won.
- He has won 8 of his last 10 matches overall, all on clay.
- His return points won on clay is 44.7%, well above Von Der Schulenburg's 38.2%.
Von Der Schulenburg last-15 clay record is 4-1, but only 5 matches tracked.
- His overall last-15 record is 8-7 (53.3%), showing inconsistency across surfaces.
- His clay return points won is 38.2%, significantly lower than Blancaneaux's 44.7%.
Blancaneaux return points won on clay: 44.7% (14 matches tracked).
- Von Der Schulenburg return points won on clay: 38.2% (5 matches tracked).
- Blancaneaux also converts break points at 48.6% on clay versus 39.4% for Von Der Schulenburg.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Lean

Geoffrey Blancaneaux

1.22fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 82%

0.0ppshort

Blancaneaux's superior clay sample and return game support his favoritism, but the odds imply a much higher probability than the model estimate.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Blancaneaux's larger clay sample and superior return game give him the edge, though Von Der Schulenburg's recent clay form is strong.
- Blancaneaux last-15 clay record 11-3 (78.6%), games won 60.1%
- Von Der Schulenburg last-15 clay record 4-1 (80%), but only 5 matches tracked
- Blancaneaux ranking 365 vs Von Der Schulenburg 891
- Blancaneaux return points won on clay 44.7% vs Von Der Schulenburg 38.2%
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonGeoffrey BlancaneauxEstimated chance62%

Games0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Competitive matchup with both players capable of extending sets suggests a longer match.
- Blancaneaux average match duration 122.1 minutes last 15
- Von Der Schulenburg average match duration 98.3 minutes last 15
- Both players have multiple three-set matches in recent clay events
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have shown ability to keep first sets close, making over 9.5 games plausible.
- Blancaneaux recent clay sets often competitive (e.g., 7-5, 6-4)
- Von Der Schulenburg first sets have included tiebreaks and 7-5 scores
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Blancaneaux's consistent first-set performance and higher overall level support a slight edge in the opening set.
- Blancaneaux first-set win conversion 85% career
- Von Der Schulenburg first-set win conversion 89% career
- Blancaneaux won first set in 10 of last 15 matches
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonGeoffrey BlancaneauxEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Combined ace rates suggest a moderate total, with Von Der Schulenburg's serve contributing more.
- Von Der Schulenburg averages 4.2 aces per match on clay last 15
- Blancaneaux averages 2.6 aces per match on clay last 15
- Combined average 6.8 aces per match
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both players have moderate double fault rates, making over 5.5 a near coin-flip.
- Blancaneaux averages 3.0 double faults per match on clay last 15
- Von Der Schulenburg averages 2.4 double faults per match on clay last 15
- Combined average 5.4 double faults per match
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

The underdog price may look tempting given his recent clay form, but the matchup evidence strongly favors Blancaneaux.

Previous match context available

Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg

8W 7L

6-4 6-3#395Georgii Kravchenko

6-7(2) 6-3 6-2#529Luca Staeheli

6-7(5) 6-3 6-4—Andrin Casanova

6-1 6-3—Arthur Bellegy

5-7 6-2 6-2#404Arthur Nagel

4-6 6-2 7-6(3)—Flynn Thomas

7-6(3) 4-6 6-4#699Mirza Basic

6-4 7-6(1)—Jeremy Schifris

6-3 6-4#429Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

6-1 6-2—Ali Habib

6-4 6-4#607Karan Singh

6-2 6-4—James Van Herzeele

6-2 7-6(6)#254Felix Balshaw

6-3 3-6 6-3#420Johan Nikles

6-4 6-4#893Mathieu Scaglia

Geoffrey Blancaneaux

11W 4L

6-1 3-6 7-5#339Juan Estevez

6-4 6-4#348Michael Geerts

6-4 7-5—Noah Schlagenhauf

6-0 6-1—Sep De Visser

6-2 6-4#104Damir Dzumhur

6-1 6-2—Filip Krolo

2-6 6-4 6-2#472Jack Loge

5-7 6-2 6-4#711Vincent Marysko

7-6(5) 6-3—David Fix

6-0 6-3—Alessio Basile

6-1 6-2#570Yanis Ghazouani Durand

4-6 6-2 6-3—Mathys Domenc

6-2 6-0—Matisse Martin

7-6(4) 1-0 ret.#839Federico Coria

6-7(6) 6-3 6-2#529Luca Staeheli

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

JSJeffrey Von Der SchulenburgSchulenburg

Last 15

4–4

9 core stats · 1 even

Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneauxGB

Dead-even recent form — the edges are in pressure.

Serve · 3–1 · 1 even

1st Serve In59.5%+1.5pp61.0%

1st Serve Won71.1%+0.9pp70.2%

2nd Serve Won53.7%+4.1pp49.6%

Aces / Match3.2+0.82.4

Double Faults / Match2.7—2.9

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won37.4%+6.5pp43.9%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted42.9%+5.2pp48.1%

Break Pts Saved67.4%+7.4pp60.0%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won50.7%+2.2pp52.9%

Serve · 3–1 · 1 even

59.5%1st Serve In+1.5pp61.0%

71.1%1st Serve Won+0.9pp70.2%

53.7%2nd Serve Won+4.1pp49.6%

3.2Aces / Match+0.82.4

2.7Double Faults / Match—2.9

Return · 0–1

37.4%Return Pts Won+6.5pp43.9%

Pressure · 1–1

42.9%Break Pts Converted+5.2pp48.1%

67.4%Break Pts Saved+7.4pp60.0%

Points · 0–1

50.7%Total Pts Won+2.2pp52.9%