SwitzerlandSion - SwitzerlandFinished

Predictions graded

Georgii Kravchenko #388Ukraine0Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg #891Switzerland2

Sets 4-6 · 3-6Tue 18 Aug 2026, 14:00 Predictions gradedFirst RoundClay

Predictions0–60%

Edges0–20%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageGeorgii Kravchenko · 503 places

Georgii Kravchenko

Ukraine

Ukrainian right-hander born 28 July 2000. Public player pages list a career-best singles ranking of No. 371; no current injury, withdrawal, retirement, or medical-timeout report was found in the specified searches.

Current ranking: #388
Peak ranking: #371
Current age: 26
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg

Switzerland

Swiss right-hander born 13 February 2002. ITF lists clay and hard as his preferred surfaces; public ranking records place his singles career high at No. 814 in October 2025.

Current ranking: #891
Peak ranking: #814 · 2025
Current age: 24
Preferred surface: Clay, Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Aug 2026, 15:24 · Europe/Bucharest

Kravchenko is the clear favorite due to superior clay pedigree and return game, but the odds offer no value on the moneyline.

The match is likely competitive, with over 21.5 total games being the best lean. Avoid backing Von Der Schulenburg outright despite his recent clay wins.

Context

Kravchenko last 15 on clay: 9-6 record, 52.7% games won, 42.6% return points won.
- He lost to Alex Barrena (ranked 259) and Jakub Nicod (ranked 732) in his last five matches.
- His first-serve points won is 68.2%, which is solid but not overwhelming.
Von Der Schulenburg last 15 overall: 70.5% first-serve points won vs Kravchenko's 68.2%.
- He has won 3 of his last 4 clay matches, including a win over a top-500 player.
- His return points won is only 39.1%, which is a weakness, but his serve may compensate.
Von Der Schulenburg last 15 on clay: 3-1 record, but only 4 matches tracked.
- His career clay record is 53 wins and 53 losses, showing no strong surface edge.
- Kravchenko has 211 career clay wins, far more than Von Der Schulenburg's 53.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Lean

Georgii Kravchenko

1.35fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 74.1%

0.0ppshort

Kravchenko's superior clay-court pedigree and stronger return game give him a clear edge over the lower-ranked Swiss player.

Set 1 WinnerlostUncertainty band: Lean

Georgii Kravchenko

1.44fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 69.4%

0.0ppshort

Kravchenko's career first-set win conversion is strong, but the current odds overprice him relative to his recent form.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.35
The read
Kravchenko's superior clay-court pedigree and stronger return game give him a clear edge over the lower-ranked Swiss player.
- Kravchenko last 15 on clay: 9-6 record, 52.7% games won, 42.6% return points won
- Von Der Schulenburg last 15 overall: 8-7 record, 39.1% return points won
- Kravchenko ranking 395 vs Von Der Schulenburg 891
- Kravchenko career clay wins 211 vs Von Der Schulenburg 53
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostGeorgii KravchenkoEstimated chance62%

Games0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The match is likely to be competitive with both players holding serve reasonably well, pushing the total games over 21.5.
- Kravchenko last 15 average duration 118.8 minutes
- Von Der Schulenburg last 15 average duration 102.3 minutes
- Both players have similar games won percentages around 53%
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The first set is likely to be close, with both players holding serve early.
- Kravchenko last 15 average games per set 9.6
- Von Der Schulenburg last 15 average games per set 9.7
- Both players have similar serve hold percentages
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance50%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.44
The read
Kravchenko's strong first-set conversion rate and better return game should help him take the opener.
- Kravchenko first set win conversion career 84%
- Kravchenko last 15 first serve points won 68.2%
- Von Der Schulenburg last 15 first serve points won 70.5% but return points won only 39.1%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostGeorgii KravchenkoEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined double fault average is below 5.5, making the under a reasonable lean.
- Kravchenko last 15 double faults per match 2.2
- Von Der Schulenburg last 15 double faults per match 2.6
- Combined average double faults per match 4.8
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableUnder 5.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average around 7.5 aces combined, so the over is slightly favored.
- Kravchenko last 15 aces per match 4.4
- Von Der Schulenburg last 15 aces per match 3.1
- Combined average aces per match 7.5
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 7.5Estimated chance52%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

The underdog price may look tempting given his recent clay wins, but his overall return game and ranking disadvantage make this a trap.

Georgii Kravchenko

9W 6L

6-4 6-4#259Alex Barrena

6-2 7-6(3)#854Stefano D'Agostino

6-2 6-3—Giammarco Gandolfi

6-4 6-1#732Jakub Nicod

3-6 6-3 6-4#665Leo Raquillet

6-7(3) 7-6(4) 6-4#423Mika Brunold

7-6(2) 6-3#271Juan Bautista Torres

6-1 4-6 6-3#779Daniel Salazar Martinez

6-4 6-2—Lorenzo Lorusso

6-4 6-0#233Guido Ivan Justo

6-4 6-1—Gabriele Crivellaro

6-3 4-6 6-2#424Norbert Gombos

6-3 6-4—Niccolo Ciavarella

7-5 6-3#549Fausto Tabacco

6-4 6-7(7) 6-2#505Giuseppe La Vela

Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg

8W 7L

6-7(2) 6-3 6-2#529Luca Staeheli

6-7(5) 6-3 6-4—Andrin Casanova

6-1 6-3—Arthur Bellegy

5-7 6-2 6-2#404Arthur Nagel

4-6 6-2 7-6(3)—Flynn Thomas

7-6(3) 4-6 6-4#699Mirza Basic

6-4 7-6(1)—Jeremy Schifris

6-3 6-4#429Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

6-1 6-2—Ali Habib

6-4 6-4#607Karan Singh

6-2 6-4—James Van Herzeele

6-2 7-6(6)#254Felix Balshaw

6-3 3-6 6-3#420Johan Nikles

6-4 6-4#893Mathieu Scaglia

4-6 6-2 6-1—Reece Falck

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

GKGeorgii KravchenkoKravchenko

Last 15

5–4

9 core stats · 0 even

Jeffrey Von Der SchulenburgSchulenburgJS

Georgii Kravchenko carries the stronger recent form — Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–3

1st Serve In57.4%+2.3pp59.7%

1st Serve Won68.2%+2.3pp70.5%

2nd Serve Won51.5%+1.8pp53.3%

Aces / Match4.4+1.33.1

Double Faults / Match2.20.4 fewer2.6

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won42.6%+3.5pp39.1%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted47.3%+3.4pp43.9%

Break Pts Saved60.7%+4.8pp65.5%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won51.9%+0.8pp51.1%

Serve · 2–3

57.4%1st Serve In+2.3pp59.7%

68.2%1st Serve Won+2.3pp70.5%

51.5%2nd Serve Won+1.8pp53.3%

4.4Aces / Match+1.33.1

2.2Double Faults / Match0.4 fewer2.6

Return · 1–0

42.6%Return Pts Won+3.5pp39.1%

Pressure · 1–1

47.3%Break Pts Converted+3.4pp43.9%

60.7%Break Pts Saved+4.8pp65.5%

Points · 1–0

51.9%Total Pts Won+0.8pp51.1%