Katie Boulter #72United Kingdom22 – 1Katie Volynets #91United States1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80

The read

Volynets has significantly better recent form across all surfaces and on hard courts specifically, with superior return and break point conversion stats, giving her a clear edge.

• Volynets last15 overall record 11-4 (73.3%) vs Boulter 6-9 (40%)
• Volynets last15 hard record 2-1 (66.7%), Boulter 0-2 (0%) on hard
• Volynets last15 return points won 45.6% vs Boulter 40.2%
• Volynets break point conversion 48.9% vs Boulter 37.8%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets in their recent matches often reach 10+ games, especially when the match is competitive, though confidence is lower due to variability.

• Boulter last15 second set average games 9.5 (142 games in 15 second sets)
• Volynets last15 second set average games 9.1 (137 games in 15 second sets)
• Both players have shown ability to extend second sets even after losing first

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Volynets' superior recent form and hard court performance suggest she can cover a -1.5 game handicap, though the small hard court sample adds uncertainty.

• Volynets last15 average games won per match 11.8, Boulter 11.9
• Volynets last15 hard games won per match 13.3, Boulter 10.5
• Volynets has won 8 of last 10 matches, often by comfortable margins

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Volynets tends to start matches stronger in her recent run, while Boulter has often dropped the opening set, though hard court sample is limited.

• Volynets last15 first set win rate ~73% (11 of 15 matches won, most in straight sets)
• Boulter last15 first set win rate ~40% (6 of 15 matches won, often losing first set)
• Volynets last15 hard first serve points won 62.8%, Boulter 69.1% but small sample