Carlos Taberner #409Spain22 – 0Juan Bautista Torres #266Argentina0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.40

The read

Taberner's slight edge in return points won and break point saving on clay, combined with a direct H2H win, gives him a narrow advantage in a match where both players have similar recent form.

• Taberner leads H2H 1-0, winning 6-2 6-3 on clay in July 2024.
• Taberner's last 15 clay record: 7-6 (53.8%), with 51.4% total points won.
• Torres' last 15 clay record: 8-7 (53.3%), with 50.7% total points won.
• Taberner has a higher return points won on clay (44% vs 42.4%) and better break point save rate (60% vs 56.4%).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Taberner's slightly higher average games won and the H2H dominance suggest he will cover a +1.5 game handicap in a close match.

• Taberner's average games won per match on clay: 11.9 (155/13).
• Torres' average games won per match on clay: 11.0 (165/15).
• In their H2H, Taberner won 12 games to Torres' 5.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.20

The read

Taberner's historical strength in first sets and the H2H pattern suggest a slight edge, but both players have similar overall quality, keeping confidence low.

• Taberner won the first set in their only H2H meeting 6-2.
• Taberner's first set win conversion rate is 87% career, indicating strong starts.
• Torres' first set win conversion is 89%, but his recent form shows losses in first sets to lower-ranked opponents.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have low ace counts on clay, making under 3.5 total aces a strong probability.

• Taberner averages 1.9 aces per match on clay in last 15.
• Torres averages 1.4 aces per match on clay in last 15.
• Combined average aces per match: 3.3, with both players rarely exceeding 3 aces individually.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Taberner's high double fault rate on clay, combined with Torres' moderate rate, makes over 6.5 total double faults likely.

• Taberner averages 4.0 double faults per match on clay in last 15.
• Torres averages 2.1 double faults per match on clay in last 15.
• Combined average: 6.1, but Taberner's high rate (4.0) often pushes totals over 6.5.