Nikola Bartunkova #41Czechia22 – 0Bianca Vanessa Andreescu #174Canada0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Bartunkova's stronger recent form and serve performance, combined with Andreescu's lack of recent hard-court matches, give Bartunkova a moderate edge.

• Bartunkova's last 15 overall record: 9-6 (60%), with 52.2% games won; Andreescu's last 15 overall record: 7-8 (46.7%), with 49.7% games won.
• On hard courts in the last 15 window, Bartunkova is 1-1 (50%) with 54.1% games won; Andreescu has no hard-court matches in her last 15, with all recent matches on clay and grass.
• Bartunkova's recent form includes wins over top-40 players (Siniakova, Mertens) and a tight loss to Sabalenka; Andreescu's best recent win is over Sasnovich (rank 136).
• Bartunkova's first-serve points won in last 15: 71.1%; Andreescu's: 63.7%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.95

The read

With neither player dominating on serve, first sets are likely to be tight, pushing the total over 9.5 games.

• Bartunkova's last 15 matches: 8 of 15 first sets had 10+ games.
• Andreescu's last 15 matches: 7 of 15 first sets had 10+ games.
• Both players have similar return points won percentages (Bartunkova 42.1%, Andreescu 41.7%), suggesting competitive first sets.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Similar to the first set, the second set is likely to be competitive, with a slight lean toward over 9.5 games.

• Bartunkova's last 15 matches: 9 of 15 second sets had 10+ games.
• Andreescu's last 15 matches: 8 of 15 second sets had 10+ games.
• Both players have break-point conversion rates below 40% in recent matches, extending sets.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Bartunkova's superior recent form and serve numbers give her a slight edge to cover a -1.5 game handicap.

• Bartunkova's average games won per match in last 15: 14.1; Andreescu's: 11.7.
• Bartunkova's hard-court games won per match in last 15: 16.5 (small sample).
• Andreescu has no recent hard-court data, but her overall games won percentage is below 50%.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.65

The read

Bartunkova's strong first-set record and Andreescu's occasional slow starts suggest a slight edge for Bartunkova in the opening set.

• Bartunkova's first-set win conversion rate over her career is 88%, indicating she often starts strong.
• Andreescu's last 15 matches show a 46.7% overall win rate, with several slow starts (e.g., lost first set 6-1 vs Mertens, 6-0 vs Ferro).
• Bartunkova's hard-court first-serve points won in last 15: 68.9%.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have high double fault rates, making over 7.5 double faults likely in a potentially long match.

• Bartunkova averages 4.8 double faults per match in last 15; Andreescu averages 3.7.
• Combined average double faults per match: 8.5.
• Bartunkova's double fault rate is elevated on hard courts (3.5 per match in small sample).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined ace averages suggest a total over 8.5 is plausible, though the small hard-court sample for Bartunkova adds uncertainty.

• Bartunkova averages 5.5 aces per match in last 15; Andreescu averages 3.9.
• Combined average aces per match: 9.4.
• Bartunkova's hard-court ace rate in last 15: 7.0 per match (small sample of 2 matches).