Kenta Miyoshi #602Japan11 – 2Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine #507France2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

With both players in excellent form and no dominant head-to-head history, a close match is likely, pushing total games over 21.5. Their recent match averages support this line.

• Miyoshi last15 average games per match: 21.9 (329 games / 15 matches).
• Bittoun Kouzmine last15 average games per match: 21.8 (327 games / 15 matches).
• Both players have 80% win rates in last15, indicating competitive matches with few blowouts.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91

The read

With both players holding serve effectively (first-serve points won >68%), the first set is likely to be tight, favoring over 9.5 games.

• Miyoshi last15 set1 average games: 9.3 (140 games / 15 sets).
• Bittoun Kouzmine last15 set1 average games: 9.1 (137 games / 15 sets).
• Both players have strong serve numbers, reducing likelihood of early breaks.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The match is expected to be close, with Bittoun Kouzmine's slightly higher games-won percentage suggesting he can keep it within 3.5 games even in a loss.

• Miyoshi last15 average games won margin: +1.5 (185-140 games).
• Bittoun Kouzmine last15 average games won margin: +2.1 (192-135 games).
• Both players have similar games-won percentages (56.2% vs 58.7%).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.33

The read

Miyoshi's slightly better first-serve performance and elite first-set conversion rate suggest a narrow edge in the opening set, though both players are strong front-runners.

• Miyoshi last15 first-serve points won: 70.7% vs Bittoun Kouzmine 68.7%.
• Miyoshi career first-set win conversion: 91% (79-8 when winning first set).
• Bittoun Kouzmine career first-set win conversion: 87% (338-50 when winning first set).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Miyoshi's strong ace count (5.2 per match) alone nearly covers the line, and Bittoun Kouzmine's occasional aces should push the total over 7.5 in a likely two-set match.

• Miyoshi last15 aces per match: 5.2 (78 aces in 15 matches).
• Bittoun Kouzmine last15 aces per match: 1.9 (26 aces in 14 matches).
• Combined average: 7.1 aces per match, but Miyoshi's ace rate is high enough to push total over 7.5 in a competitive match.