Forward Madison22 – 1Spokane Velocity FC1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.57

The read

Both teams start slowly and score little before the interval, so a first half with at most one goal is the likeliest shape.

• Forward Madison first-half goals: 0.4 per match overall, 0.5 at home
• Spokane first-half goals: 0.29 per match overall, 0.44 away
• Four of Forward Madison's last six matches had a goalless first half
• Spokane's 1-0 win at Breese Stevens in September was level at the break

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22

The read

Both sides do their scoring late, with Spokane especially dependent on second-half goals, so at least one goal after the break is well supported.

• Forward Madison second-half goals: 0.8 per match; conceded 0.4
• Spokane second-half goals: 1.2 per match overall, 1.22 away
• Spokane have scored after the break in five of their last six matches
• Forward Madison's last six matches produced second-half goals in four of them

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.10

The read

Forward Madison's matches are consistently low-scoring and the recent head-to-heads have been 1-0 style games, pointing to a tight quarter-final.

• Forward Madison score 1.2 and concede 0.87 per match; home totals average 1.75
• All five head-to-head meetings finished with two goals or fewer except one
• Forward Madison have four clean sheets in their last six matches
• Spokane's away matches average 3.1 goals, the main counterweight

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.10

The read

Forward Madison's home defence has been the tightest part of their season and the recent meetings have been settled by a single goal.

• Forward Madison kept clean sheets in five of 15 tracked matches and four of their last six
• Both teams scored in only one of the last five head-to-head meetings
• Spokane failed to score in two of their last six matches
• Forward Madison conceded just 11 goals in 16 home league games this season

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Forward Madison create little and have been shut out repeatedly by Spokane, so a two-goal home night is unlikely.

• Forward Madison average 1.13 goals per home match in the tracked window
• Forward Madison scored just three goals across their last six matches
• Spokane concede 1.44 per away match in the tracked window
• Three of the last five head-to-heads ended with Forward Madison failing to score

BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostForward Madison under 1.5Estimated chance62%