Malacateco00 – 2Aurora FC Guatemala2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.55

The read

Malacateco are a markedly better side at home, where they score enough and concede very little, while Aurora have lost six of eight road games.

• Malacateco home split: 5W-1D-1L in 7 matches, 1.43 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per home game
• Aurora away split: 1W-1D-6L in 8 matches, no clean sheets, 8 goals conceded
• Last two meetings at Malacateco: 1-0 home win and 1-1 draw

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostMalacatecoEstimated chance50%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Malacateco are very hard to break down early at home, while Aurora tend to trail or stay level at the interval on their travels.

• Malacateco have conceded one first-half goal in seven home matches (0.14 per game)
• Aurora average 1.0 first-half goal against per away game
• Aurora score only 0.625 first-half goals per away game

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostMalacateco or DrawEstimated chance70%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Malacateco's home scoring is concentrated after half-time while Aurora fade badly in second halves on the road.

• Malacateco average 1.29 second-half goals at home and concede 0.43
• Aurora average 0.25 second-half goals away and concede 1.25 after the break
• Malacateco's recent home wins (1-0, 2-0) were settled by second-half goals

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostMalacatecoEstimated chance45%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Aurora's away scoring is modest and second-half output is especially thin, so a multi-goal road return looks unlikely.

• Malacateco have conceded 0.57 goals per home game with five clean sheets in seven
• Aurora average 1.5 goals per away game but only 0.875 across the overall away sample
• Aurora's second-half away scoring drops to 0.25 per game

BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostAurora FC Guatemala under 1.5Estimated chance60%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Malacateco's home defensive record is the strongest part of their profile and shut-outs are common there.

• Malacateco kept five clean sheets in seven home league matches
• They concede 0.57 goals per home game
• Aurora have scored in all eight away matches with both teams scoring in each

BetBugs · Team to ScorelostAurora FC Guatemala not to scoreEstimated chance35%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A narrow single-goal home win matches both the venue form and the head-to-head pattern between these teams.

• Malacateco have scored 1.43 per home game and conceded 0.57
• 1-0 was the score in the most recent meeting at Malacateco and in their recent home win over Comunicaciones
• Head-to-heads are consistently low-scoring (1, 2, 1, 3, 1 goals)

BetBugs · Correct ScorelostMalacateco 1-0 Aurora FC GuatemalaEstimated chance12%