Coruxo00 – 0Zamora CF0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.30

The read

Zamora are the higher-division side with a clear recent edge in this fixture, and Coruxo's home form is level enough that the draw is a live outcome.

• Zamora have won four of the last five meetings and drew the other, including a 2-1 win at Coruxo in 2024.
• Zamora play a division above Coruxo (Primera RFEF vs Segunda RFEF) and have lost only 7 of 14 competitive games.
• Coruxo's home record is 2W-2D-2L in six games, with 1.33 goals for and 1.33 against.
• Zamora's away record is weak (2W-1D-4L, 0.57 goals per game), which is why the draw is included.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Zamora CFEstimated chance55%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Coruxo start games solidly at home while Zamora's away first halves are mostly goalless or trailing.

• Coruxo led or were level at half-time in five of their last six matches.
• Coruxo concede only 0.33 first-half goals per home game.
• Zamora average 0.29 first-half goals away and 0.86 against in the same split.
• Zamora have scored only three goals in seven away games in total.

BetBugs · Double Chance First Halfnot gradableCoruxo or DrawEstimated chance62%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.67

The read

Both teams have modest scoring rates and Zamora in particular rarely turn away games into high-scoring affairs.

• Coruxo's competitive matches average 2.69 total goals (1.31 for, 1.38 against).
• Zamora's competitive matches average 2.14 total goals (0.86 for, 1.29 against).
• Zamora away games average about 2.0 total goals (0.57 scored, 1.43 conceded).
• Two of the last five head-to-heads finished with two goals or fewer.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30

The read

Coruxo's recent scoring has been consistently capped at a single goal, so holding them to one or none is the likelier outcome.

• Coruxo have scored exactly one goal in five of their last six matches and none in the other.
• Coruxo average 1.31 goals per competitive game and 1.33 at home.
• They have not scored more than once in any of their last six outings.
• Zamora have kept three clean sheets in 14 competitive matches.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonCoruxo under 1.5Estimated chance76%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Zamora's away attack is the weakest part of their profile, producing well under one goal per game.

• Zamora have scored three goals in seven away matches this season (0.57 per game).
• Their overall scoring rate is 0.86 goals per competitive match.
• Coruxo have conceded 1.33 goals per home game, but rarely more than one.
• Zamora failed to score in several of those away fixtures, including a 0-1 loss at Cacereño.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonZamora CF under 1.5Estimated chance80%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.35

The read

Both teams' first halves are low-scoring, and Zamora in particular barely score before the break on the road.

• Coruxo average 0.69 first-half goals for and 0.46 against.
• Zamora average 0.43 first-half goals for and 0.64 against, dropping to 0.29 for and 0.86 against away.
• Four of Coruxo's last six matches had one or no first-half goals.
• Zamora's last six matches produced at most two first-half goals in any game.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Zamora's away scoring record makes a clean sheet or a blank from them the single most likely way one side fails to score.

• Zamora have scored only three goals across seven away matches.
• Both teams scored in just two of Zamora's seven away games.
• Coruxo have scored in 11 of 13 competitive matches, so the home goal is not the likely blank.
• Both teams scored in 9 of Coruxo's 13 matches overall, showing the counter-side of this call.