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Predictions graded

Wealdstone2Solihull Moors3

HT 0–2Tue 27 Oct 2026, 19:45 Predictions graded

Predictions4–450%

Edges3–260%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 26 Oct 2026, 04:03 · Europe/Bucharest

18th-placed Wealdstone host 23rd-placed Solihull Moors, and the likeliest result is a home win or draw in a game short of first-half goals.

Wealdstone or Draw at 1.4 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.48 ask for more than the season's records justify. Fewer than two first-half goals at 1.62 is the one quoted price that holds up.

Context

The club's official 25 October announcement explicitly describes first-team players as unavailable for selection ahead of the Solihull Moors fixture. That means Wealdstone's matchday options are reduced to some degree and is pertinent to their preparation at The Vale. Yet the announcement gives neither number nor identities, positions or cause of the absences, so it cannot establish which unit or likely XI is affected.
- Wealdstone's official account said first-team squad players unavailable for selection would meet supporters before the Solihull Moors match.
- The club's post placed the pre-match event at The Vale from 18:15 on Tuesday.
ConfirmedSources checked 26 Oct 2026, 04:00 · Europe/Bucharest
That works out at 3.3 goals conceded per away league game, the clearest route to Wealdstone scoring even with their modest home return of seven goals in six league matches. The counterpoint is that Solihull's away form is the better half of their season: four of their seven league points have come on the road, against three at home.
- Standings as of 26 October 2026: Solihull Moors' away league record is 6 played, 1 win, 1 draw, 4 losses, 9 goals for, 20 against.
- Overall league record: 14 played, 2 wins, 1 draw, 11 losses, 14 scored, 37 conceded, 23rd on 7 points.
One home win in six league games is why an eight-point gap to Solihull does not make this a straightforward home night. The 0-6 league defeat by Yeovil Town on 10 October came inside that home run, and the recent 1-0 wins at Aldershot and in the cups have come in tighter, lower-scoring games.
- Standings as of 26 October 2026: Wealdstone's home league record is 6 played, 1 win, 1 draw, 4 losses, 7 goals for, 15 against.
- Overall league record: 14 played, 4 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses, 18 scored, 24 conceded, 18th on 15 points.
The 5-1 is the obvious reference point, but it followed and preceded 1-1 draws, so it is better read as a warning about goals than as proof of a repeat. It was also a game in which both teams scored, which fits the pattern of Solihull finding the net on the road this season.
- 14 March 2026: Wealdstone 5-1 Solihull Moors in the National League at The Vale, the only meeting in the listed run with more than two goals.
- Sample: five head-to-head meetings between April 2024 and March 2026, three of which finished 1-1.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancelostUncertainty band: Lean

Wealdstone or Draw

1.40fair 1.56

BetBugs 64% · Market 71.4%

−7.4ppshort

Solihull's away defence is the weakest part of a bottom side, so Wealdstone should at least avoid defeat at home.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.48fair 1.59

BetBugs 63% · Market 67.6%

−4.6ppshort

Both teams' home and away records point to goals, especially Solihull's leaky away defence.

Away Goals TotalwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Solihull Moors over 0.5

1.22fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 82%

−10.0ppshort

Solihull have scored regularly on the road, and Wealdstone's home league defence has conceded heavily.

Home Goals TotalwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Wealdstone over 0.5

1.15fair 1.22

BetBugs 82% · Market 87%

−5.0ppshort

Solihull have not kept an away clean sheet, so Wealdstone are likely to score at least once.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Solihull's away defence is the weakest part of a bottom side, so Wealdstone should at least avoid defeat at home.
- Wealdstone are 18th with 15 points; Solihull are 23rd with 7.
- Solihull away league record: 1W 1D 4L, 9 scored, 20 conceded in 6.
- Wealdstone home league record: 1W 1D 4L, 7 scored, 15 conceded in 6.
- Wealdstone beat Solihull 5-1 at home in March 2026 and drew 1-1 there in February 2025.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostWealdstone or DrawEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Wealdstone do most home scoring after half-time, so a level first half turning into a home win is plausible.
- Wealdstone home first half: 0.50 scored, 0.38 conceded; second half: 1.50 scored, 1.13 conceded.
- Solihull away first half: 0.67 scored, 1.33 conceded; second half: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded.
- Wealdstone scored 1.50 second-half goals per home game.
- Solihull conceded 1.50 second-half goals per away game.
BetBugs · HT/FTlostDraw at half-time / Wealdstone at full-timeEstimated chance21%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.48
The read
Both teams' home and away records point to goals, especially Solihull's leaky away defence.
- Solihull away league games average 4.83 total goals (9 for, 20 against in 6).
- Wealdstone home league games average 3.67 total goals (7 for, 15 against in 6).
- Solihull have both teams scoring in 10 of 15 competitive matches.
- Wealdstone home all-competition games average 3.5 total goals (2.0 for, 1.5 against in 8).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.62
The read
The home side's slow first-half scoring and Solihull's low away first-half output keep most halves under two goals.
- Wealdstone home first-half goals: 0.50 for, 0.38 against per game.
- Solihull away first-half goals: 0.67 for, 1.33 against per game.
- Wealdstone overall first-half goals: 0.60 for, 0.47 against in 15.
- Solihull overall first-half goals: 0.53 for, 0.93 against in 15.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides' second-half numbers are busier, with Wealdstone especially stronger after the break at home.
- Wealdstone home second-half goals: 1.50 for, 1.13 against per game.
- Solihull away second-half goals: 0.67 for, 1.50 against per game.
- Wealdstone overall second-half goals: 1.07 for, 0.80 against in 15.
- Solihull overall second-half goals: 0.60 for, 1.27 against in 15.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Solihull have scored regularly on the road, and Wealdstone's home league defence has conceded heavily.
- Solihull scored in 5 of 6 away all-competition games.
- Solihull have 9 goals in 6 away league games.
- Wealdstone conceded 15 in 6 home league games.
- Wealdstone kept 4 clean sheets in 8 home all-competition games.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonSolihull Moors over 0.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.15
The read
Solihull have not kept an away clean sheet, so Wealdstone are likely to score at least once.
- Wealdstone scored in 12 of 15 competitive matches.
- Wealdstone have 16 goals in 8 home all-competition games.
- Solihull have no away clean sheets in 6 all-competition away games.
- Solihull concede 2.83 away all-competition goals per game.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonWealdstone over 0.5Estimated chance82%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A 2-1 home win matches Wealdstone's home scoring and Solihull's habit of conceding while scoring once.
- Wealdstone average 2.00 home goals; Solihull concede 2.83 away.
- Solihull average 1.33 away goals; Wealdstone concede 1.50 at home.
- Wealdstone beat Solihull 5-1 at home in March 2026.
- Solihull have lost 10 of 15 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Correct ScorelostWealdstone 2-1 Solihull MoorsEstimated chance10%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

The 1.4 price requires 71.4%, above our 64.0% estimate.

Head-to-Head

1W · 3D · 1W

W5-1WealdstonevSolihull MoorsMar 14, 2026NAT

D1-1Solihull MoorsvWealdstoneNov 29, 2025NAT

D1-1WealdstonevSolihull MoorsFeb 1, 2025NAT

D1-1Solihull MoorsvWealdstoneAug 31, 2024NAT

L0-1WealdstonevSolihull MoorsApr 1, 2024NAT

2.6 goals/game avg

League Table

National League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
18	Wealdstone	14	4	3	7	18-24	15	WLLDW
23	Solihull Moors Relegation	14	2	1	11	14-37	7	LLLWL

8pt gap between teamsSolihull Moors in relegation zone

Recent Form

Wealdstone

W1-0Aldershot TownOct 24NAT

W1-0Nottingham Forest U21Oct 20NAT

W3-0WorthingOct 17FAC

L0-6Yeovil TownOct 10NAT

L1-2BarrowOct 3NAT

D1-1Forest GreenSep 29NAT

W4-0GatesheadSep 26NAT

L1-2TamworthSep 19NAT

L0-1FC Halifax TownSep 15NAT

W3-1Boston UnitedSep 12NAT

W6-0Stoke City U21Sep 8NAT

L1-4Kidderminster HarriersSep 5NAT

W2-0Sutton UtdAug 31NAT

D1-1CarlisleAug 28NAT

L0-1WorthingAug 22NAT

Solihull Moors

L1-2CarlisleOct 24NAT

L1-2Kidderminster HarriersOct 17FAC

W1-0Everton U21Oct 13NAT

L0-5WorthingOct 10NAT

W2-1Newcastle United U21Oct 6NAT

L0-2FC Halifax TownOct 3NAT

W4-2WokingSep 29NAT

L0-3Boreham WoodSep 26NAT

L1-4Yeovil TownSep 18NAT

W1-0BarrowSep 15NAT

L1-2Aldershot TownSep 12NAT

L2-3Leeds United U21Sep 8NAT

D1-1GatesheadSep 5NAT

L1-3AFC FyldeAug 31NAT

L1-3ScunthorpeAug 28NAT

Squad & Injuries

Wealdstone

34 available

Attackers6

Midfielders14

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3

Solihull Moors

33 available

Attackers6

Midfielders12

Defenders13

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 1.5 goals in 1st half

Wealdstone or Draw

Over 2.5

Solihull Moors over 0.5

Wealdstone over 0.5

Result0 of 2 landed

Goals4 of 6 landed

Markets to Avoid

Wealdstone over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Wealdstone

Solihull Moors

Squad & Injuries

Wealdstone

Solihull Moors