Fleetwood Town11 – 1Arsenal1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Both teams' match totals sit comfortably below three and a half, and Arsenal's away games have been controlled.

• Arsenal's 14 competitive matches average 2.86 total goals.
• Arsenal away matches average 2.57 total goals.
• Fleetwood overall matches average 2.80 total goals.
• Fleetwood home matches average 2.63 total goals.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.88

The read

Both teams' first halves have produced very few goals, with Fleetwood especially slow starters.

• Fleetwood average 0.47 first-half goals for and 0.60 against.
• Arsenal average 0.64 first-half goals for and 0.43 against.
• Fleetwood have scored no first-half goals in their last six matches.
• Arsenal have been level at half-time in four of their last six.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.06

The read

Fleetwood's home scoring is built against lower-level teams, and Arsenal's defence should limit them to one goal at most.

• Arsenal concede 0.86 goals per competitive match and 1.0 away.
• Arsenal have 8 clean sheets in 14 matches.
• Fleetwood average 1.53 goals overall but 2.0 at home.
• Fleetwood are facing a Premier League defence after League Two opposition.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonFleetwood Town under 1.5Estimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.53

The read

Fleetwood's games are corner-heavy and Arsenal's possession should add corners, making nine or more likely.

• Fleetwood matches average 10.93 total corners.
• Arsenal matches average 8.31 total corners.
• Fleetwood's last six matches produced total corners of 10, 11, 14, 8, 17 and 16.
• Arsenal's last six matches produced total corners of 15, 8, 14, 7, 6 and 11.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches average near four yellow cards, and a cup mismatch can add tackles.

• Fleetwood average 2.47 yellow cards and their opponents 1.73.
• Arsenal average 1.31 yellow cards and their opponents 2.54.
• The combined per-match yellow average is around 4.0.
• Both teams' recent matches have shown regular card totals near four.