Swift Hesperange00 – 3Jeunesse Esch3

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.18

The read

The league table and recent scorelines point strongly to the away side against a team that has lost every match.

• Swift Hesperange are 0-0-10 in the league, with 2 goals scored and 38 conceded.
• At home they are 0-0-5, scoring 2 and conceding 18.
• Jeunesse Esch sit 11th with 10 points and have won 4 of 11 competitive matches.
• Hesperange have lost their last six league games, scoring none and conceding 23.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonJeunesse EschEstimated chance70%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Hesperange have not led at half-time at home in the sample, so Jeunesse or a draw covers the likely first-half states.

• In seven home matches Hesperange have scored 0 first-half goals and conceded 11.
• Jeunesse have scored 4 first-half goals in seven away matches.
• Hesperange have no first-half goals at home across the tracked sample.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Jeunesse EschEstimated chance84%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Hesperange's scoring output is so low that even one goal is a meaningful hurdle.

• Hesperange have scored 2 goals in 10 league matches.
• They have failed to score in each of their last six league games.
• At home they have 2 goals in five matches.
• Jeunesse have kept two clean sheets in their last six.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonSwift Hesperange under 1.5Estimated chance87%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.70

The read

The home side's near-total lack of scoring makes at least one blank the central expectation.

• Hesperange have scored only 2 league goals in 10 games, and none in their last six.
• They have scored in only one of seven home matches.
• Jeunesse have kept two clean sheets in their last six matches.
• Only 2 of Hesperange's 14 tracked matches had both teams scoring.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.43

The read

Hesperange's heavy concession rate gives the away side enough chances to push the match past three goals.

• Hesperange's matches average 3.57 total goals; their home matches average 3.43.
• Jeunesse's competitive matches average 3.45 total goals.
• Hesperange have conceded 3.0 per league match overall and 3.6 per home match.
• Jeunesse have scored 9 goals in six away league matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' second-half goal rates are materially higher than their first-half rates, pointing to late scoring.

• Hesperange concede 1.57 second-half goals per match overall.
• Jeunesse score 1.0 second-half goal per match overall.
• Hesperange's home matches average 1.85 second-half goals in total.
• Jeunesse's away matches average 2.14 second-half goals in total.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Jeunesse's scoring rate and Hesperange's home concession rate make two away goals a reasonable target.

• Jeunesse have scored 9 goals in six away league matches.
• Hesperange have conceded 18 goals in five home league matches.
• Jeunesse average 1.43 goals per away match and 1.55 overall.
• Hesperange concede 3.6 goals per home match.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonJeunesse Esch over 1.5Estimated chance58%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65

The read

Hesperange rarely score before half-time and Jeunesse's first-half output is not high enough to make two goals likely.

• Hesperange have scored no first-half goals in seven home matches.
• Jeunesse concede 0.86 first-half goals per away match.
• Jeunesse score 0.57 first-half goals per away match.