National DivisionFull time

Predictions graded

Racing FC Union Luxembourg5Swift Hesperange0

HT 0–0Sun 16 Aug 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–367%

Edges3–350%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 Aug 2026, 23:42 · Europe/Bucharest

Racing are clear favourites with a dominant H2H record and superior form, but the odds are too short for value.

The only positive edge is Both Teams to Score: No at 1.85, backed by Swift's scoring woes and Racing's clean sheets in this matchup.

Context

Last four H2H results: 1-0, 1-0, 3-1, 2-0, all Racing wins.
- Racing kept clean sheets in three of those four matches.
- Swift have failed to score in three of the last four H2H meetings.
Swift lost 2-7 at home to Wiltz and 0-1 away to US Rumelange.
- Swift have conceded 8 goals in two league matches.
- Swift average 1.9 goals conceded per game overall.
Racing beat UN Kaerjeng 97 5-1 at home this season.
- Last season, Racing lost 0-5 at home to Atert Bissen and drew 0-0 with Union Titus Petange.
- Racing's last five home matches across all competitions: W, W, L, L, D.
Swift failed to score in away losses to US Rumelange, US Mondorf, Rodange 91, and Atert Bissen.
- Swift's only away win in recent matches was 2-0 at Jeunesse Canach.
- Swift average 0.8 goals scored per game overall.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Racing FC Union Luxembourg

1.20fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 83.3%

0.0ppshort

Racing have won all four H2H meetings since Nov 2024 with a 7-1 aggregate and three clean sheets, while Swift sit bottom with 0 points and a -6 goal difference.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Racing FC Union Luxembourg or Draw

1.06fair 1.14

BetBugs 88% · Market 94.3%

0.0ppshort

Racing are unbeaten in the last five H2H meetings and Swift have lost four of their last five, making a home loss unlikely but not impossible.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Strong H2H dominance and superior current form give Racing a clear edge.
- Racing have won all four H2H meetings since Nov 2024, aggregate 7-1 with three clean sheets.
- Racing are 2nd with 6 points (WW), Swift are 16th with 0 points (LL) and -6 goal difference.
- Racing average 2.0 goals scored vs Swift's 0.8; Racing concede 1.5 vs Swift's 1.9.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonRacing FC Union LuxembourgEstimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Racing's H2H dominance and Swift's poor form make a home loss unlikely.
- Racing unbeaten in last 5 H2H (4W, 1D from 2024-2026).
- Swift have lost 4 of last 5 matches overall.
- Racing home record this season: 1W, 5 goals scored.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonRacing FC Union Luxembourg or DrawEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Racing's superior first-half scoring and Swift's slow starts give the home side an edge at the break.
- Racing led at half-time in 27% of matches, Swift trailed in 33%.
- Racing average 0.8 first-half goals vs Swift's 0.2.
- H2H last 4: Racing led at half-time in 1 match, drew in 3.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostRacing FC Union LuxembourgEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Racing's ability to control matches from the start and Swift's poor form support a home win at both intervals.
- Racing have won 4 straight H2H, including 2 by 1-0 and 3-1.
- Swift have lost 4 of last 5, often trailing early.
- Racing's home form: 2 wins in last 5, with strong first halves in wins.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostRacing FC Union Luxembourg / Racing FC Union LuxembourgEstimated chance45%

Goals4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Racing's high-scoring home form and Swift's defensive frailty support over 2.5 goals.
- Racing's last 5 home matches: 5-1, 6-1, 0-5, 2-2, 0-0 (avg 3.6 total goals).
- Swift's last 5 away matches: 0-1, 3-2, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 (avg 2.2 total goals).
- H2H last 4 meetings: 1-0, 1-0, 3-1, 2-0 (avg 2.0 total goals).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Swift's scoring struggles and Racing's defensive record in this fixture point to at least one side failing to score.
- Racing kept clean sheets in 3 of last 4 H2H meetings.
- Swift failed to score in 4 of last 6 matches overall.
- Racing have 2 clean sheets in last 5 home matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Swift's poor attacking output and Racing's H2H defensive success make a home clean sheet likely.
- Racing kept clean sheets in 3 of last 4 H2H meetings.
- Swift have failed to score in 4 of last 6 matches.
- Racing's home clean sheet rate this season: 0% (1 match), but overall 2 clean sheets in last 5.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSwift Hesperange not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Racing's first-half scoring tendency and Swift's early defensive lapses suggest a first-half goal.
- Racing average 0.8 first-half goals, Swift concede 1.1 first-half goals.
- Swift trailed at half-time in 33% of matches, Racing led in 27%.
- H2H last 4: first-half goals in 2 of 4 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to be more active in the second half, and Racing's attacking depth should produce goals after the break.
- Racing score 1.2 goals per second half on average (total 2.0 - 0.8 first half).
- Swift concede 0.8 goals per second half (1.9 - 1.1 first half).
- Racing's recent home matches had 3+ second-half goals in 2 of 5.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Corner data is unavailable, so this is a neutral estimate based on typical league averages.
- No corner data available for either team in recent matches.
- Racing average 0 corners, Swift average 0 corners (data missing).
- League average corners typically 8-10 per match.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Card data is unavailable, so this is a neutral estimate based on typical league averages.
- No card data available for either team in recent matches.
- Racing average 0 yellow cards, Swift average 0 yellow cards (data missing).
- League average cards typically 3-4 per match.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 83% leaves no cushion vs our 70% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

4W · 0D · 1W

W1-0Racing FC Union LuxembourgvSwift HesperangeMar 14, 2026NAT

W0-1Swift HesperangevRacing FC Union LuxembourgNov 26, 2025NAT

W3-1Racing FC Union LuxembourgvSwift HesperangeApr 12, 2025NAT

W2-0Racing FC Union LuxembourgvSwift HesperangeNov 9, 2024CUP

L1-0Swift HesperangevRacing FC Union LuxembourgOct 19, 2024NAT

Racing FC Union Luxembourg: 3 clean sheets1.8 goals/game avg

League Table

National Division 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	Racing FC Union Luxembourg Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	2	2	0	0	6-1	6	WW
16	Swift Hesperange Relegation	2	0	0	2	2-8		LL

6pt gap between teamsRacing FC Union Luxembourg leads the leagueSwift Hesperange in relegation zone

Recent Form

Racing FC Union Luxembourg

W1-0Etzella EttelbruckAug 9NAT

W5-1UN Kaerjeng 97Aug 2NAT

D0-0MVVJul 18FRI

L1-2MetzJul 11FRI

W3-1Etzella EttelbruckJun 27FRI

W6-1Rodange 91May 23NAT

W1-0US HostertMay 17NAT

L2-3MamerMay 10NAT

L0-5Atert BissenMay 3NAT

W5-2UN Kaerjeng 97Apr 26NAT

L0-2FC Differdange 03Apr 22CUP

D2-2Progres NiederkornApr 18NAT

L0-1UNA StrassenApr 12NAT

D0-0Union Titus PetangeApr 4NAT

W4-3Victoria RosportMar 22NAT

Swift Hesperange

L2-7WiltzAug 9NAT

L0-1US RumelangeAug 2NAT

L0-2BettembourgJul 14FRI

W3-2Union Titus PetangeMay 23NAT

W3-0Victoria RosportMay 17NAT

L0-1US HostertMay 10NAT

L0-1US Mondorf-les-bainsMay 3NAT

L0-3F91 DudelangeApr 26NAT

D1-1AS Jeunesse EschApr 19NAT

L1-5FC Differdange 03Apr 12NAT

W2-0Jeunesse CanachApr 4NAT

L0-2Rodange 91Mar 22NAT

L0-1Racing FC Union LuxembourgMar 14NAT

L0-1MamerMar 8NAT

L0-2Atert BissenMar 1NAT

Squad & Injuries

Racing FC Union Luxembourg

23 available

Attackers8

Midfielders9

Defenders4

Goalkeeper2

Swift Hesperange

26 available

Attackers4

Midfielders10

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

No

Racing FC Union Luxembourg

Racing FC Union Luxembourg or Draw

Racing FC Union Luxembourg

Racing FC Union Luxembourg at half-time / Racing FC Union Luxembourg at full-time

Over 0.5

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals4 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Racing FC Union Luxembourg

Racing FC Union Luxembourg or Draw

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Racing FC Union Luxembourg

Swift Hesperange

Squad & Injuries

Racing FC Union Luxembourg

Swift Hesperange