AZ Alkmaar00 – 2FC Twente2

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40

The read

AZ are unbeaten at home in the league and Twente’s away form makes a home defeat less likely than an AZ win or draw.

• AZ average 2.2 goals and 0.8 conceded in five home competitive matches, scoring in all five.
• Twente are 1W2D1L away in the Eredivisie and have no clean sheets in six competitive away matches.
• AZ sit second on 20 points; Twente are fifth on 17.

BetBugs · Double ChancelostAZ Alkmaar or DrawEstimated chance74%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.38

The read

Both teams score at high rates and recent meetings have been open, supporting a game with at least three goals.

• AZ average 2.31 goals for and 0.92 against; Twente average 2.21 and 1.07.
• Four of the last five head-to-heads produced at least three goals.
• AZ home matches average 3.0 total goals; Twente away matches average 3.83.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.36

The read

Twente’s away record points to them scoring, while AZ’s home record points to them doing the same.

• Twente have scored in 5 of 6 competitive away matches and kept no away clean sheets.
• AZ have scored in all five home matches but conceded in three.
• Both teams scored in four of the last five head-to-heads.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.67

The read

AZ’s home scoring rate makes two goals a realistic target against a Twente defence missing players.

• AZ average 2.2 goals in five home competitive matches and scored in all five.
• Twente concede 1.5 per away match and have no away clean sheets.
• AZ have scored nine goals in four home league games.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostAZ Alkmaar over 1.5Estimated chance55%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22

The read

Both teams have regularly scored before half-time and concede first-half chances too.

• AZ average 0.77 first-half goals for and 0.46 against.
• Twente average 0.93 first-half goals for and 0.50 against.
• Both teams have first-half scoring and conceding profiles.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.65

The read

Both sides generate enough corners for the combined total to clear nine.

• AZ average 7.0 corners for and 4.4 against, an 11.4 total per match.
• Twente average 7.1 corners for and 3.4 against, a 10.6 total per match.
• Both teams’ opponents average fewer than five corners.