Atlas Guadalajara44 – 3Puebla3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.18

The read

Atlas are higher-ranked and historically dominant in this fixture, so covering the draw is reasonable despite their poor home form.

• Atlas are 6th with 21 points; Puebla are 13th with 16.
• Atlas have won the last four competitive meetings between the clubs.
• Atlas home record is only 1W-3D-3L with 14 goals conceded in seven home games.
• Puebla have scored just 10 goals in 15 league matches.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonAtlas Guadalajara or DrawEstimated chance60%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.75

The read

Atlas almost always concede at home while Puebla rarely keep away clean sheets, so both should find a goal.

• Atlas have conceded in all seven home matches and both teams scored in six of those seven.
• Atlas have scored in 13 of 15 matches; Puebla have conceded in 13 of 15.
• Puebla have scored in 10 of 15 overall but only four of nine away.
• Atlas have conceded 12 goals in 15 matches overall.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.35

The read

Puebla generate few corners and often sit deep away, making under 5.5 their most likely corner count.

• Puebla average 4.47 corners per match and 4.44 away.
• Puebla took three corners at Tijuana and none at Tigres in recent away games.
• Atlas home opponents average 5.57 corners, near the line.
• Puebla have had six corners in a recent home match, showing variance.

BetBugs · Away CornerswonPuebla under 5.5Estimated chance58%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches feature high shot volume, with Puebla in particular allowing many attempts, so over 25.5 is well supported.

• Atlas matches average 26.87 total shots; Puebla matches average 28.27.
• Atlas' last six shot totals were 38, 34, 18, 32, 30 and 24.
• Puebla's last six shot totals were 26, 30, 29, 23, 33 and 25.
• Puebla allow 15.73 shots per match, while Atlas allow 13.67.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Combined shot-on-target averages sit above the line, and both sides allow around five on target per match.

• Atlas matches average 8.47 shots on target; Puebla matches average 9.0.
• Atlas' last six shot-on-target totals were 12, 8, 8, 12, 7 and 8.
• Puebla's last six were 10, 9, 9, 5, 9 and 5.
• Puebla allow 5.07 shots on target per match and Atlas allow 4.53.