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Predictions graded

Aarhus GF2Viborg FF1

HT 1–0Sun 25 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–267%

Edges1–150%

PossPossession 53%–47%ShotsShots 20–12On targetOn target 4–5CornersCorners 10–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Oct 2026, 10:31 · Europe/Bucharest

Viborg are third and have lost once in five away league games; Aarhus are 10th with six draws in 11.

The draw-or-Viborg price at 1.55 covers the likelier paths and offers a narrow edge, while under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.57 does not, with Aarhus home matches averaging 1.83 first-half goals across six games.

Context

Viborg's away split is 2W 2D 1L, with six goals scored and four conceded. That record underpins their third-place total of 20 points from 11 league games, while Aarhus have won only once in 11. The away sample is five matches, so it is a guide rather than a guarantee. Aarhus's three home draws in five show why the home side can still take a point.
- Superliga standings at 24 October 2026: Viborg away record 5 played, 2W 2D 1L, 6 goals for, 4 against.
- Viborg rank 3rd with 20 points from 11 league games.
- Aarhus home record: 5 played, 1W 3D 1L.
Aarhus's league record is 1W 6D 4L, and their home split is 1W 3D 1L. They have scored eight and conceded seven in five home matches, so the draws have been tight rather than goalless. That pattern makes another close home result plausible. It is also why Viborg's away solidity does not guarantee a win.
- Superliga standings at 24 October 2026: Aarhus have 1W 6D 4L from 11 games.
- Aarhus home record: 5 played, 1W 3D 1L, 8 goals for, 7 against.
- Viborg away record: 5 played, 2W 2D 1L.
Aarhus managed three shots on target to Copenhagen's seven but still left with a point. The result is a recent example of their draw-heavy league season and their ability to stay level under pressure. Against a Viborg side with two away wins in five, that resilience matters. The counterpoint is that Aarhus created little themselves, so another low-volume draw carries risk.
- 18 October 2026: FC Copenhagen 1-1 Aarhus, with Aarhus taking 7 shots to Copenhagen's 24.
- Aarhus had 3 shots on target; Copenhagen had 7.
The home split shows seven first-half goals conceded and four scored in six games, a combined 1.83 per match before the break. That is a notable counterweight to the quieter early periods Viborg have produced away from home. The sample is six home matches, not a season-long pattern. It means the early part of the match carries genuine two-way risk.
- Aarhus home split through 24 October 2026: 6 matches, 4 first-half goals for and 7 against.
- Combined first-half goals: 1.83 per home match.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Lean

Under 1.5 goals in 1st half

1.57fair 1.59

BetBugs 63% · Market 63.7%

−0.7ppshort

Both sides do most of their scoring after the break, and Viborg's away first halves are especially quiet.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Viborg have been the stronger side all season and rarely lose on the road, while Aarhus's one league win in eleven means the draw half of this bet carries real weight.
- Viborg are 3rd with 20 points from 11 league games; Aarhus are 10th with 9
- Viborg away league record: 2W 2D 1L, 6 goals for and 4 against
- Aarhus league record: 1W 6D 4L, with 1W 3D 1L at home
- Viborg have lost only one of five away league games
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or Viborg FFEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Aarhus's season is built on draws and they have been hard to beat at home without winning often.
- Aarhus have drawn 6 of 11 league games, including 3 of 5 at home
- Viborg have drawn 2 of 11 league games, both away from home
- The most recent meeting in Aarhus was a 6-2 home win, but this season's fixture ended 2-1 to Viborg
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance27%

Goals2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Both sides do most of their scoring after the break, and Viborg's away first halves are especially quiet.
- Aarhus first-half averages: 0.57 scored, 1.0 conceded
- Viborg first-half averages: 0.83 scored, 0.5 conceded; away 0.5 and 0.5
- Viborg's away matches average about one first-half goal
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance63%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Aarhus's habit of conceding gives Viborg a good chance of scoring, and Aarhus themselves found the net in eleven of fourteen.
- Both teams scored in 10 of Aarhus's 14 competitive matches
- Both teams scored in 4 of Aarhus's 6 home matches and 3 of Viborg's 6 away matches
- Aarhus conceded in 13 of 14 games; Viborg scored 9 in 12
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance56%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams allow a steady flow of on-target attempts against them, pushing the combined figure comfortably past eight.
- Aarhus matches: 3.54 shots on target for, 5.62 against (9.15 total)
- Viborg matches: 4.09 for, 4.0 against per game
- Aarhus home split 3.83/5.5; Viborg away split 4.2/4.6
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 7.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Opponents are booked regularly against both sides, putting three cards within a normal range.
- Aarhus average 1.31 yellows with opponents on 2.0 per game (13 matches)
- Viborg average 1.57 yellows with opponents on 1.71 (11 matches)
- Combined expectation is roughly 3.3 cards per match
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 3W

L2-1ViborgvAarhusAug 14, 2026SUP

D1-1AarhusvViborgJun 27, 2026FRI

L6-2AarhusvViborgMay 17, 2026SUP

W1-2ViborgvAarhusApr 6, 2026SUP

L5-2AarhusvViborgFeb 22, 2026SUP

4.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Superliga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
10	Aarhus GF Relegation Playoffs	11	1	6	4	15-18	9	DWDLD
3	Viborg FF Play-offs	11	6	2	3	18-10	20	LWWDL

11pt gap between teamsAarhus GF in relegation zone

Recent Form

Aarhus GF

Aarhus GF

D1-1Egnatia RrogozhinëOct 22UEF

D1-1FC CopenhagenOct 18SUP

L0-1GentOct 15UEF

W3-0SonderjyskeOct 12SUP

W2-1Vendsyssel FFOct 2FRI

D2-2AC HorsensSep 20SUP

W6-1Skjold SæbySep 16DBU

L0-2FC NordsjaellandSep 13SUP

D2-2SilkeborgSep 5SUP

L0-2FC MidtjyllandSep 2SUP

L1-2Randers FCAug 30SUP

L1-3BenficaAug 27UEF

D2-2OdenseAug 23SUP

L1-3BenficaAug 20UEF

L1-2ViborgAug 14SUP

Viborg FF

Viborg FF

L1-2FC MidtjyllandOct 19SUP

W2-0Randers FCOct 11SUP

L1-3Holstein KielOct 3FRI

W4-1FC NordsjaellandSep 20SUP

L1-2BrabrandSep 16DBU

D1-1SilkeborgSep 13SUP

L0-2LyngbySep 4SUP

W3-2AC HorsensAug 28SUP

W4-0FC CopenhagenAug 23SUP

W2-1AarhusAug 14SUP

D0-0SonderjyskeAug 7SUP

L0-1BrondbyAug 2SUP

W1-0OdenseJul 24SUP

W1-0Aarhus FremadJul 17FRI

L1-2FC CopenhagenJul 16FRI

Squad & Injuries

Aarhus GF

12 out

Attackers2/8

×#20

×#20

Midfielders8/11

×#23

×#11

×#6

×#17

×#23

×#11

×#6

×#17

Defenders2/10

×#44

×#44

Goalkeeper4

#23 M. Anderson — Injury

#44 M. Camara — Inactive

#20 T. Kristjansson — Broken Hand

#11 G. Links — Knock

#6 N. Poulsen — Achilles Tendon Injury

#17 K. Yakob — Knee Injury

#23 M. Anderson — Injury

#44 M. Camara — Inactive

#20 T. Kristjansson — Broken Hand

#11 G. Links — Knock

#6 N. Poulsen — Achilles Tendon Injury

#17 K. Yakob — Knee Injury

Viborg FF

10 out

Attackers6/9

×#28

×#9

×#29

×#28

×#9

×#29

Midfielders8

Defenders2/9

×#17

×#17

Goalkeeper2

#28 L. Coulibaly — Inactive

#9 T. Freriks — Knock

#29 R. Mitchell — Injury

Y. Njoh — Injury

#17 M. Riahi — Knee Injury

#28 L. Coulibaly — Inactive

#9 T. Freriks — Knock

#29 R. Mitchell — Injury

Y. Njoh — Injury

#17 M. Riahi — Knee Injury