Wieczysta Krakow3Wisla Plock0

HT 1–0Fri 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–944%

Edges1–325%

PossPossession 52%–48%ShotsShots 15–11On targetOn target 6–2CornersCorners 7–7

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 6 Oct 2026, 09:16 · Europe/Bucharest

Bottom-three Wieczysta, without a home league win, host a Płock side that has won its last two league games and taken seven of its eleven points on the road.

The likeliest result is a Płock win, with Płock avoiding defeat the safer shape; Płock to win at 3.00 and Płock to win or draw at 1.67 both carry an edge. Both teams to score at 1.57 and Over 2.5 at 1.62 do not.

Context

Radwański has been sidelined since he was injured in the build-up to Płock's 20 September trip to Zagłębie Lubin, and a 5 October update placed him still in rehabilitation with no return date. That leaves the visitors without a midfield option for a long away trip to Kraków. The counterpoint is that he has already missed several matches, so this is a settled condition rather than a fresh blow for this fixture, and the club has given no indication of how close he is to a return.
- Adam Radwański, a Wisła Płock midfielder, has been in rehabilitation since being injured before his team's 20 September league game at Zagłębie Lubin.
- Radwański's rehabilitation was still ongoing on 5 October, with no return date indicated.
ConfirmedSources checked 6 Oct 2026, 09:14 · Europe/Bucharest
This match is played at the Synerise Arena, the municipal stadium in Kraków, rather than the club's own ground at Chałupnika, which hosts Wieczysta's reserves. It matters because Płock travel south into a large, shared venue rather than a compact, partisan club ground, so the setting is closer to neutral than a typical promoted club's home game. The limitation is that Wieczysta have been using this as their home base through the season, so it is a familiar setting for the hosts and not a disruption created for this fixture.
- The Friday 9 October fixture is staged at Synerise Arena Kraków – Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, kicking off at 18:00.
- Wieczysta's first team plays its home league games away from the club's Chałupnika ground, which is used by the reserve side.
ConfirmedSources checked 6 Oct 2026, 09:14 · Europe/Bucharest
Wieczysta's postponed league visit to GKS Katowice has been rescheduled for Monday 12 October, three days after this Friday game. The compressed turnaround gives the hosts a stronger reason than usual to manage minutes, particularly given that a settled core of senior players has started most of their matches this season. No coach has publicly flagged rotation, so any change to the line-up is a live possibility rather than a stated plan, and the backlog chiefly adds workload rather than a settled selection outcome.
- Wieczysta's rearranged Ekstraklasa match at GKS Katowice is scheduled for Monday 12 October at 20:30.
- That leaves a three-day gap between the Friday fixture against Płock and the GKS trip.
ConfirmedSources checked 6 Oct 2026, 09:14 · Europe/Bucharest
It shows the hosts can build heavy shot and corner volume at this ground, and equally how little they turned that volume into: one goal and one point from the fixture. Płock's away defending will be asked to absorb similar pressure, though they have already won twice on the road.
- On 7 September 2026 Wieczysta drew 1-1 at home with Zagłębie Lubin, taking 22 shots to Zagłębie's 12 and 10 corners to 3.
- Wieczysta put 7 shots on target to Zagłębie's 4, and both goals came after half-time following a goalless first half.
- It is Wieczysta's only home league fixture in the six-match recent sample, so the volume comes from a single game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 3.00
The read
Płock are higher in the table, in stronger recent form and have already won twice on the road this season.
- Płock 11th on 11 points from 8 games; Wieczysta 17th on 5
- Płock won last two league games 3-1 against Cracovia and 2-0 at Zagłębie Lubin
- Płock away: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 6 scored and 9 conceded
- Wieczysta have lost 5 of 8 league games
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostWisla PlockEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams score few first-half goals and Wieczysta have been level at the interval in most recent league games.
- Wieczysta first-half record: 0.44 scored, 0.67 conceded per league game
- Płock first-half record: 0.67 scored, 0.56 conceded per league game
- Four of Wieczysta's last five league matches were level at half-time
- Płock's 1-1 at Pogoń and 3-1 against Cracovia were both 0-0 at the break
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance48%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams score and concede after the break in patches, so an even second half is the most likely shape.
- Wieczysta second-half goal difference: 0.89 scored, 1.56 conceded per league game
- Płock second-half figures: 0.67 scored, 1.0 conceded per league game
- Wieczysta's 1-1 home draw with Zagłębie Lubin was level after the break
- Płock's 1-1 at Pogoń Szczecin was also level in the second half
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Wieczysta have one league win all season and no home victory, so this needs their best attacking day against a Płock side in better form. Płock are higher in the table, in stronger recent form and have already won twice on the road this season.
- 1 win in 8 league games (11 goals for, 17 against), 17th on 5 points
- Home league record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 2 goals for 3 against
- Płock 11th on 11 points from 8 games; Wieczysta 17th on 5
- Płock won last two league games 3-1 against Cracovia and 2-0 at Zagłębie Lubin
BetBugs · Double ChancewonWieczysta Krakow or Wisla PlockEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams score few first-half goals and Wieczysta have been level at the interval in most recent league games. Płock have started their recent wins well, scoring inside the first half in each of the last two league games.
- Wieczysta first-half record: 0.44 scored, 0.67 conceded per league game
- Płock first-half record: 0.67 scored, 0.56 conceded per league game
- Płock average 0.67 first-half goals per league game, Wieczysta 0.44
- Płock led 1-0 at half-time in both of their last two league wins
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or Wisla PlockEstimated chance78%

Goals5 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Both defences concede in almost every match, with Wieczysta averaging over two goals against per league game.
- Wieczysta's 8 league games produced 28 goals (11 for, 17 against)
- Płock's 8 league games produced 21 goals (9 for, 12 against)
- Wieczysta have kept no clean sheet in 9 competitive matches
- Last six competitive games: Wieczysta 19 goals, Płock 20 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Neither defence keeps clean sheets often and both attacks have found the net regularly in recent weeks.
- Wieczysta have conceded in all 9 competitive matches, no clean sheets
- Both teams scored in 7 of Wieczysta's 9 and 5 of Płock's 9
- Wieczysta scored in 7 of 9 competitive games
- Płock scored in 4 of their last 5 league matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The two sides' first-half scoring and conceding rates together point to at least one goal before the break.
- Wieczysta combine 0.44 first-half goals for with 0.67 against per league game
- Płock combine 0.67 first-half goals for with 0.56 against per league game
- Płock scored in the first half in 4 of their last 6 competitive matches
- Wieczysta conceded first-half goals in 3 of their last 5 league games
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves in both teams' recent games have been the highest-scoring period, especially for Wieczysta's defence.
- Wieczysta second-half totals average 2.45 goals per league game
- Płock second-half totals average 1.67 goals per league game
- Wieczysta conceded 10 second-half goals in their last 6 competitive matches
- Płock's last three league matches produced four second-half goals in total
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Wieczysta's goal output is low and Płock's defence has held opponents to one goal or fewer in most league games.
- Wieczysta have yet to score more than two in a league game
- Wieczysta scored 0 or 1 in 3 of their last 5 league matches
- Wieczysta's home league return is 2 goals in 2 games
- Płock have conceded fewer than two goals in 5 of 8 league games
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostWieczysta Krakow under 1.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Płock's away scoring has been modest, with two of their five away league games producing a single goal or none.
- Płock have scored 0 or 1 in 3 of their last 5 league matches
- Płock's away league return is 6 goals in 5 games
- Płock were held to one goal in the 1-1 at Pogoń Szczecin
- Wieczysta concede an average of 2.22 goals per league game but have faced high-volume attacks
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonWisla Plock under 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Wieczysta find the net in most matches, so a Płock shut-out looks unlikely.
- Wieczysta scored in 7 of 9 competitive matches
- Wieczysta scored in 5 of their last 6 competitive games
- Płock conceded in 7 of 9 competitive matches
- Płock kept only two clean sheets this season
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonWieczysta Krakow to scoreEstimated chance80%

Match stats1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The two teams' corner totals usually fall short of twelve combined.
- Combined corner averages total about 10.4 per match
- Wieczysta average 4.75 corners per game, Płock 6.25
- Płock's away league games produced 3, 4 and 11 corners for them
- Wieczysta's home game produced 10 corners for them
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 11.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams play open, high-volume matches and their shot averages sit close to thirty combined.
- Wieczysta average 14.5 shots for and 17 against (8 games)
- Płock average 14.9 shots for and 14.4 against (8 games)
- Wieczysta's last four league matches all exceeded 30 combined shots
- Płock's 22-shot performance at GKS Katowice was their highest of the season
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostOver 29.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined on-target averages sit around ten per match, with both keepers kept busy recently.
- Wieczysta average 4.4 shots on target for and 5.6 against (8 games)
- Płock average 4.9 shots on target for and 4.3 against (8 games)
- Wieczysta's last four league matches produced 10, 9, 11 and 10 on-target shots
- Płock's 1-1 at Pogoń produced 12 on-target shots
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Płock's recent matches have been card-heavy while Wieczysta pick up a moderate share of bookings.
- Wieczysta: 2.0 yellows per game, opponents 1.25 (8 games)
- Płock: 1.63 yellows per game, opponents 2.25 (8 games)
- Płock's last three league matches produced 6, 4 and 6 cards
- Wieczysta's 2-2 draw at Widzew produced 3 cards, their 0-2 at Pogoń 4
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance53%