Eintracht Braunschweig1Holstein Kiel0

HT 1–0Fri 9 Oct 2026, 16:30 Predictions graded

Predictions6–746%

Edges3–443%

PossPossession 35%–65%ShotsShots 10–11On targetOn target 3–0CornersCorners 2–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Oct 2026, 03:59 · Europe/Bucharest

Braunschweig's only league win came on 8 August, Kiel are still waiting for theirs, and almost nothing separates the two: both sit on four points, with near-identical chances of winning and the draw close behind.

That draw is the pick of the reviewed prices at 3.75; the half-time draw at 2.5 and Braunschweig level or ahead at the break at 1.38 also carry a small edge.

Context

Davidsen was hurt in the weekend friendly against Viborg FF, and the club ruled him out of the Braunschweig trip two days after that game. It removes a squad midfielder from a team that has no league win this season, on a trip to a side in the same half of the table. No recovery period was given, so how far the absence runs past this fixture is unknown.
- Kasper Davidsen suffered a muscle injury in the thigh during the 3-1 friendly win over Viborg FF on 3 October.
- He will not be available for the away game at Eintracht Braunschweig on Friday 9 October.
- Kiel have drawn four and lost two of their six league matches this season.
ConfirmedSources checked 7 Oct 2026, 03:57 · Europe/Bucharest
Kiel reached the international break without a league win and at the bottom of the table, and the early pressure on the coach was met with continuity. That matters because the trip to Braunschweig begins a stretch in which a club that only secured its place in the division in May is again being measured against the lower half. The assessment dates from mid-September, and a draw with Osnabrück and two friendly wins since then may have shifted the picture.
- Holstein Kiel had slipped to the foot of the 2. Bundesliga by mid-September after six league games without a win.
- Tim Walter remained in the job through that run and was still in charge when the squad returned to work on 4 October.
- Kiel secured their place in the division only in May 2026, with two matchdays of the previous season left.
ReportedSources checked 7 Oct 2026, 03:57 · Europe/Bucharest
Braunschweig's only win this season came in the opening round, and the five league games since have produced a single point. They come out of a break that included a 4-0 friendly defeat at Eintracht Frankfurt and into a home game that now carries the weight of a sequence rather than one result. Kiel arrive with a comparable record, so neither side brings clear momentum into the fixture.
- Braunschweig have not won a competitive match since the 6-1 league win at Magdeburg on 8 August.
- The run includes home defeats by VfL Bochum and Hertha BSC, a DFB-Pokal exit at home to Union Berlin and a 1-0 loss at Kaiserslautern on 19 September.
- They also lost a friendly 4-0 at Eintracht Frankfurt on 2 October.
ConfirmedSources checked 7 Oct 2026, 03:57 · Europe/Bucharest
Entrup was hurt in the home draw with Dynamo Dresden and the club framed the absence in weeks rather than days, without naming a return date. Braunschweig go into the Kiel game with one win and one point from five league matches since the opener, so whether the forward line is back to full strength is one of the open selection questions. No update followed the mid-September statement, which leaves his availability for this fixture unresolved.
- Entrup sustained a ligament injury in his foot in the home game against Dynamo Dresden on 12 September.
- The absence was put at several weeks at the time.
- With Entrup out, two other forwards moved into focus.
- M. Entrup started 3 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 7 Oct 2026, 03:57 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.50
The read
Both teams' first-half records point to a tight opening period with few clear chances.
- Kiel's away first-half goals for average is 0.6 and against is 0.4.
- Braunschweig's home first-half goals for and against are both 1.0.
- Four of Kiel's six league matches have ended level overall.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The second half may be tight, with both teams often level after 90 minutes.
- Kiel have drawn four of six league matches.
- Braunschweig's second-half goal difference is negative.
- Both teams average fewer than one second-half goal.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance41%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.29
The read
Braunschweig's home scoring and Kiel's winless league start give the home side a slight edge. Kiel's resilience and Braunschweig's leaky home defense give the visitors a fair chance of winning.
- Braunschweig have scored in four of five home competitive matches and average 1.8 goals at home.
- Kiel are winless in six league games (0W4D2L) and have taken one point from three away league matches.
- Kiel won the most recent meeting 2-0 and have drawn four of six league games.
- Braunschweig concede 2.11 goals per game and have no clean sheet in nine competitive matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonEintracht Braunschweig or Holstein KielEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.38
The read
Braunschweig's first-half scoring at home gives them a modest edge to lead at the break. Both teams' first-half records point to a tight opening period with few clear chances.
- Braunschweig average 1.0 first-half goal at home.
- Kiel concede 0.4 first-half goals away.
- Kiel's away first-half goals for average is 0.6 and against is 0.4.
- Braunschweig's home first-half goals for and against are both 1.0.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonEintracht Braunschweig or DrawEstimated chance75%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.45
The read
Braunschweig's home games produce goals at both ends and Kiel concede regularly, pointing to over 2.5.
- Braunschweig home competitive matches average 4.4 total goals.
- Braunschweig have no clean sheet in nine competitive matches and Kiel have one in eight.
- Kiel's recent six matches average 2.5 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Braunschweig's regular concessions and Kiel's scoring record make both teams finding the net likely.
- Braunschweig have conceded in all five home competitive matches.
- Kiel have scored in six of eight competitive matches.
- Both teams scored in four of Braunschweig's five home matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20
The read
Both teams' first-half scoring rates make at least one goal before the break likely.
- Braunschweig home first-half goals average is 1.0.
- Kiel away first-half goals average is 0.6.
- Both teams have scored first-half goals in recent matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Kiel's low away first-half scoring and Braunschweig's weakened attack make both scoring in the first half unlikely.
- Kiel away first-half goals against average is 0.4.
- Braunschweig home first-half goals against average is 1.0.
- Kiel have scored only 0.6 first-half goals away.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Braunschweig's weak second-half defense and both teams' late scoring make over 1.5 second-half goals slightly more likely.
- Braunschweig concede 1.44 second-half goals per game.
- Braunschweig average 0.78 second-half goals and Kiel average 0.63.
- Braunschweig's last two matches produced three second-half goals each.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner numbers combine to around the line, with a slight lean to over 11.5.
- Braunschweig average 4.78 corners and concede 6.78.
- Kiel average 6.75 corners and concede 5.0.
- Recent matches for both teams have often produced more than 11.5 corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 11.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined shot averages are just above 29.5, giving over a slight edge.
- Braunschweig average 15.11 shots and concede 16.11.
- Kiel average 14.13 shots and concede 13.5.
- Combined overall averages are just above 29.5.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostOver 29.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined shots-on-target averages are near 9.5, leaving over slightly more likely.
- Braunschweig average 6.11 shots on target and concede 6.11.
- Kiel average 3.75 shots on target and concede 3.75.
- Combined overall averages are near 9.5.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Kiel's high card count and the competitive nature of the fixture make over 5.5 cards slightly more likely.
- Kiel average 3.38 yellow cards per game.
- Kiel's recent six matches average 6.2 total cards.
- Braunschweig average 2.11 yellow cards and concede 2.33.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 5.5Estimated chance53%