Claypole1Deportivo Espanol1

HT 1–1Tue 6 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–473%

Edges2–250%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 6 Oct 2026, 00:26 · Europe/Bucharest

Deportivo Español, unbeaten in eleven and through to the reducido, visit a Claypole side with three defeats in its last five.

Their defence — four goals conceded in 15 matches — and a head-to-head run of one goal in five meetings point to a low-scoring game with at least one side shut out. Deportivo to win at 2.5 and under 2.5 goals at 1.45 are fair rather than generous; both teams to score: no at 1.7 and a level first half at 1.8 hold up.

Context

Round 31 of Primera C Zona B was reshuffled twice inside four days, first to Monday 5 October at 15:00 and then, with the fixture's security operation cited for the second move, to Tuesday 6 October at 14:00 at the Estadio Rodolfo Capocasa. The final slot sits outside the division's usual weekend and mid-afternoon pattern, an early Tuesday start that compresses the run-up for both squads. The consequence is a differently timed preparation rather than a change of ground, since the game stays at Claypole's own stadium and adds no travel factor.
- The Primera C Zona B round-31 fixture is set for Tuesday 6 October at 14:00 at the Estadio Rodolfo Capocasa in Claypole.
- Scheduling had moved twice in the preceding days, from a weekend listing to Monday 5 October at 15:00 and then to the Tuesday 14:00 slot.
- The second move was tied to the security operation for the game.
- The match is listed for broadcast on LPF Play.
ConfirmedSources checked 6 Oct 2026, 00:24 · Europe/BucharestKick-off time, venue and TV for Claypole vs Deportivo Españolwww.tycsports.com · 5 Oct 2026
Deportivo Español arrive with the longest unbeaten sequence either side can show, eleven league games without defeat since the 11 July loss to Cañuelas and capped by the 1-0 home win over Central Ballester. That same result is the one attached to the club's qualification for the Primera C reducido, so the trip to Claypole comes with the season's main objective already met. The caveat is that the run is narrow rather than dominant — eight goals scored across the eleven games — so it reads as defensive solidity more than a free-scoring edge.
- Deportivo Español beat Central Ballester 1-0 at home on 26 September in round 30.
- That result extended the club's unbeaten league run to eleven matches, a sequence that began after the 11 July loss to Cañuelas.
- The same win carried Deportivo Español into the Primera C reducido.
ReportedSources checked 6 Oct 2026, 00:24 · Europe/Bucharest
Claypole have not scored in any of the last five meetings with Deportivo Español, a run stretching back to May 2025.
The series is the closest thing to a form line between these two, and it points to a game decided by one goal at most. Deportivo's 1-0 win in June ended a run of four straight goalless draws between the clubs. Claypole's recent home league games have been livelier, so the goalless pattern is not guaranteed to repeat.
- Four of the five meetings listed between 24 May 2025 and 6 June 2026 finished 0-0.
- Deportivo Español beat Claypole 1-0 in the Primera C meeting of 6 June 2026.
- Claypole did not score in any of those five meetings.
Deportivo's edge this season is defensive: they scored 10 goals across the same 15 matches.
Conceding 0.27 goals per game makes one goal a realistic winning margin, but the same record shows only 10 goals scored, so the visitors are unlikely to run away with the game. Claypole have scored nine goals in their own 15-match window, which is the clearest reason to expect at least one side to be shut out.
- Deportivo Español's 15 tracked competitive matches run from 13 June to 26 September 2026.
- They conceded four goals and kept 11 clean sheets across those 15 matches.
- They scored 10 goals in the same window.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.50
The read
Deportivo have the best defensive record in the division and a long unbeaten run, while Claypole concede well over a goal a game.
- Deportivo are 3rd on 48 points from 30 (11W 15D 4L); Claypole are 12th on 32 (8W 8D 14L).
- Deportivo are unbeaten in eleven and have qualified for the reducido.
- Their 15-match window reads 8W 6D 1L with 10 scored, 4 conceded and 11 clean sheets.
- Their league away record is 5W 8D 2L with 15 scored and 11 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDeportivo EspanolEstimated chance41%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Both teams score little before the break and Deportivo are especially quiet in first halves.
- Combined first-half scoring rates are under a goal a game across the available samples.
- Three of Deportivo's last six matches were level at half-time.
- Claypole's home first halves average 0.9 goals in total.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is limited on both sides, making a level half the single most likely outcome.
- Deportivo average 0.53 second-half goals for and 0.13 against.
- Claypole average 0.5 second-half goals for and 0.6 against at home.
- Low combined second-half scoring rates across both samples.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' seasons and the recent head-to-head record are dominated by drawn, low-scoring matches. Deportivo have the best defensive record in the division and a long unbeaten run, while Claypole concede well over a goal a game.
- Deportivo Español have drawn 15 of 30 league games and 8 of 15 away games.
- Four of the last five meetings finished 0-0, with the fifth a 1-0 Deportivo win.
- Deportivo are 3rd on 48 points from 30 (11W 15D 4L); Claypole are 12th on 32 (8W 8D 14L).
- Deportivo are unbeaten in eleven and have qualified for the reducido.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Deportivo EspanolEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams score little before the break and Deportivo are especially quiet in first halves. Deportivo have scored early goals in some recent away wins, but their first-half output is generally low.
- Combined first-half scoring rates are under a goal a game across the available samples.
- Three of Deportivo's last six matches were level at half-time.
- Deportivo average 0.27 first-half goals across 15 matches and 0.5 in away splits.
- They scored first-half goals in wins at El Porvenir and Sportivo Barracas.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Deportivo EspanolEstimated chance86%

Goals7 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.45
The read
The teams' scoring and conceding rates and the head-to-head record all point to a low-scoring game.
- Four of the last five meetings finished 0-0 and the fifth was 1-0.
- Deportivo kept 11 clean sheets across 15 matches, conceding 4 goals.
- Deportivo's last six matches produced seven goals in total.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance69%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.70
The read
At least one side being shut out is the likely outcome given both attacks and Deportivo's clean-sheet rate.
- Claypole have scored 9 goals in their 15-match window, under one per game.
- Deportivo's away league record shows 11 conceded in 15 games.
- Four of the last five meetings ended 0-0.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Claypole's scoring rate is low and Deportivo's defence has conceded very little this season.
- Claypole average 0.87 goals per game across the 15-match window and 0.9 at home.
- Deportivo conceded 4 in 15 matches, with 11 clean sheets.
- Claypole managed one goal or fewer in most of the recent sample.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonClaypole under 1.5Estimated chance79%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Deportivo's scoring output is low and one goal has often been enough for them.
- Deportivo have scored 10 goals in 15 matches, 0.8 per game.
- Their league away record shows 15 goals in 15 away games.
- Four of their last six matches were won 1-0 or 2-0.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonDeportivo Espanol under 1.5Estimated chance81%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Claypole concede regularly at home and Deportivo have been finding a goal in recent games.
- Claypole conceded 11 goals in 15 matches and average 1.1 against at home.
- Deportivo have scored in each of their last five matches.
- Claypole's league home games have produced 17 goals against in 15.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonDeportivo Espanol to scoreEstimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Deportivo's clean-sheet rate is the strongest number in the available evidence and Claypole's scoring is light.
- Deportivo conceded 4 goals in 15 matches and kept 11 clean sheets.
- Claypole scored 9 goals in their 15-match window.
- Claypole have scored 15 goals in 15 home league games.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostClaypole not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Claypole rarely combine a win with a clean sheet against a team that scores as steadily as Deportivo.
- Claypole have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- Deportivo scored in each of their last five matches.
- Claypole's home league games have produced 17 goals against in 15.
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Claypole usually manage a home goal, which would prevent Deportivo winning without conceding.
- Claypole have scored 15 goals in 15 home league games.
- Deportivo's away league games have produced 11 goals against them in 15.
- Claypole scored in three of their last six matches.
BetBugs · Away Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance71%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Deportivo are very quiet before the break, which makes a goalless first half slightly more likely than not.
- Deportivo average 0.27 first-half goals for and 0.13 against.
- Three of Deportivo's last six matches had no first-half goal.
- Claypole's home first halves average 0.9 goals in total.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Low second-half goal rates on both sides make one goal or none after the break the likely outcome.
- Deportivo average 0.13 second-half goals against.
- Claypole's home second halves average 1.1 goals in total.
- Deportivo's last six matches produced seven goals in total.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance74%