Iceland33 – 0Bulgaria0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.40

The read

Iceland are at home and top of the group, while Bulgaria have one point and lost their only away match against European opposition.

• Iceland: W3 D2 L3 in 8 competitive matches; 2.13 goals scored per game
• Iceland home: W1 D2 L1 with 2.75 goals scored per home match
• Bulgaria: W3 D1 L7 in 11 competitive matches; 2.27 conceded per game
• Bulgaria away: 2W 0D 4L in 6 away matches, but wins included 10-2 vs Solomon Islands

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonIcelandEstimated chance56%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.80

The read

Iceland start matches strongly and Bulgaria have conceded before half-time in recent games.

• Iceland first half: 1.13 goals for, 0.50 against per match
• Bulgaria first half: 1.00 goals for, 0.91 against per match
• Iceland scored first-half goals in 2 of their last 3 matches
• Bulgaria conceded first-half goals in 2 of their last 3 matches

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonIcelandEstimated chance44%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Bulgaria fade after the break, while Iceland have scored in the second half in most recent games.

• Iceland second half: 1.00 goals for, 1.00 against per match
• Bulgaria second half: 0.45 goals for, 1.36 against per match
• Bulgaria scored only one second-half goal in their last 5 matches
• Iceland scored second-half goals in 4 of their last 6 matches

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonIcelandEstimated chance46%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Iceland are at home and top of the group, while Bulgaria have one point and lost their only away match against European opposition. Iceland have drawn half of their home matches in this sample, and Bulgaria showed they can sit deep and earn a point.

• Iceland: W3 D2 L3 in 8 competitive matches; 2.13 goals scored per game
• Iceland home: W1 D2 L1 with 2.75 goals scored per home match
• Iceland: 2 draws in 8 competitive matches; 2 draws in 4 home matches
• Bulgaria: 1 draw in 11 competitive matches; 0 draws in 6 away matches

BetBugs · Double ChancewonIceland or DrawEstimated chance80%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Iceland start matches strongly and Bulgaria have conceded before half-time in recent games. Both teams often reach half-time on level terms, and Iceland's last home game was 0-0 at the break.

• Iceland first half: 1.13 goals for, 0.50 against per match
• Bulgaria first half: 1.00 goals for, 0.91 against per match

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonIceland or DrawEstimated chance80%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.70

The read

Both teams have high goal involvement in their matches, with Iceland's home games and Bulgaria's away games averaging over four goals combined.

• Iceland: 2.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per competitive match
• Bulgaria: 1.45 scored and 2.27 conceded per competitive match
• Iceland home: 2.75 scored and 2.00 conceded per match
• Bulgaria away: 2.00 scored and 2.17 conceded per match

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches often produce around eight corners or more, with Bulgaria conceding many corners.

• Iceland: 4.0 corners for and 4.0 against per match, total 8.0
• Bulgaria: 3.22 corners for and 6.33 against per match, total 9.55
• Iceland's last two matches had 4 and 10 total corners
• Bulgaria's last two matches had 12 and 9 total corners

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches regularly produce well over 18 total shots, with Bulgaria facing heavy shot volume.

• Iceland: 11.63 shots for and 10.38 against per match, total 22.0
• Bulgaria: 6.78 shots for and 17.89 against per match, total 24.67
• Iceland's last two matches had 18 and 27 total shots
• Bulgaria's last two matches had 23 and 25 total shots

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches average around nine shots on target, comfortably over 6.5, though recent games are mixed.

• Iceland: 4.5 shots on target for and 4.63 against per match, total 9.13
• Bulgaria: 2.22 shots on target for and 6.56 against per match, total 8.78
• Iceland's last two matches had 5 and 13 total shots on target
• Bulgaria's last two matches had 4 and 14 total shots on target

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches average around four cards, and recent games have frequently gone over 3.5.

• Iceland: 1.63 yellow cards for and 2.5 against per match, total 4.13
• Bulgaria: 2.0 yellow cards for and 2.0 against per match, total 4.0
• Iceland's last two matches had 6 and 3 total yellow cards
• Bulgaria's last two matches had 5 and 4 total yellow cards