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FC Dornbirn 1913Kitzbuhel

Sat 3 Oct 2026, 14:003 Oct, 14:00

15Probabilities4Priced5Edges90%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight leanNear coin-flip

Quick Take

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Context last updated 3 Oct 2026, 17:20 · Europe/Bucharest

Dornbirn's home record meets a Kitzbühel side that has won three of four away games and scores on its travels.

Dornbirn look the likelier winners, but 1.75 asks more than that home form supports, and Over 2.5 at 1.43 is the same story. The one quoted price offering anything is both teams to score: No at 2.4, with Kitzbühel's away scoring the risk.

Context

No injury, availability or venue information is supplied, so the picture rests on results: Dornbirn's home record of five wins and four clean sheets in seven league matches against Kitzbühel's three wins from four away matches, with both sides scoring and conceding in those away games, plus a head-to-head run without a Kitzbühel win in five listed meetings.

The fixture has swung Dornbirn's way over the last five meetings, with Kitzbühel still looking for a win in that run.
Dornbirn already have a four-goal win on Kitzbühel's ground this year, which is the clearest recent reference for how this fixture can go. Kitzbühel's current away results point elsewhere, with three wins from four away matches this season. More than six months separate that match from this one, so it frames the fixture rather than settling it.
- 21 March 2026, Regionalliga West: Kitzbühel 0-4 Dornbirn.
- Single-match sample: the most recent of five meetings listed in the head-to-head record.
Dornbirn's home form is the single strongest argument for them in this fixture.
Five wins from seven home matches, with four clean sheets, gives Dornbirn a base that visiting teams have found hard to break. The absence of a home draw in that run also suggests their home games tend to be settled one way. The two defeats in the sample show it is not automatic, and Kitzbühel arrive having won three of four away matches.
- Home window 23 May to 18 September 2026: 7 matches, 5 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses.
- Dornbirn kept four clean sheets across those seven home matches.
Kitzbühel's away results are the strongest argument against treating Dornbirn's home record as decisive.
Three wins from four away matches shows Kitzbühel travel well, and they found the net in every one of those games. The same four matches produced no clean sheet at either end, which is relevant given how freely Dornbirn have scored at home. Four matches from June to September is a small sample and says little about how the sides will set up here.
- Away window 7 June to 19 September 2026: 4 matches, 3 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss.
- Both teams scored in all four of those away matches, and Kitzbühel kept no clean sheet in them.
Dornbirn's most recent result is the clearest counterweight to their strong home record.
A three-goal away defeat is a reminder that Dornbirn's recent run has not been flawless, even though they won four of the six matches in that window. It was also the only game in that stretch in which they failed to score, which matters for a home side normally backed to find the net. One result does not undo a five-win home record, but it is the freshest evidence there is.
- 26 September 2026, Regionalliga West: Schwaz 3-0 Dornbirn.
- Dornbirn's other five listed matches from 21 August to 18 September 2026 produced four wins and one draw.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalsUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.20fair 1.35

BetBugs 74% · Market 83.3%

−9.3ppshort

First-half goals have been common in both teams' recent matches.

Goals Over/UnderUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 2.5

1.43fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 69.9%

−4.9ppshort

Both teams' recent matches have produced goals at a rate above the 2.5 line.

Match WinnerUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

FC Dornbirn 1913

1.75fair 2.04

BetBugs 49% · Market 57.1%

−8.1ppshort

Dornbirn have a strong home record and recent head-to-head dominance over Kitzbuhel.

First Half WinnerUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

FC Dornbirn 1913

2.15fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 46.5%

−1.5ppshort

Dornbirn often start strongly at home and lead at half-time.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result5 outcomes · top 75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.75
The read
Dornbirn have a strong home record and recent head-to-head dominance over Kitzbuhel.
- Dornbirn home record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses in 7 home matches.
- Dornbirn home goals: 2.71 scored, 1.14 conceded per game.
- Head-to-head last five: Dornbirn won 3, drew 2, lost 0.
- Kitzbuhel away record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, conceding 1.75 per game.
BetBugs · Match WinnerFC Dornbirn 1913Market price1.75Estimated chance49%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.15
The read
Dornbirn often start strongly at home and lead at half-time.
- Dornbirn home first-half goals for average: 1.29.
- Dornbirn home first-half goals against average: 0.43.
- Kitzbuhel away first-half goals for average: 1.0.
- Dornbirn led at half-time in 4 of last 6 matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerFC Dornbirn 1913Market price2.15Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Dornbirn have a strong second-half record at home.
- Dornbirn home second-half goals for average: 1.43.
- Dornbirn home second-half goals against average: 0.71.
- Kitzbuhel away second-half goals for average: 2.0.
- Dornbirn won second half in 4 of last 6 matches.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerFC Dornbirn 1913Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dornbirn have a strong home record and recent head-to-head dominance over Kitzbuhel. Kitzbuhel have a better overall record and a high-scoring away form.
- Dornbirn home record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses in 7 home matches.
- Dornbirn home goals: 2.71 scored, 1.14 conceded per game.
- Kitzbuhel overall: 9 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses.
- Kitzbuhel away: 3 wins, 1 loss, scoring 3.0 per game.
BetBugs · Double ChanceFC Dornbirn 1913 or KitzbuhelEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dornbirn often start strongly at home and lead at half-time. Both teams can be tight in the first half, making a half-time draw possible.
- Dornbirn home first-half goals for average: 1.29.
- Dornbirn home first-half goals against average: 0.43.
- Kitzbuhel away first-half goals against average: 0.25.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfFC Dornbirn 1913 or DrawEstimated chance75%

Goals10 outcomes · top 90%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.43
The read
Both teams' recent matches have produced goals at a rate above the 2.5 line.
- Dornbirn overall matches average 3.71 total goals.
- Kitzbuhel away matches average 4.75 total goals.
- Recent Dornbirn matches average 4.0 total goals.
- Recent Kitzbuhel matches average 3.5 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5Market price1.43Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have scored regularly in their respective home and away matches.
- Kitzbuhel scored in all 4 away matches.
- Dornbirn scored in all 7 home matches.
- Kitzbuhel conceded in all 4 away matches.
- Dornbirn home both teams scored: 3 in 7.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dornbirn score heavily at home and Kitzbuhel concede regularly on their travels.
- Dornbirn home goals for average: 2.71.
- Dornbirn scored in all 7 home matches.
- Kitzbuhel away goals against average: 1.75.
- Dornbirn recent home wins include 4-0 and 7-0.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalFC Dornbirn 1913 over 1.5Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Kitzbuhel have scored at least twice in most away matches.
- Kitzbuhel away goals for average: 3.0.
- Kitzbuhel scored in all 4 away matches.
- Dornbirn home goals against average: 1.14.
- Kitzbuhel recent away win 2-1 at Kufstein.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalKitzbuhel over 1.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Kitzbuhel's away scoring makes a Dornbirn clean sheet less likely.
- Kitzbuhel scored in all 4 away matches.
- Dornbirn home clean sheets: 4 in 7.
- Kitzbuhel away goals for average 3.0.
- Head-to-head: Kitzbuhel scored in 2 of last 5.
BetBugs · Team to ScoreKitzbuhel to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dornbirn's home scoring record makes a Kitzbuhel clean sheet very unlikely.
- Dornbirn scored in all 7 home matches.
- Kitzbuhel away clean sheets: 0 in 4.
- Dornbirn home goals for average 2.71.
- Kitzbuhel away goals against average 1.75.
BetBugs · Team to ScoreFC Dornbirn 1913 to scoreEstimated chance90%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
It is more likely that Dornbirn either fail to win or concede if they do win.
- Kitzbuhel scored in all 4 away matches.
- Dornbirn home clean sheets: 4 in 7.
- Kitzbuhel away goals for average 3.0.
- Dornbirn home wins: 5 in 7.
BetBugs · Home Win to NilNoEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20
The read
First-half goals have been common in both teams' recent matches.
- Dornbirn home first-half goals for average 1.29.
- Kitzbuhel away first-half goals for average 1.0.
- Kitzbuhel recent first halves: all had at least one goal.
- Dornbirn recent first halves: 5 of 6 had at least one goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfMarket price1.20Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First halves have usually seen at most one team score.
- Dornbirn home first-half clean sheets are frequent.
- Kitzbuhel away first-half clean sheets are frequent.
- Dornbirn recent first half: both scored in 1 of 6.
- Kitzbuhel recent first half: both scored in 1 of 6.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfNoEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves in both teams' recent matches have often had at least two goals.
- Dornbirn overall second-half total goals average: 2.14.
- Kitzbuhel away second-half total goals average: 3.5.
- Dornbirn recent second halves: over 1.5 in 5 of 6.
- Kitzbuhel recent second halves: over 1.5 in 4 of 6.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfOver 1.5Estimated chance68%

Head-to-Head

2W · 2D · 1W

W0-4KitzbühelvDornbirnMar 21, 2026REG

L4-2DornbirnvKitzbühelAug 9, 2025REG

D0-0DornbirnvKitzbühelMay 24, 2025REG

W1-3KitzbühelvDornbirnOct 19, 2024REG

D0-0DornbirnvKitzbühelMar 30, 2019REG

FC Dornbirn 1913: 3 clean sheetsKitzbuhel: 2 clean sheets2.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Regionalliga - West 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	FC Dornbirn 1913	9	6	2	1	23-8	20	LWDWW
5	Kitzbuhel	9	6	0	3	21-12	18	WWLWL

2pt gap between teams

Recent Form

FC Dornbirn 1913

L0-3SchwazSep 26REG

W1-0LauterachSep 18REG

D2-2RöthisSep 13REG

W4-0FügenSep 5REG

W4-1LustenauAug 29REG

W7-0LochauAug 21REG

W1-0SK St. JohannAug 15REG

W3-1WolfurtAug 8REG

D1-1Swarovski Tirol IIAug 2REG

L1-5RiedJul 24CUP

L0-4Schwarz-Weiß BregenzJul 7FRI

L1-2Pinzgau SaalfeldenJun 13REG

L1-2SVG ReichenauJun 4REG

L3-4SeekirchenMay 30REG

W2-0Rheindorf Altach IIMay 23REG

Kitzbuhel

W4-0Rheindorf Altach IISep 26REG

W2-1KufsteinSep 19REG

L1-2HohenemsSep 13REG

W3-2ImstSep 9REG

L0-2Grazer AKSep 6CUP

L1-3SchwazAug 30REG

W4-2LauterachAug 23REG

W4-0RöthisAug 14REG

L0-2FügenAug 8REG

W2-0LustenauJul 31REG

W4-1LustenauJul 25CUP

W5-3EbbsJul 10FRI

W4-1SeekirchenJun 13REG

W5-2Rheindorf Altach IIJun 7REG

D0-0TSV St. JohannJun 4REG

Squad & Injuries

FC Dornbirn 1913

22 available

Attackers6

Midfielders8

Defenders5

Goalkeeper3

Kitzbuhel

20 available

Attackers4

Midfielders10

Defenders4

Goalkeeper2