SCR Altach II22 – 5Kitzbuhel5

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The strong H2H pattern of away wins in the last four meetings, combined with Altach II's poor home record and defensive fragility, gives Kitzbuhel a slight edge despite their own inconsistent away form.

• H2H last 4 meetings all won by away team, including 4-1 Kitzbuhel on 2025-11-08
• Kitzbuhel away record this season: 5 wins, 1 draw, 9 losses in 15 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 25
• Altach II home record: 4 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses in 15 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 28
• Altach II last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, but overall season goals conceded 65 in 30 matches

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonKitzbuhelEstimated chance42%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Altach II's low home win rate and the H2H trend of away dominance make a home win unlikely, supporting a double chance for Kitzbuhel or draw.

• Altach II home win rate only 27% (4/15) this season
• Kitzbuhel have avoided defeat in 6 of their last 10 away matches (5 wins, 1 draw)
• H2H last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 4 away wins
• Altach II have drawn 3 of 15 home matches (20%)

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or KitzbuhelEstimated chance65%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Kitzbuhel's slightly better second-half performance and Altach II's defensive struggles suggest Kitzbuhel could edge the second half.

• Altach II second half goal difference: -0.8 per game (1.2 scored, 2.1 conceded overall, minus first half 0.5/1.3 = 0.7/0.8)
• Kitzbuhel second half goal difference: +0.2 per game (1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded overall, minus first half 0.6/0.8 = 0.6/0.5)
• Kitzbuhel have won 5 of their last 10 away matches, often scoring in second half
• Altach II have lost 8 of 15 home matches, frequently conceding late

BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableKitzbuhelEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

While not highly probable, the combination of Altach II's poor home record and Kitzbuhel's ability to lead at half time makes a Kitzbuhel/Kitzbuhel HT/FT double a plausible low-probability outcome.

• Kitzbuhel led at half time and won full time in 3 of their last 10 away matches
• Altach II trailed at half time and lost full time in 6 of 15 home matches (40%)
• H2H last meeting: Kitzbuhel led at half time and won full time
• Kitzbuhel overall win rate when leading at half time is high (exact data unavailable, but 47% lead rate and 40% win rate suggest strong conversion)

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableKitzbuhel / KitzbuhelEstimated chance25%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have high total goal averages in their respective home/away splits, and Altach II's recent matches have been particularly high-scoring, pointing to over 2.5 goals.

• Altach II matches average 3.3 total goals this season (33 scored, 65 conceded in 30 games)
• Altach II home matches average 3.1 total goals (19 scored, 28 conceded in 15 games)
• Kitzbuhel away matches average 3.0 total goals (20 scored, 25 conceded in 15 games)
• Last 5 Altach II matches: 3, 2, 2, 7, 9 total goals (avg 4.6)

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams regularly score and concede in their respective home/away fixtures, making both teams to score a likely outcome.

• Altach II have scored in 11 of 15 home matches this season
• Kitzbuhel have scored in 11 of 15 away matches this season
• Altach II have conceded in 13 of 15 home matches
• Kitzbuhel have conceded in 12 of 15 away matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Altach II's high first-half concession rate and recent first-half goal spikes suggest potential for over 1.5 first-half goals, though Kitzbuhel's lower first-half totals temper confidence.

• Altach II first half goals average 0.5 per game, first half conceded 1.3 per game (total 1.8 first half goals on average)
• Kitzbuhel first half goals average 0.6 per game, first half conceded 0.8 per game (total 1.4 first half goals on average)
• Altach II last 5 matches: first half goals totals: 2, 0, 2, 1, 4 (avg 1.8)
• Kitzbuhel last 5 matches: first half goals totals: 0, 1, 1, 1, 1 (avg 0.8)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

In the absence of specific corner data, a neutral estimate of over 8.5 corners is given based on typical league averages and the match context of an open game.

• Corner data unavailable for both teams in provided stats
• Regionalliga West average corners typically range 8-10 per match based on general lower-league trends
• Both teams' playing styles (Altach II high conceding, Kitzbuhel moderate scoring) suggest attacking intent that could generate corners