Anguilla00 – 3Antigua and Barbuda3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Antigua dominated the identical fixture last week and face a side that has scored in only two of eight competitive games.

• Antigua won the 26 September meeting 5-0 with 24 shots to 9 and 10 on target to 2
• Anguilla concede 3.25 goals per competitive match and have no clean sheets in 8
• Anguilla scored 0 goals in 6 of their 8 competitive matches
• Antigua's 7 away matches: 0 wins, 2 goals scored, 19 conceded

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAntigua and BarbudaEstimated chance62%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Anguilla concede frequently before the break and were five goals down at half time in this fixture last week.

• Antigua first half: 6 goals in 15 competitive matches, 5 in one game
• Anguilla first half: 1.88 goals conceded per competitive match
• Antigua led at half time in 1 of their last 6 matches
• Anguilla trailed at half time in 3 of their last 6 matches

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonAntigua and BarbudaEstimated chance45%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Anguilla concede more often after the break than before it, which slightly favours Antigua in the second half.

• Anguilla second half: 1.38 goals conceded per competitive match
• Antigua away second half: 0.29 goals scored per match
• Anguilla conceded 2 second-half goals at home to Aruba on 29 September
• Antigua have not scored a second-half goal in 4 of their last 6 matches

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonAntigua and BarbudaEstimated chance43%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

A tight, low-scoring game is plausible because Antigua create little away from home and Anguilla have not scored at home. Antigua dominated the identical fixture last week and face a side that has scored in only two of eight competitive games.

• Anguilla have no draws in 8 competitive matches
• Antigua have 3 draws in 15 competitive matches
• Antigua won the 26 September meeting 5-0 with 24 shots to 9 and 10 on target to 2
• Anguilla concede 3.25 goals per competitive match and have no clean sheets in 8

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Antigua and BarbudaEstimated chance83%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams start slowly, with Antigua yet to score a first-half goal away and Anguilla rarely scoring at all. Anguilla concede frequently before the break and were five goals down at half time in this fixture last week.

• Anguilla first-half goals: 0.25 scored per competitive match
• Antigua away first-half goals: 0 in 7 matches
• Antigua first half: 6 goals in 15 competitive matches, 5 in one game
• Anguilla first half: 1.88 goals conceded per competitive match

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Antigua and BarbudaEstimated chance89%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Anguilla's goals have come almost only against Bahamas, so at least one side going without a goal is the likely outcome.

• Anguilla failed to score in 6 of 8 competitive matches
• Anguilla scored 0 in their 2 tracked home matches
• Antigua kept a clean sheet in the 5-0 meeting on 26 September
• Antigua have scored 2 goals in 7 away matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Anguilla have conceded in every competitive match tracked and were breached five times by this opponent last week.

• Anguilla have 0 clean sheets in 8 competitive matches
• Anguilla conceded 3.25 goals per competitive match
• Anguilla conceded 2 goals at home to Aruba on 29 September
• Antigua scored 5 against Anguilla on 26 September

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonAntigua and Barbuda to scoreEstimated chance80%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Anguilla have only scored against Bahamas-level teams and were shut out in the same fixture last week.

• Anguilla scored in 2 of 8 competitive matches
• Anguilla scored 0 goals in their 2 tracked home matches
• Antigua kept a clean sheet in the 5-0 win on 26 September
• Antigua conceded 2.71 goals per away match

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonAnguilla not to scoreEstimated chance66%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Anguilla's matches usually see an early goal, but Antigua have been scoreless before the break in almost all recent games.

• Anguilla first half: 2 goals scored in 8 competitive matches
• Antigua first half: 6 goals in 15 competitive matches, 5 in one game
• 5 of Anguilla's last 6 matches had at least one first-half goal
• Antigua's last 6 matches produced a first-half goal only once

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Anguilla concede a heavy corner count in every match, which should carry the total past the line even with modest Antigua output.

• Anguilla average 1 corner per match and concede 8.75 opponent corners (4 matches)
• Antigua average 4.3 corners and concede 6.6 (13 matches)
• Anguilla's 2 tracked home matches produced 2 corners for them and 22 for opponents
• The 26 September meeting produced 5 corners in total

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both sides' matches produce shot totals well above the line, and the reverse fixture had 33.

• Anguilla matches average 32 total shots (4 matches)
• Antigua matches average 27 total shots (13 matches)
• The 26 September meeting produced 33 shots
• Antigua's 7 away matches average 27 total shots

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Anguilla give up about ten shots on target per game and Antigua add to that, so the line should be passed.

• Anguilla matches average 11.5 shots on target in total (4 matches)
• Antigua matches average 10.6 shots on target (13 matches)
• The 26 September meeting produced 12 shots on target
• Anguilla face 10.5 opponent shots on target per match