Oriental33 – 2Fenix Montevideo2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 3.40

The read

Oriental sit higher in the table, are unbeaten at home in the league this season and have won the last two meetings at their own ground.

• Oriental: 5 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses in the 15-match window; 1.07 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game.
• Oriental's league home record this season is 2 wins and 1 draw from three games, 3 goals scored and 1 conceded.
• Oriental won both previous home meetings with Fénix, 2-0 and 1-0.
• Fénix played in Florida on 23 September, three days before this fixture; Oriental last played on 20 September.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonOrientalEstimated chance42%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Second halves involving these teams are more open, with both teams scoring and conceding after the break.

• Oriental concede 0.53 second-half goals per game; Fénix concede 0.87.
• Fénix's away second halves average 1.63 goals in total.
• Oriental score 0.67 and Fénix 0.47 after the break, both under one per game.
• Oriental's home second halves average 1.29 goals in total.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.88

The read

Both sides find the net in the large majority of their matches and Fénix have scored in six straight games.

• Oriental scored in 13 of 15 matches in the window and in six of seven at home.
• Fénix scored in 12 of 15 matches and in seven of eight away matches.
• Fénix have scored in each of their last six matches.
• Both-teams-to-score appeared in 8 of Oriental's 15 matches and 8 of Fénix's 15.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Fénix score in most matches, including almost all of their away games, so a shut-out is unlikely.

• Fénix scored in 12 of 15 matches and in seven of eight away games.
• Fénix have scored in each of their last six matches.
• Oriental conceded in 10 of 15 matches in the window.
• Oriental's home matches in the window show 1.29 goals conceded per game.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonFenix Montevideo to scoreEstimated chance78%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Oriental score in most of their matches and Fénix concede regularly away from home.

• Oriental scored in 13 of 15 matches and in six of seven at home.
• Fénix conceded in 6 of 8 away matches in the window.
• Fénix's away window shows 1.63 goals conceded per game.
• Fénix have conceded three or more in two of their last six matches.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonOriental to scoreEstimated chance82%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Fénix almost always score, which makes a clean-sheet win unlikely for Oriental.

• Oriental have 5 wins and 5 clean sheets in 15 matches, so the overlap is limited.
• Fénix have scored in 12 of 15 matches and in each of their last six.
• Fénix's away window shows 1.5 goals scored per game.
• Oriental's 2-0 home win over Plaza Colonia on 30 August shows the pattern is possible.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.45

The read

Around one first-half goal is typical for these teams, so a goal before the break is more likely than none.

• Oriental's first halves average 0.87 goals in total; Fénix's away first halves average 1.50.
• Fénix average 0.73 first-half goals scored and 0.53 conceded per game.
• Oriental's window shows 0.40 first-half goals for and 0.47 against per game.
• Fénix's away split shows 1.00 first-half goals scored per game.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

A goal at each end before half-time is unusual for both teams.

• Oriental's first halves produce 0.87 goals in total; Fénix's 1.27 overall and 1.50 away.
• First-half scoring sits below one goal per team per game for both sides.
• Fénix's 2-3 cup defeat on 23 September is the only recent match with two first-half goals for them.
• Oriental concede 0.43 first-half goals per home game.