Morocco22 – 0Gabon0

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.18

The read

Morocco score regularly and give up very little at home, while Gabon travel with a new coach and without their leading attacking players.

• Morocco: 7 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 10 competitive matches, 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, 6 clean sheets.
• Morocco at home in this window: 3 wins and 1 draw in 4, with 2.0 goals scored per game.
• The last two meetings with Gabon finished 5-1 and 4-1 to Morocco.
• Gabon lost 4 of their last 6 listed matches and are without Aubameyang (retired), Lemina and Allevinah (injured); Morocco miss suspended Hakimi and Saibari.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonMoroccoEstimated chance74%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Morocco start games on the front foot at home, though both teams have been hard to break down before the break.

• Morocco average 0.8 first-half goals scored and 0.3 conceded per competitive match.
• Gabon average 0.83 first-half goals scored and 0.17 conceded.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonMoroccoEstimated chance45%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Morocco's stronger scoring period is after half time, when Gabon's defensive record also loosens.

• Morocco average 1.0 second-half goal scored and 0.3 conceded per competitive match.
• Morocco scored all three goals after the break against Canada and all four second-half goals against Haiti's two.

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonMoroccoEstimated chance50%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Morocco score regularly and give up very little at home, while Gabon travel with a new coach and without their leading attacking players. Gabon have held up on the road in this window, and both sides are starting a new coach's first competitive fixture.

• Morocco: 7 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 10 competitive matches, 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, 6 clean sheets.
• Morocco at home in this window: 3 wins and 1 draw in 4, with 2.0 goals scored per game.
• Morocco drew 2 of 10 competitive matches; Gabon drew 2 of 13.
• Gabon's away record in the tracked window is 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonMorocco or DrawEstimated chance91%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Morocco start games on the front foot at home, though both teams have been hard to break down before the break. First halves involving these two teams have produced roughly one goal, keeping the half-time score level more often than not.

• Morocco average 0.8 first-half goals scored and 0.3 conceded per competitive match.
• Gabon average 0.83 first-half goals scored and 0.17 conceded.
• Morocco's first halves average 1.1 goals in total; Gabon's average 1.0.
• Gabon conceded only 0.17 first-half goals per tracked match.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonMorocco or DrawEstimated chance86%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.45

The read

Morocco concede very little at home, and Gabon's attack is short of its usual names.

• Morocco kept 6 clean sheets in 10 competitive matches, conceding 4 goals in total.
• Both teams scored in 3 of Morocco's 10 matches and in 6 of Gabon's 13.
• Gabon are without Aubameyang, Lemina and Allevinah for this match.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Morocco have averaged two goals a game at home and face a Gabon side missing attacking players.

• Morocco scored 8 goals in 4 home matches in this window, an average of 2.0.
• Morocco scored in all 4 of those home matches.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonMorocco over 1.5Estimated chance53%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Morocco's home defence gives Gabon little room, making two goals for the visitors unlikely.

• Morocco conceded 4 goals in 10 competitive matches, with 6 clean sheets.
• Gabon's away scoring average of 1.71 per game is spread across matches against weaker opposition than Morocco.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonGabon under 1.5Estimated chance81%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Morocco's home record shows very few goals conceded and Gabon arrive without their main attacking names.

• Morocco kept 6 clean sheets in 10 competitive matches, conceding 4 goals in total.
• Gabon lost Aubameyang to retirement and Allevinah to an adductor injury before this camp.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonGabon not to scoreEstimated chance53%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Morocco score in almost every match they play, and Gabon have conceded in 7 of 13 tracked matches.

• Morocco found the net in 9 of 10 competitive matches.
• Morocco scored in all 4 home matches in this window at an average of 2.0 goals per game.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonMorocco to scoreEstimated chance83%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25

The read

Both teams contribute around a goal per first half, so a goal before the break is the more likely outcome.

• Morocco's first halves average 1.1 goals in total; Gabon's average 1.0.
• Morocco's home matches average 1.25 first-half goals in total.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second-half totals for both teams sit below the line, making one or zero goals the more likely outcome.

• Morocco's second halves average 1.3 goals in total, below the 1.5 line.
• Gabon's second halves average 1.17 goals in total.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Morocco's home games have generated few corners and they concede almost none, which pulls the total down.

• Morocco's home matches in this window produced about 6.25 corners in total, with only 0.25 per game conceded.
• Gabon conceded 8 and 9 corners in their AFCON defeats to Ivory Coast and Cameroon.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Neither side regularly reaches ten shots on target in total, especially with Gabon's depleted attack.

• Morocco's competitive matches average 7.0 shots on target in total; Gabon's average 6.33.
• Gabon managed 2 shots on target in their AFCON loss to Cameroon and 3 against Ivory Coast.