Over 1.5
Market 50% · BetBugs 55%
Second halves have been high-scoring for both teams, likely due to defensive lapses as matches progress.
EredivisieFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Den Haag's winless start and Cambuur's slightly better form make Draw or Cambuur Leeuwarden the top value bet at 2.05 (implied 48.8% vs our 62% estimate).
Avoid Over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes, as their short odds (1.40 and 1.45) offer negative value despite both teams' leaky defenses.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 50% · BetBugs 55%
Second halves have been high-scoring for both teams, likely due to defensive lapses as matches progress.
Market 48.8% · BetBugs 62%
Den Haag have not won at home this season and Cambuur have avoided defeat in 2 of their last 3 away matches, supporting the double chance.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 62% · Market 71.4%
Both teams have leaky defenses and recent matches have consistently produced over 2.5 goals, but the odds are too short to offer value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 71.4% leaves no cushion vs our 62% estimate; vig too heavy for a directional Over play.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Den HaagRelegation - Eerste Divisie | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6-16 | 1 |
| 15 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9-18 | 4 |

