Grasshopper Zurich2Sion5

HT 1–1Tue 15 Sept 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–558%

Edges6–0100%

PossPossession 43%–57%ShotsShots 8–16On targetOn target 3–7CornersCorners 1–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Sep 2026, 01:19 · Europe/Bucharest

Sion are the form side and likely to win, but the market has priced that in, leaving no value on the away win or over 2.5 goals.

The only positive edge is on Over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.10, where our model sees a 55% chance versus the implied 47.6%.

Context

Grasshopper Zurich are 10th in the 12-team Super League with one point from three matches. They have lost their only home game 4-1 to FC Lugano.
Their league form is LLD, with a 2-1 loss at Servette FC on 8 August and a 1-1 draw at Lausanne on 25 July. They have conceded seven goals in three games, the joint-second most in the division. Sion have won two of three and will test a defence that has kept no clean sheet this season.
- Grasshopper are 10th with 1 point from 3 games (0W, 1D, 2L).
- They lost their only home match 1-4 to FC Lugano on 2 August.
- They have conceded 7 goals in 3 league games.
Sion are 4th with six points from three games, scoring eight goals. Their only away league game was a 4-2 defeat at BSC Young Boys on 26 July.
Sion's away record is 0W, 0D, 1L with two goals scored and four conceded. They have also played two Europa Conference League away matches, drawing 2-2 at FC Noah and 1-1 at Bate Borisov. Grasshopper's home struggles may give Sion a chance to improve that away form, but their defensive vulnerability on the road is clear.
- Sion lost their only away league game 2-4 at BSC Young Boys on 26 July.
- They have conceded 4 goals in that away match.
- In all competitions, Sion have not won an away game this season (2 draws, 1 loss).
Grasshopper Zurich defender S. Decarli has ended his professional career after an immediate contract termination.
His permanent departure removes a central-defensive option from the squad, reducing depth for this match against Sion. Grasshopper will need to rely on their remaining centre-backs without the possibility of using Decarli.
- Grasshopper Club Zürich announced on 31 August that it had agreed an immediate contract termination with Decarli.
- The club identified Decarli as a central defender and said he was ending his professional career.
ConfirmedSources checked 13 Sep 2026, 01:18 · Europe/BucharestGrasshopper Club Zürich: Decarli retires and leaves immediatelywww.gcz.ch · 31 Aug 2026
The last five meetings between these teams have produced three Sion wins, one Grasshopper win, and one draw.
Sion won 4-0 at Grasshopper on 6 April 2026 and 1-0 at home on 19 October 2025. Grasshopper's only win in that span was a 4-3 home cup victory on 3 February 2026. The most recent league meeting was a heavy Sion away win, which may give them confidence, but the cup result shows Grasshopper can compete at home.
- Sion won 4-0 at Grasshopper on 6 April 2026.
- Sion won 1-0 at home on 19 October 2025.
- Grasshopper won 4-3 at home in the Schweizer Cup on 3 February 2026.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Sion

1.80fair 2.08

BetBugs 48% · Market 55.6%

0.0ppshort

Sion's superior recent form and strong H2H record, combined with Grasshoppers' poor home start, make an away win the most likely outcome.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Sion

1.22fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 82%

0.0ppshort

Grasshoppers' poor form and home struggles make it unlikely they win, so backing Sion or draw offers high safety.

2 Nd Half ResultwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Sion

2.20fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 45.5%

0.0ppshort

Sion's superior second-half scoring and overall form make them likely to win the second half.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.50fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 66.7%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' recent scoring and conceding trends, plus high-scoring H2H history, support over 2.5 goals.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Yes

1.45fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 69%

0.0ppshort

Both teams show consistent scoring but also defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams scoring likely.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Sion's superior recent form and strong H2H record, combined with Grasshoppers' poor home start, make an away win the most likely outcome.
- Sion league form WWL with 8 goals scored in 3 matches; Grasshoppers LLD with 3 goals scored and 7 conceded.
- H2H last 5: Sion won 3, Grasshoppers won 2; Sion won last league meeting 4-0 away.
- Grasshoppers home record this season: 0W 0D 1L, 1 goal scored, 4 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSionEstimated chance48%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Grasshoppers' poor form and home struggles make it unlikely they win, so backing Sion or draw offers high safety.
- Grasshoppers have not won at home this season (0W 0D 1L).
- Sion have lost only 1 of their last 5 H2H meetings (3W 1D 1L).
- Grasshoppers league form LLD with only 1 point from 3 matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or SionEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Sion's slightly better first-half scoring and Grasshoppers' defensive issues give Sion a marginal edge, but confidence is low.
- Sion led at halftime in 43% of recent matches; Grasshoppers led in 47%.
- Sion average 1.1 first-half goals scored vs Grasshoppers 0.9.
- Grasshoppers trailed at halftime in 33% of matches; Sion trailed in 36%.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostSionEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Sion's superior second-half scoring and overall form make them likely to win the second half.
- Sion average 2.1 second-half goals scored; Grasshoppers average 0.8 second-half goals scored.
- Sion's overall goal difference is +2; Grasshoppers is -4.
- Sion have won 2 of their last 3 league matches, often scoring late.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonSionEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Sion leading at halftime and fulltime is possible given their form, but the probability is low due to variance.
- Sion led at halftime in 43% of matches and won 2 of last 3 league games.
- Grasshoppers have not won at home this season.
- H2H: Sion won last meeting 4-0 away.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostSion/SionEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent scoring and conceding trends, plus high-scoring H2H history, support over 2.5 goals.
- Sion average 3.2 goals scored per match in recent form; Grasshoppers concede 1.8 per match.
- H2H last 5: 4 of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Grasshoppers recent home matches: 1-4 loss, 3-2 win, 0-2 loss, 1-2 loss.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams show consistent scoring but also defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams scoring likely.
- Grasshoppers scored in 4 of their last 5 league matches; Sion scored in all recent matches.
- Sion conceded in 3 of last 4 league matches; Grasshoppers conceded in all recent league matches.
- H2H: both teams scored in 3 of last 5 meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the first half, but the line is high and confidence is low due to limited first-half H2H data.
- Grasshoppers average 0.9 first-half goals scored and 0.6 conceded; Sion average 1.1 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Combined first-half goal average is 1.7 per match.
- H2H last 5: first-half goals data unavailable, but overall high scoring suggests potential.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Sion's strong second-half scoring and overall high-scoring trend make over 1.5 second-half goals plausible.
- Grasshoppers average 0.8 second-half goals scored (total 1.7 minus 0.9 first-half); Sion average 2.1 second-half goals scored (3.2 minus 1.1).
- Sion's high scoring rate often comes after halftime.
- H2H last 5: 4 of 5 matches had over 2.5 total goals, indicating second-half scoring.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a decent number of corners, and the combined average is near the line, but confidence is low.
- Grasshoppers average 4.2 corners per match; Sion average 5.8 corners per match.
- Combined average corners: 10.0 per match.
- Recent H2H corner data unavailable.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance48%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Sion's high shot volume and Grasshoppers' defensive struggles suggest over 8.5 shots on target, but variance is high.
- Grasshoppers average 3.4 shots on target per match; Sion average 6.2 shots on target per match.
- Combined average shots on target: 9.6 per match.
- Sion's attacking volume is high (17.4 shots per match).
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined card average is slightly above the line, and Grasshoppers' disciplinary issues could push it over.
- Grasshoppers average 2.8 yellow cards per match; Sion average 1.9 yellow cards per match.
- Combined average yellow cards: 4.7 per match.
- Grasshoppers also average 0.6 red cards per match.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance52%