Super LigaFull time

Predictions graded

Radnicki Nis3OFK Belgrade1

HT 1–0Sun 13 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–650%

Edges1–420%

PossPossession 46%–54%ShotsShots 13–8On targetOn target 7–2CornersCorners 3–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Sep 2026, 00:50 · Europe/Bucharest

Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 (+7.9-point edge) and Both Teams to Score No at 2.00 (+8-point edge), as both sides struggle to score.

The first-half draw at 2.20 also offers value (+10 points), but avoid the match winner and first-half under 1.5 markets due to poor pricing.

Context

Radnicki Nis are 13th in the Super Liga with 5 points from 7 matches.
Their home record is 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1 goal scored and 3 conceded. In their last home league match, they drew 1-1 with Radnicki 1923 on 2026-08-29. This suggests they may struggle to create chances against OFK Belgrade.
- Home record: 0W 1D 1L, 1 goal scored, 3 conceded.
- Last home league match: 1-1 draw vs Radnicki 1923 on 2026-08-29.
I. Abass, a Radnicki Nis midfielder, started all five recent fixtures with available lineups, totalling 325 minutes.
He was sent off after a second yellow card in the 36th minute against Mladost on 5 September, and no confirmed update on his eligibility for this match has surfaced. If the dismissal leads to a suspension, Radnicki Nis must alter its midfield selection, though the exact replacement is not specified.
- Radnički's official report says Abass was dismissed after a second yellow card in the 36th minute of the 1-0 loss at Mladost.
- The same report identifies OFK Beograd as Radnički's next league opponent on 13 September.
- I. Abass started 5 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups, totalling 325 minutes across 5 appearances.
To watchSources checked 13 Sep 2026, 00:49 · Europe/BucharestFK Radnički Niš match reportfkradnickinis.rs · 5 Sep 2026
OFK Belgrade are 10th in the Super Liga with 9 points from 8 matches.
Their away record is 1 win and 3 losses, with 5 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last away league match, they lost 3-1 to FK Partizan on 2026-08-31. This defensive weakness could give Radnicki Nis opportunities.
- Away record: 1W 0D 3L, 5 goals scored, 10 conceded.
- Last away league match: 1-3 loss vs FK Partizan on 2026-08-31.
Radnicki Nis and OFK Belgrade have met four times in the Super Liga since October 2024.
The away team won on 2026-04-03 (OFK Beograd 2-1), 2025-11-03 (Radnicki NIS 1-0), and 2025-03-02 (OFK Beograd 2-0), with a 1-1 draw on 2024-10-04. This pattern suggests that playing away may not be a disadvantage in this fixture.
- 2026-04-03: OFK Beograd won 2-1 away.
- 2025-11-03: Radnicki NIS won 1-0 away.
- 2025-03-02: OFK Beograd won 2-0 at home.
- 2024-10-04: 1-1 draw.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams are in poor form and the match is likely to be tight, with a draw being a plausible outcome given their struggles.
- Radnicki Nis home record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in 2 home league matches
- OFK Belgrade away record: 1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses in 4 away league matches
- H2H last 5: 2 away wins, 1 home win, 1 draw (one match missing)
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance34%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
OFK Belgrade's superior away form and Radnicki's home struggles make the double chance of draw or away win likely.
- OFK Belgrade has a better away record than Radnicki's home record
- Radnicki Nis has not won at home this season (0W 1D 1L)
- OFK Belgrade won the most recent H2H meeting 2-1 away
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or OFK BelgradeEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams often go into half-time level, with low first-half scoring, making a draw at half-time the most likely outcome.
- Radnicki Nis led at half-time in only 7% of recent matches, trailed in 33%
- OFK Belgrade led at half-time in 27% and trailed in 40%
- Both teams have high draw rates at half-time in recent matches
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
OFK Belgrade's relative strength and Radnicki's second-half defensive issues could see the away side edge the second period.
- OFK Belgrade has a better away record than Radnicki's home record
- Radnicki Nis has lost 3 of last 5 matches, often conceding in second half
- OFK Belgrade won the most recent H2H meeting
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostOFK BelgradeEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time and full-time is a plausible outcome given both teams' tendency to draw and low scoring.
- Radnicki Nis has drawn 2 of last 5 matches
- OFK Belgrade has drawn 3 of last 8 matches
- Both teams have high draw rates at half-time
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance22%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low scoring averages and Radnicki's home matches have been particularly low-scoring, supporting under 2.5 goals.
- Radnicki Nis averages 0.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match over last 15
- OFK Belgrade averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match over last 15
- Combined average total goals in recent matches is 2.5, with both teams showing low scoring output
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Radnicki's poor scoring record makes it unlikely both teams will find the net, despite OFK's defensive vulnerabilities.
- Radnicki Nis failed to score in 5 of last 7 league matches
- OFK Belgrade kept only 1 clean sheet in last 8 league matches, but Radnicki's attack is weak
- Radnicki Nis averages 0.7 goals per match overall
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first-half scoring rates, making under 1.5 first-half goals likely.
- Radnicki Nis averages 0.1 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded
- OFK Belgrade averages 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded
- Combined first-half goal average is 1.3, with many matches having 0 or 1 first-half goals
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown a tendency to concede in the second half, which could lead to more goals after the break.
- Radnicki Nis concedes more goals in second half (average 0.6 second-half goals conceded)
- OFK Belgrade scores and concedes more in second half (average 0.5 scored, 1.0 conceded)
- Recent matches show a trend of second-half goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate relatively few corners, making under 9.5 total corners likely.
- Radnicki Nis averages 4.4 corners per match, OFK Belgrade 3.4
- Combined average corners is 7.8, below the 9.5 line
- Recent matches show low corner counts for both teams
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have modest shots on target numbers, supporting under 8.5 total shots on target.
- Radnicki Nis averages 4.3 shots on target per match
- OFK Belgrade averages 4.0 shots on target per match
- Combined average shots on target is 8.3, just below the line
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonUnder 8.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams commit many fouls and receive cards regularly, making over 4.5 total cards likely.
- Radnicki Nis averages 2.8 yellow cards per match, OFK Belgrade 2.7
- Combined average yellow cards is 5.5, above the 4.5 line
- Both teams have high foul counts (14.9 each)
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 71.4% leaves no cushion vs our 68% estimate; vig too heavy for a directional Under play.

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 1W

W1-2Radnicki NISvOFK BeogradApr 3, 2026SUP

W0-1OFK BeogradvRadnicki NISNov 3, 2025SUP

L2-0OFK BeogradvRadnicki NISMar 2, 2025SUP

D1-1Radnicki NISvOFK BeogradOct 4, 2024SUP

2 goals/game avg

League Table

Super Liga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
13	Radnicki Nis Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)	7	1	2	4	3-7	5	LDLDW
10	OFK Belgrade Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)	8	2	3	3	9-13	9	DLWLD

4pt gap between teamsRadnicki Nis in relegation zoneOFK Belgrade in relegation zone

Recent Form

Radnicki Nis

L0-1Mladost LucaniSep 5SUP

D1-1Radnicki 1923Aug 29SUP

L0-1MacvaAug 22SUP

D0-0IMT Novi BeogradAug 16SUP

W1-0ZemunAug 2SUP

L0-2CukarickiJul 25SUP

L1-2Železničar PančevoJul 17SUP

L0-3Neftchi BakuJul 10FRI

W2-0PříbramJul 7FRI

L0-2CsikszeredaJul 1FRI

W2-1FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVMay 24SUP

W2-1TSC Backa TopolaMay 16SUP

W1-0Mladost LucaniMay 10SUP

W1-0NapredakMay 3SUP

L0-2IMT Novi BeogradApr 27SUP

OFK Belgrade

D1-1IMT Novi BeogradSep 7SUP

L1-3FK PartizanAug 31SUP

W1-0ZemunAug 22SUP

L0-2CukarickiAug 15SUP

D2-2Železničar PančevoAug 9SUP

W4-1Novi PazarAug 1SUP

L1-2Gaziantep FKJul 28FRI

D0-0Radnik SurdulicaJul 25SUP

L0-4VojvodinaJul 19SUP

L0-2Buducnost PodgoricaJul 9FRI

L0-1OFK VršacJul 8FRI

W2-1Radnicki 1923Jul 1FRI

L0-3AkhmatJun 27FRI

W2-1FK Crvena ZvezdaMay 22SUP

L1-2VojvodinaMay 17SUP

Squad & Injuries

Radnicki Nis

30 available

Attackers8

Midfielders7

Defenders10

Goalkeeper5

OFK Belgrade

33 available

Attackers6

Midfielders13

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

No

Draw or OFK Belgrade

Draw

Under 1.5

Result1 of 5 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats3 of 3 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 1.5

Radnicki Nis

Radnicki Nis -1

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Radnicki Nis

OFK Belgrade

Squad & Injuries

Radnicki Nis

OFK Belgrade