Primera CFull time

Predictions graded

Deportivo Muniz0Leandro Niceforo Alem0

HT 0–0Sat 12 Sept 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–0100%

Edges7–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 12 Sep 2026, 04:31 · Europe/Bucharest

Expect a low-scoring stalemate between two out-of-form sides.

The best value is on under 2.5 goals (edge +14pts) and first-half under 0.5 goals (edge +19pts); avoid the home double chance at 1.25.

Context

Deportivo Muniz are 14th in Group B with 22 points, while Leandro Niceforo Alem are 13th in Group A with 27 points. Both are near the relegation playoff spots.
The home side has lost to Sportivo Barracas, Lujan, Leones de Rosario, General Lamadrid, and Juventud Unida in their last five matches. The away side has lost to Deportivo Paraguayo, Puerto Nuevo, Juventud Unida, Lugano, and Central Ballester. This run of defeats suggests both teams are struggling to get results, which could lead to a cautious or low-scoring match as they try to stop the slide.
- Deportivo Muniz lost 0-2 to Sportivo Barracas on 2026-09-07.
- Leandro Niceforo Alem lost 1-4 to Deportivo Paraguayo on 2026-09-06.
- Both teams have a form string of LLLLL in the standings.
Deportivo Muniz are 14th in Group B with 22 points and have a home record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses.
Their home form is poor, with only two wins at their own ground. They have lost their last two home matches against Sportivo Barracas and General Lamadrid. This suggests that playing at home may not give them a significant boost against Leandro Niceforo Alem.
- Home record: 2 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses in 13 matches.
- Lost 0-2 to Sportivo Barracas at home on 2026-09-07.
- Lost 0-2 to General Lamadrid at home on 2026-08-21.
Deportivo Muñiz will not play at their usual Atlas ground for this fixture.
The match moves to Puerto Nuevo in Campana, a late change that affects both teams' familiarisation with the pitch and match-day logistics. The relocation is confirmed for this meeting, but no specific surface details are supplied, so the practical impact remains limited to preparation and travel adjustments.
- Solo Ascenso reported on 2 September that Muñiz would leave Atlas's ground for Puerto Nuevo in Campana for the remaining home fixtures.
- The same report explicitly included the Leandro N. Alem match among those to be played in Campana.
- Noticias Mercedinas listed Deportivo Muñiz v Leandro N. Alem at Puerto Nuevo on 9 September.
ConfirmedSources checked 12 Sep 2026, 04:29 · Europe/BucharestSolo Ascenso: Muñiz muda su localía para los partidos definitorioswww.soloascenso.com.ar · 2 Sep 2026Mundo Ascenso: Cambio de localía, Muñiz jugará en Puerto Nuevowww.mundoascenso.com.ar · 31 Aug 2026Noticias Mercedinas: Primera C fixture for round 28noticiasmercedinas.com · 9 Sep 2026
Leandro Niceforo Alem are 13th in Group A with 27 points and have an away record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses.
Their away defensive record is poor, with 29 goals conceded in 13 away matches. They have lost their last three away games, conceding 4, 3, and 3 goals. This could give Deportivo Muniz opportunities to score, even though the home side has struggled.
- Away record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses in 13 matches.
- Conceded 29 goals in 13 away matches.
- Lost 1-4 to Deportivo Paraguayo away on 2026-09-06.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both sides are in poor form and lack attacking output, making a low-scoring stalemate likely despite H2H home dominance.
- Deportivo Muniz home record: 2W 4D 7L in 13 home matches this season.
- Leandro Niceforo Alem away record: 2W 3D 8L in 13 away matches this season.
- Both teams are on five-match losing streaks in the league.
- H2H last 5: home team won 4, away team won 1, no draws.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Home advantage and the away side's poor travel record support Deportivo Muniz avoiding defeat.
- Deportivo Muniz home record: 2W 4D 7L, with 6 of 13 home games avoiding defeat.
- Leandro Niceforo Alem away record: 2W 3D 8L, losing 8 of 13 away games.
- H2H at Deportivo Muniz home: Muniz won 2 of last 3 home meetings.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDeportivo Muniz or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The first half is likely to be tight with neither side able to gain an early advantage.
- Deportivo Muniz first-half record: 33% leading, 27% trailing, 40% drawing.
- Leandro Niceforo Alem first-half record: 13% leading, 40% trailing, 47% drawing.
- Both teams have low first-half scoring rates.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time and full-time is a plausible outcome given the teams' low scoring and poor form.
- Both teams have high draw rates in first halves (40% and 47%).
- Overall draw probability is estimated at 35%.
- No strong evidence of a second-half turnaround for either side.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw/DrawEstimated chance20%

Goals6 of 6 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have weak attacks and the match is likely to be low-scoring, supporting under 2.5 goals.
- Deportivo Muniz average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match this season.
- Leandro Niceforo Alem average 0.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match this season.
- Combined average total goals in matches involving these teams is below 2.5.
- H2H last 5: 3 of 5 matches had under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams struggle to score, and H2H history shows few matches with both teams scoring.
- Deportivo Muniz failed to score in 6 of their last 15 matches.
- Leandro Niceforo Alem failed to score in 7 of their last 15 matches.
- H2H last 5: both teams scored in only 1 of 5 meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, making a goalless first half plausible.
- Deportivo Muniz average 0.5 first-half goals per match.
- Leandro Niceforo Alem average 0.4 first-half goals per match.
- Combined first-half goal average is below 1.0.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Low scoring rates in the second half for both teams support under 1.5 second-half goals.
- Deportivo Muniz average 0.3 second-half goals per match (total 0.8 - first half 0.5).
- Leandro Niceforo Alem average 0.1 second-half goals per match (total 0.5 - first half 0.4).
- Combined second-half goal average is below 1.0.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The away side's poor scoring record gives Deportivo Muniz a chance to keep a clean sheet.
- Deportivo Muniz kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 15 matches.
- Leandro Niceforo Alem failed to score in 7 of their last 15 matches.
- Leandro Niceforo Alem average only 0.5 goals per match.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonLeandro Niceforo Alem not to scoreEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Deportivo Muniz's attacking struggles could allow Leandro Niceforo Alem to keep a clean sheet.
- Leandro Niceforo Alem kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 15 matches.
- Deportivo Muniz failed to score in 6 of their last 15 matches.
- Deportivo Muniz average only 0.8 goals per match.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonDeportivo Muniz not to scoreEstimated chance30%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 80% leaves no cushion vs our 65% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 4W

L1-0Leandro N. AlemvDeportivo MuñizMay 17, 2026PRI

W0-1Deportivo MuñizvLeandro N. AlemJul 19, 2025PRI

L2-0Leandro N. AlemvDeportivo MuñizApr 5, 2025PRI

L3-0Leandro N. AlemvDeportivo MuñizNov 17, 2024PRI

L3-0Deportivo MuñizvLeandro N. AlemJun 16, 2024PRI

Leandro Niceforo Alem: 4 clean sheets2 goals/game avg

League Table

Primera C 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
14	Deportivo Muniz Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation - Play Offs)	27	4	10	13	17-32	22	LLLLL
13	Leandro Niceforo Alem	27	7	6	14	27-49	27	LLLLL

5pt gap between teamsDeportivo Muniz in relegation zone

Recent Form

Deportivo Muniz

L0-2Sportivo BarracasSep 7PRI

L0-4LujanAug 29PRI

L1-2Leones de RosarioAug 25PRI

L0-2General LamadridAug 21PRI

L0-1Juventud UnidaAug 18PRI

D1-1Atletico AtlasJul 30PRI

W1-0CanuelasJul 25PRI

L0-3JJ UrquizaJul 18PRI

W1-0YupanquiJul 11PRI

D1-1Deportivo EspañolJul 6PRI

D0-0Central CordobaJun 27PRI

L1-2ClaypoleJun 14PRI

W4-0Central BallesterJun 7PRI

L1-2El PorvenirMay 30PRI

W1-0FénixMay 25PRI

Leandro Niceforo Alem

L1-4Deportivo ParaguayoSep 6PRI

L0-3Puerto NuevoAug 30PRI

L1-2Juventud UnidaAug 25PRI

L0-1LuganoAug 22PRI

L0-3Central BallesterAug 15PRI

L0-2Defensores de CambaceresAug 8PRI

D1-1SacachispasJul 27PRI

L0-1CanuelasJul 18PRI

W2-0Argentino RosarioJul 12PRI

L0-3Estrella Del SurJul 4PRI

D1-1BerazateguiJun 28PRI

D0-0Victoriano ArenasJun 13PRI

L0-3Centro EspañolJun 6PRI

W2-0JJ UrquizaMay 31PRI

L0-2MercedesMay 23PRI

Squad & Injuries

Deportivo Muniz

1 available

Attackers1

Midfielders0

Defenders0

Goalkeeper0

Leandro Niceforo Alem

0 available

Attackers0

Midfielders0

Defenders0

Goalkeeper0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Draw

Under 2.5

No

Under 0.5

Deportivo Muniz or Draw

Under 1.5

Result4 of 4 landed

Goals6 of 6 landed

Markets to Avoid

Deportivo Muniz or Draw

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Deportivo Muniz

Leandro Niceforo Alem

Squad & Injuries

Deportivo Muniz

Leandro Niceforo Alem