Chungnam Asan0Chungbuk Cheongju1

HT 0–0Sat 12 Sept 2026, 10:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–925%

Edges0–30%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 10 Sep 2026, 07:09 · Europe/Bucharest

Chungnam Asan's strong home form and playoff motivation make them likely to avoid defeat, but the betting value is thin.

The only notable edge is on the double chance (Asan or Draw) at 1.35, with a 4-point gap to our 78% estimate. Most other markets are efficiently priced or overpriced, so caution is advised.

Context

Chungnam Asan are 7th in K League 2 with 31 points from 23 matches. Their home record is 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses.
At home, Chungnam Asan have scored 21 goals and conceded 15 in 12 matches. Chungbuk Cheongju have won only once in 11 away games, drawing eight. This suggests Chungnam Asan are more likely to control the match, but Chungbuk Cheongju's many draws show they can be hard to beat.
- Chungnam Asan home record: 6 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses in 12 matches.
- Chungbuk Cheongju away record: 1 win, 8 draws, 2 losses in 11 matches.
Chungnam Asan sit seventh with 31 points after 23 matches, seven behind sixth-place Busan in the race for the preliminary playoff spot.
This home match is the first of two before a three-week international break, giving Asan a clear incentive to pursue a win and avoid letting the gap widen. The linked analysis supports a home win or draw as the most likely outcome, but the claim itself only establishes the competitive context, not a guaranteed result.
- On 8 September, Asan were seventh after 23 matches with 31 points.
- Sixth-place Busan had 38 points, leaving a seven-point gap to the preliminary-playoff place.
- The Chungbuk Cheongju match is the first of two Asan home fixtures before a three-week international break.
ReportedSources checked 10 Sep 2026, 07:08 · Europe/BucharestGoal Korea: Chungnam Asan’s September home-match programmewww.goal.com · 8 Sep 2026
Chungbuk Cheongju are 13th in K League 2 with 23 points from 24 matches. Their away record includes 8 draws.
Chungbuk Cheongju have drawn 8 of 11 away matches, including a 0-0 draw at Chungnam Asan on 2026-04-26. This pattern suggests they can frustrate opponents and earn a point, but their low win count means they rarely take all three.
- Chungbuk Cheongju away record: 8 draws in 11 matches.
- Last meeting between these teams ended 0-0 on 2026-04-26.
Chungnam Asan and Chungbuk Cheongju have met five times since 2024 in K League 2.
The most recent match on 2026-04-26 ended 0-0, and the previous one on 2025-10-04 also finished 0-0. In the last five meetings, only one match had more than two goals. This suggests a tight, low-scoring game is possible, but past results do not guarantee the same outcome.
- 2026-04-26: Cheongju 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa.
- 2025-10-04: Asan Mugunghwa 0-0 Cheongju.
- 2025-06-06: Cheongju 0-2 Asan Mugunghwa.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Both Teams To ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.70fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 58.8%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have scored in 8 of 12 home and 7 of 11 away matches respectively, supporting a moderate BTTS probability.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.30fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

First-half scoring rates are modest, but H2H history shows 4 of 5 meetings had a first-half goal.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Home advantage and stronger home form give Chungnam Asan the edge, supported by their positive H2H record at home.
- Chungnam Asan home record: 6W 4D 2L, 21 goals for, 15 against in 12 matches.
- Chungbuk Cheongju away record: 1W 8D 2L, 13 goals for, 16 against in 11 matches.
- H2H last 5: Asan 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; Asan won last home meeting 3-1.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostChungnam AsanEstimated chance48%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Chungnam Asan's strong home form and Chungbuk Cheongju's poor away record make a home win or draw highly likely.
- Chungnam Asan home record: 6W 4D 2L, 21 goals for, 15 against in 12 matches.
- Chungbuk Cheongju away record: 1W 8D 2L, 13 goals for, 16 against in 11 matches.
- H2H last 5: Asan 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; Asan won last home meeting 3-1.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostChungnam Asan or DrawEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high first-half draw rates, and H2H history shows frequent level scores at the break.
- Chungnam Asan first half results: leading 20%, trailing 13%, drawing 67%.
- Chungbuk Cheongju first half results: leading 27%, trailing 33%, drawing 40%.
- H2H last 5: 3 of 5 meetings were level at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Chungbuk Cheongju's high away draw rate and H2H draws make a full-time draw plausible.
- Chungnam Asan home record: 4 draws in 12 matches.
- Chungbuk Cheongju away record: 8 draws in 11 matches.
- H2H last 5: 2 draws, both 0-0.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance18%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Chungnam Asan's home win rate and ability to lead at half-time in H2H wins support this outcome.
- Chungnam Asan home record: 6 wins in 12 matches.
- Chungnam Asan first half leading rate: 20%.
- H2H last 5: Asan won 2 matches, both after leading at half-time.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostChungnam Asan/Chungnam AsanEstimated chance25%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Chungnam Asan's strong first-half record and H2H dominance at the break make a home lead or draw likely.
- Chungnam Asan first half results: leading 20%, drawing 67%, trailing 13%.
- Chungbuk Cheongju first half results: leading 27%, drawing 40%, trailing 33%.
- H2H last 5: Asan led at half-time in 2 matches, drew in 3, never trailed.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonChungnam Asan or DrawEstimated chance75%

Goals1 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent home/away splits and H2H history suggest a moderately high-scoring match.
- Chungnam Asan home matches average 3.0 total goals (21 for, 15 against in 12).
- Chungbuk Cheongju away matches average 2.64 total goals (13 for, 16 against in 11).
- H2H last 5: 3 of 5 meetings had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown consistent scoring and conceding patterns in their respective home/away splits.
- Chungnam Asan home matches: 21 goals for, 15 against in 12 (both teams scored in 8 of 12).
- Chungbuk Cheongju away matches: 13 goals for, 16 against in 11 (both teams scored in 7 of 11).
- H2H last 5: both teams scored in 3 of 5 meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' first-half scoring and conceding rates, along with H2H trends, support a first-half goal.
- Chungnam Asan first half goals: 0.5 per match average; first half goals conceded: 0.5.
- Chungbuk Cheongju first half goals: 0.4 per match average; first half goals conceded: 0.7.
- H2H last 5: 4 of 5 meetings had at least one first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Derived second-half scoring rates suggest a moderate chance of at least two second-half goals.
- Chungnam Asan average total goals per match: 2.9; first half average: 1.0, implying second half average: 1.9.
- Chungbuk Cheongju average total goals per match: 3.2; first half average: 1.1, implying second half average: 2.1.
- H2H last 5: 3 of 5 meetings had over 1.5 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Chungnam Asan's home defensive record and Chungbuk Cheongju's modest away scoring give a moderate clean sheet chance.
- Chungnam Asan home clean sheets: 3 in 12 matches (25%).
- Chungbuk Cheongju away scoring: 13 goals in 11 matches (1.18 per match).
- H2H last 5: Asan kept clean sheets in 2 meetings.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostChungbuk Cheongju not to scoreEstimated chance30%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Chungbuk Cheongju's away clean sheet rate is low, but H2H history shows occasional shutouts.
- Chungbuk Cheongju away clean sheets: 2 in 11 matches (18%).
- Chungnam Asan home scoring: 21 goals in 12 matches (1.75 per match).
- H2H last 5: Cheongju kept clean sheets in 2 meetings.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonChungnam Asan not to scoreEstimated chance20%