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Predictions graded

FK TransINVEST1Suduva Marijampole2

HT 0–0Sun 6 Sept 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–280%

Edges5–183%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 6 Sep 2026, 06:52 · Europe/Bucharest

Suduva's five-match winning streak and settled XI make them strong favourites, but the best value is on the double chance (Draw or Suduva) at 1.57 and TransINVEST not keeping a clean sheet at 1.80.

Avoid backing TransINVEST outright or the first-half Over 0.5 goals, as those markets are overpriced.

Context

Suduva Marijampole lead the A Lyga with 45 points from 24 matches and have the best away record in the division.
Their current run includes a 2-1 win at Šiauliai on 30 August, a 2-0 home win over Panevėžys on 23 August, and a 2-0 away win at Džiugas Telšiai on 17 August. That defensive solidity, with only one goal conceded in five matches, contrasts with TransINVEST's home record of five wins, three draws, and four losses. TransINVEST have also lost two of their last three home games, including a 2-0 defeat to Panevėžys on 10 August, so Suduva's form gives them a strong edge.
- Suduva won 2-1 at Šiauliai on 30 August 2026.
- Suduva beat Panevėžys 2-0 at home on 23 August 2026.
- Suduva won 2-0 at Džiugas Telšiai on 17 August 2026.
- TransINVEST lost 2-0 at home to Panevėžys on 10 August 2026.
TransINVEST sit third in the A Lyga with 39 points, but their home record is only the sixth-best in the league.
They have won five, drawn three, and lost four at home, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Recent home defeats include a 2-0 loss to Panevėžys on 10 August and a 3-1 loss to Banga on 12 July. Suduva, by contrast, have the best away record in the division with five wins, four draws, and three losses, and they have kept clean sheets in two of their last three away games. This pattern suggests TransINVEST may find it hard to break down a well-organised Suduva defence.
- TransINVEST home record: 5 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses in 12 matches.
- TransINVEST lost 2-0 at home to Panevėžys on 10 August 2026.
- TransINVEST lost 3-1 at home to Banga on 12 July 2026.
- Suduva away record: 5 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses in 12 matches.
Sūduva head coach Donatas Vencevičius has kept the winning starting lineup unchanged for some time.
The same starting side is likely for this match, which reduces uncertainty around Sūduva's defensive and attacking structure. TransINVEST will face a settled opponent rather than one adjusting to new personnel.
- The September 5 preview says Donatas Vencevičius has kept the winning starting lineup unchanged for some time.
- That preview says the same starting side is likely for this match.
ReportedSources checked 6 Sep 2026, 06:50 · Europe/BucharestSūduva round previewfksuduva.lt · 5 Sep 2026TOPLYGA round previewtoplyga.lt · 4 Sep 2026
TransINVEST and Suduva have met three times in the A Lyga this season, with Suduva winning once and the other two games drawn.
On 6 July 2026, the teams played out a 0-0 draw at Suduva, and on 6 May 2026 they drew 1-1 at TransINVEST. The only decisive result was a 2-0 home win for Suduva on 7 March 2026. These results indicate that neither side has dominated the other recently, and the low-scoring nature of the last two meetings could point to another tight affair.
- Suduva 0-0 TransINVEST on 6 July 2026.
- TransINVEST 1-1 Suduva on 6 May 2026.
- Suduva 2-0 TransINVEST on 7 March 2026.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Suduva's superior league position, goal difference, and current five-match winning streak give them a clear edge over a TransINVEST side that has been inconsistent at home.
- Suduva are 1st with 45 points and a 17-goal difference; TransINVEST are 3rd with 39 points and +4.
- Suduva have won their last 5 league matches, scoring 14 and conceding 2.
- TransINVEST have lost 4 of 12 home matches this season, conceding 13 goals.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSuduva MarijampoleEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Suduva's low loss rate and TransINVEST's modest home win rate make the away side or draw the safest outcome.
- Suduva have lost only 3 of 24 league matches this season.
- TransINVEST have won only 5 of 12 home matches.
- The last two league meetings between these sides ended in draws.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Suduva MarijampoleEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high rates of drawing at half-time, and recent head-to-head matches support a level first half.
- TransINVEST have been level at half-time in 40% of their matches.
- Suduva have been level at half-time in 60% of their matches.
- The last two league meetings between these sides were level at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a Suduva win is plausible given their second-half strength and TransINVEST's home inconsistency.
- Suduva have won 5 of their last 5 matches, often scoring in the second half.
- TransINVEST have drawn at half-time in 40% of matches but lost 4 of 12 home games.
- Suduva's away record is 5 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw/Suduva MarijampoleEstimated chance25%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' scoring averages suggest a match with at least three goals, especially with TransINVEST's defensive vulnerabilities.
- TransINVEST average 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
- Suduva average 1.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match.
- Combined average goals per match for both teams is 2.7.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistent scoring records, and TransINVEST's defensive record makes it likely they will concede.
- TransINVEST have scored in 12 of their last 15 matches.
- Suduva have scored in 13 of their last 15 matches.
- TransINVEST have kept only 3 clean sheets in their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the first half, making at least one first-half goal likely.
- TransINVEST average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Suduva average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.2 conceded.
- Combined first-half goal average is 1.2.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring averages for both teams are close to the 1.5 line, making this a coin-flip proposition.
- TransINVEST average 0.8 second-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Suduva average 1.2 second-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Combined second-half goal average is 1.6.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Suduva's solid defensive record gives them a chance to keep a clean sheet, though TransINVEST's scoring ability makes it less likely.
- Suduva have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 15 matches.
- TransINVEST have failed to score in 3 of their last 15 matches.
- Suduva's away goals conceded average is 1.0 per match.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostFK TransINVEST not to scoreEstimated chance30%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
TransINVEST's poor clean sheet record and Suduva's consistent scoring make a home clean sheet unlikely.
- TransINVEST have kept only 3 clean sheets in their last 15 matches.
- Suduva have scored in 13 of their last 15 matches.
- Suduva average 1.9 goals per match.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSuduva Marijampole to scoreEstimated chance70%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 32.3% vs our estimate 30% leaves no cushion; the home side's inconsistency and Suduva's strong form make this a trap.

Head-to-Head

0W · 3D · 2W

D0-0Suduva MarijampolevTransINVEST VilniusJul 6, 2026A L

D1-1TransINVEST VilniusvSuduva MarijampoleMay 6, 2026A L

L2-0Suduva MarijampolevTransINVEST VilniusMar 7, 2026A L

L3-1Suduva MarijampolevTransINVEST VilniusFeb 1, 2025FRI

D0-0Suduva MarijampolevTransINVEST VilniusOct 6, 2024A L

Suduva Marijampole unbeaten in 5 meetingsFK TransINVEST: 2 clean sheetsSuduva Marijampole: 3 clean sheets1.6 goals/game avg

League Table

A Lyga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	FK TransINVEST	25	11	6	8	36-32	39	WDLWW
1	Suduva Marijampole	24	12	9	3	35-18	45	WWWWW

6pt gap between teamsSuduva Marijampole leads the league

Recent Form

FK TransINVEST

W3-0ŠiauliaiAug 24A L

D1-1Kauno ŽalgirisAug 16A L

L0-2PanevėžysAug 10A L

W2-1Hegelmann LitauenAug 2A L

W1-0Džiugas TelšiaiJul 26A L

L1-3FK Zalgiris VilniusJul 19A L

L1-3BangaJul 12A L

D0-0Suduva MarijampoleJul 6A L

W3-1ŠiauliaiJun 29A L

L1-2Kauno ŽalgirisJun 20A L

W2-1PanevėžysJun 12A L

W2-1Hegelmann LitauenMay 29A L

L2-3Džiugas TelšiaiMay 24A L

W2-0Hegelmann LitauenMay 20CUP

W1-0FK Zalgiris VilniusMay 17A L

Suduva Marijampole

W2-1ŠiauliaiAug 30A L

W2-0PanevėžysAug 23A L

W2-0Džiugas TelšiaiAug 17A L

W3-0BangaAug 9A L

W5-1Hegelmann LitauenJul 20A L

D0-0TransINVEST VilniusJul 6A L

W2-1PanevėžysJun 29A L

W2-1Džiugas TelšiaiJun 21A L

W2-1ŠiauliaiJun 16A L

D0-0BangaJun 13A L

W3-0FK TrakaiMay 29A L

W2-1Kauno ŽalgirisMay 23A L

D2-2Hegelmann LitauenMay 16A L

D1-1FK Zalgiris VilniusMay 10A L

D1-1TransINVEST VilniusMay 6A L

Squad & Injuries

FK TransINVEST

27 available

Attackers6

Midfielders10

Defenders7

Goalkeeper4

Suduva Marijampole

27 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Suduva Marijampole

Over 2.5

Suduva Marijampole to score

Suduva Marijampole

Yes

Over 0.5

Result4 of 4 landed

Goals4 of 6 landed

Markets to Avoid

FK TransINVEST

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

FK TransINVEST

Suduva Marijampole

Squad & Injuries

FK TransINVEST

Suduva Marijampole