EkstraklasaFull time

Predictions graded

Radomiak Radom2Cracovia Krakow1

HT 0–0Sat 29 Aug 2026, 10:15 Predictions graded

Predictions3–827%

Edges2–340%

PossPossession 55%–45%ShotsShots 20–18On targetOn target 5–7CornersCorners 10–10

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Aug 2026, 16:19 · Europe/Bucharest

Back Under 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score – No, as Cracovia's away defense has been impenetrable and Radomiak's attack is misfiring.

The first-half draw at 2.20 offers the best value edge (+10 points), but avoid the match winner market due to Cracovia's away scoring woes and Radomiak's strong H2H record.

Context

Radomiak Radom are 16th in the Ekstraklasa with four points from five matches, sitting in the relegation zone.
They have lost three of their last four league games, including a 5-0 defeat at Legia Warszawa on 14 August and a 3-1 home loss to Gornik Zabrze on 8 August. Their only win came against Wieczysta Kraków on 24 July. This poor form puts pressure on them to get points at home, but their defence has conceded 12 goals in five matches, which Cracovia can exploit.
- Radomiak are 16th with 4 points from 5 matches, in the relegation zone.
- They lost 5-0 at Legia Warszawa on 14 August and 3-1 at home to Gornik Zabrze on 8 August.
- They have conceded 12 goals in 5 league matches, the second-worst in the division.
Cracovia Krakow are third in the Ekstraklasa with eight points from five matches, in a Europa League qualification spot.
They have drawn both away games 0-0, against Slask Wroclaw on 9 August and Lech Poznan on 25 July, showing defensive solidity on the road. Their recent form includes wins over Wieczysta Kraków and Raków Częstochowa. With Radomiak's leaky defence, Cracovia will look to break their away scoring duck and secure a positive result.
- Cracovia are 3rd with 8 points from 5 matches, in a Europa League qualification spot.
- They are unbeaten away with two 0-0 draws at Slask Wroclaw and Lech Poznan.
- They beat Wieczysta Kraków 3-2 and Raków Częstochowa 2-1 in their last two home matches.
Radomiak Radom have the second-worst defensive record in the Ekstraklasa this season.
They have conceded 12 goals in 5 matches, an average of 2.4 per game. In their last away match at Legia Warszawa on 14 August, they lost 5-0, and they also conceded three at home to Gornik Zabrze. Cracovia have scored five goals in their last two home games, so they will test this fragile backline.
- Radomiak have conceded 12 goals in 5 league matches.
- They lost 5-0 at Legia Warszawa on 14 August and 3-1 at home to Gornik Zabrze on 8 August.
- Cracovia scored 3 against Wieczysta Kraków and 2 against Raków Częstochowa in their last two home matches.
Radomiak midfielder Roberto Alves is unavailable for the home match against Cracovia.
His absence removes a senior midfield option, narrowing Radomiak's choices in a game where the coach has identified Cracovia's central play as a key threat. The team will need to adjust its midfield setup without him.
- Kaczmarek said every Radomiak player was prepared except Roberto Alves, Adrián Diéguez and Elves Baldé.
- Radomiak’s official account confirmed that Kaczmarek held a pre-match media briefing on 28 August.
ReportedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 01:17 · Europe/BucharestRadom24 pre-match conference reportwww.radom24.pl · 28 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cracovia's superior league position and defensive solidity away from home give them the edge, though their lack of away goals tempers confidence.
- Cracovia are 3rd with 8 points from 5 games; Radomiak are 16th with 4 points.
- Cracovia away record: 2 draws, 0 goals scored, 0 conceded in 2 away games.
- Radomiak home record: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss, 3 goals scored, 4 conceded in 3 home games.
- Radomiak have lost 3 of their last 5 league matches, conceding 12 goals.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCracovia KrakowEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cracovia's away resilience and Radomiak's poor form make a Cracovia win or draw highly likely.
- Cracovia are unbeaten away (2 draws) and have not conceded an away goal.
- Radomiak have only 1 win in 5 league games and sit in the relegation zone.
- H2H: Radomiak unbeaten in last 3, but Cracovia drew the most recent meeting 0-0.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or Cracovia KrakowEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Cracovia's away games have been level at half-time, and Radomiak's home first halves are inconsistent, making a draw the most likely outcome.
- Cracovia away half-time results: D, D.
- Radomiak home half-time results: W, L, D (mixed).
- H2H last meeting: 0-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cracovia's away pattern of drawing at half-time and full-time, combined with the recent H2H draw, supports this outcome, though it remains a low-probability exact result.
- Cracovia away full-time results: D, D.
- Cracovia away half-time results: D, D.
- H2H last meeting: 0-0 draw.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance30%

Goals1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Cracovia's away matches have been extremely low-scoring, and Radomiak's home games have not been high-scoring either, supporting under 2.5 goals.
- Cracovia away games: 0-0 and 0-0, averaging 0.0 goals scored and conceded.
- Radomiak home games: 3 goals scored, 4 conceded in 3 games (avg 2.33 total goals).
- H2H last meeting: 0-0 draw.
- Cracovia overall: 5 goals scored, 5 conceded in 5 games (avg 2.0 total).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Cracovia's away defensive record and Radomiak's scoring struggles suggest at least one team will fail to score.
- Cracovia have kept clean sheets in both away games.
- Radomiak have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 league matches.
- H2H: two of the last three meetings ended with a clean sheet for one team.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Cracovia's away defensive solidity and Radomiak's low scoring output make a Cracovia clean sheet plausible.
- Cracovia have not conceded in 180 minutes of away league play.
- Radomiak have scored only 4 goals in 5 league games, with 3 of those at home.
- Cracovia's away opponents have managed 0 shots on target per game on average.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostRadomiak Radom not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, especially Cracovia away, making a low-scoring first half likely.
- Cracovia away first-half goals: 0 scored, 0 conceded in 2 games.
- Radomiak home first-half goals: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game (avg 2.3 total).
- H2H last meeting: 0-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Cracovia's away matches have been goalless in both halves, and Radomiak's home second halves are not high-scoring.
- Cracovia away second-half goals: 0 scored, 0 conceded in 2 games.
- Radomiak home second-half goals: 0.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game (avg 1.7 total).
- Overall, Cracovia's matches average 2.0 total goals, with most coming at home.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the combined averages suggest a total above 9.5 is possible, though confidence is low due to variability.
- Cracovia average 6.7 corners per game overall, but 6.0 in away games.
- Radomiak average 4.0 corners per game overall, but 5.3 at home.
- Combined average in Radomiak home games: 10.3 corners.
- Cracovia away games: 6 and 6 corners for Cracovia, 4 and 9 for opponents (avg total 12.5).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined card averages suggest a total over 4.5 is likely, but the lack of referee data and variability in card counts lowers confidence.
- Radomiak average 3.1 yellow cards per game overall, 3.3 at home.
- Cracovia average 2.5 yellow cards per game overall, 2.0 away.
- Combined average in Radomiak home games: 5.3 cards.
- Referee data unavailable, but both teams have moderate disciplinary records.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 46.5% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; the price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

4W · 1D · 0W

D0-0Cracovia KrakowvRadomiak RadomMay 11, 2026EKS

W3-0Radomiak RadomvCracovia KrakowNov 7, 2025EKS

W1-2Cracovia KrakowvRadomiak RadomMar 8, 2025EKS

W2-1Radomiak RadomvCracovia KrakowAug 31, 2024EKS

W0-1Cracovia KrakowvRadomiak RadomJul 3, 2024FRI

Radomiak Radom unbeaten in 5 meetingsRadomiak Radom: 3 clean sheets2 goals/game avg

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Radomiak Radom Relegation	5	1	1	3	4-12	4	DLLLW
3	Cracovia Krakow EL Qualification	5	2	2	1	5-5	8	WWDLD

4pt gap between teamsRadomiak Radom in relegation zone

Recent Form

Radomiak Radom

D0-0Zaglebie LubinAug 23EKS

L0-5Legia WarszawaAug 14EKS

D1-1AELAug 9FRI

L1-3Gornik ZabrzeAug 8EKS

L1-3GKS KatowiceAug 2EKS

L2-3Nea SalamisJul 25FRI

W2-1Wieczysta KrakówJul 24EKS

L1-2Pogoń SiedlceJul 18FRI

W2-1Legia Warszawa IIJul 17FRI

L1-3Legia WarszawaJul 14FRI

L2-4Dynamo KyivJul 10FRI

L1-2ŁKS ŁódźJul 4FRI

L2-3Hapoel Beer ShevaJul 1FRI

L2-6Gornik ZabrzeMay 23EKS

L1-3Lech PoznanMay 16EKS

Cracovia Krakow

W3-2Wieczysta KrakówAug 21EKS

W2-1Raków CzęstochowaAug 16EKS

D0-0Slask WroclawAug 9EKS

L0-2Pogon SzczecinAug 3EKS

D0-0Lech PoznanJul 25EKS

W1-0SevillaJul 19FRI

W2-0PardubiceJul 9FRI

W3-1BaşakşehirJul 6FRI

L1-2PafosJul 3FRI

D1-1Korona KielceMay 23EKS

D3-3Motor LublinMay 16EKS

D0-0Radomiak RadomMay 11EKS

D0-0Zaglebie LubinMay 3EKS

D1-1Pogon SzczecinApr 25EKS

L1-4Raków CzęstochowaApr 19EKS

Squad & Injuries

Radomiak Radom

31 available

Attackers7

Midfielders12

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Cracovia Krakow

29 available

Attackers4

Midfielders12

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 2.5

No

Draw or Cracovia Krakow

Under 1.5

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals1 of 5 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 1.5

Over 3.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Radomiak Radom

Cracovia Krakow

Squad & Injuries

Radomiak Radom

Cracovia Krakow