Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc2CFR Cluj3

HT 1–2Sat 29 Aug 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–833%

Edges1–325%

PossPossession 41%–59%ShotsShots 12–14On targetOn target 6–8CornersCorners 4–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 26 Aug 2026, 07:22 · Europe/Bucharest

Expect a low-scoring match with CFR Cluj slightly favoured, but avoid the heavily juiced match winner and double chance markets.

The only actionable value is on Under 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score 'No', both with modest edges.

Context

Csikszereda are in the relegation group of Liga I and have played six matches.
They have one point from a possible 18, with five defeats and a draw. Their only point came at home against Sepsi OSK on 15 August, a 0-0 draw. They have scored just two goals in six league games, so they are struggling to create chances. This match is an opportunity to improve, but their recent form suggests they will find it difficult against CFR Cluj.
- Csikszereda have 1 point from 6 matches, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses.
- They have scored 2 goals and conceded 10 in the league this season.
- Their only point came in a 0-0 home draw against Sepsi OSK on 15 August 2026.
CFR Cluj are 12th in Liga I with six points from five matches.
Their away record is poor: three defeats from three, with two goals scored and eight conceded. They lost 3-0 at Corvinul Hunedoara on 16 August and 3-1 at Rapid on 2 August. This suggests they struggle away from home, but they did win their last home match 1-0 against FCSB on 23 August. Csikszereda may see this as a chance to get a result, but CFR Cluj's overall quality is still higher.
- CFR Cluj have 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses in away league matches this season.
- They have scored 2 goals and conceded 8 in those away games.
- Their away defeats include a 3-0 loss at Corvinul Hunedoara on 16 August 2026 and a 3-1 loss at Rapid on 2 August 2026.
Csikszereda have played two home league matches this season.
They drew 0-0 with Sepsi OSK on 15 August and lost 0-2 to FCSB on 26 July. They have not scored a home league goal yet. Their overall scoring record is poor, with only two goals in six games. CFR Cluj have conceded eight goals in three away games, so there may be chances, but Csikszereda's lack of goals is a clear weakness.
- Csikszereda's home league results: 0-0 vs Sepsi OSK (15 Aug 2026) and 0-2 vs FCSB (26 Jul 2026).
- They have scored 0 goals in 2 home league matches this season.
- Overall, they have scored 2 goals in 6 league matches.
Csikszereda defender M. Ódor started their previous league match and has started 2 of the 5 recent fixtures with available lineups.
His three-match suspension removes him from the back line for CFR's visit. J. Hegedűs has started in the same position in 3 of those 5 fixtures when Ódor did not, so Csikszereda have a direct replacement option, but the change still reduces continuity in their defensive selection.
- Prima Sport reported that the FRF Disciplinary Commission suspended Mate Odor for three matches after his red card against FC Botoșani.
- AGERPRES recorded Ódor’s dismissal in the 18th minute of Csikszereda’s 1-0 loss at Botoșani on 24 August.
- M. Ódor started 2 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
- J. Hegedűs started in the same position in 3 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups when M. Ódor did not start.
ReportedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 · Europe/BucharestPrima Sport disciplinary reportwww.primasport.ro · 26 Aug 2026AGERPRES match reportagerpres.ro · 24 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or CFR Cluj

1.25fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Csikszereda have not won at home this season and CFR are unbeaten in H2H, but the odds already reflect this with an 80% implied probability.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
CFR Cluj's superior overall quality and H2H edge outweigh their poor away form, but Csikszereda's home resilience makes this a moderate away win probability.
- CFR Cluj away record this season: 0W 0D 3L, goals 2:8
- Csikszereda home record this season: 0W 1D 1L, goals 0:2
- H2H: CFR unbeaten in 2 meetings (1W 1D), away match ended 2-2
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCFR ClujEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Csikszereda's poor form and CFR's H2H dominance make a home win unlikely, supporting the away double chance.
- Csikszereda have not won at home this season (0W 1D 1L)
- CFR Cluj have not lost to Csikszereda in H2H (1W 1D)
- Csikszereda overall form: 0W 1D 5L in last 6
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or CFR ClujEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half win rates and often go into the break level, making a draw the most likely first-half result.
- Csikszereda led at half-time in only 7% of matches, trailed in 20%
- CFR Cluj led at half-time in 13% of matches, trailed in 47%
- H2H away match was 0-0 at half-time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
CFR's stronger second-half scoring trend gives them a slight edge, but away form uncertainty keeps confidence low.
- CFR Cluj tend to score more in second halves (0.9 vs 0.4 first half)
- Csikszereda concede more in second halves (0.8 vs 0.5 first half)
- CFR's away second-half performance is not separately available
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostCFR ClujEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a CFR win is plausible given Csikszereda's tendency to start level and CFR's second-half edge, but the combined probability is low.
- Csikszereda first-half draw rate: 73% (11 of 15 matches)
- CFR Cluj first-half draw rate: 40% (6 of 15 matches)
- CFR Cluj overall win probability: 45%
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/CFR ClujEstimated chance20%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have modest scoring records, and Csikszereda's home games have been low-scoring (0 goals for, 2 against in 2 games), supporting under 2.5 goals.
- Csikszereda average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match
- CFR Cluj average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match
- Combined average total goals: 2.1 per match
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Csikszereda's scoring struggles at home and CFR's inconsistent away defense make both teams scoring less likely than not.
- Csikszereda failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches
- CFR Cluj kept clean sheets in 2 of their last 3 home games but away they conceded in all 3
- Csikszereda home goals: 0 in 2 games
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first-half scoring averages, making under 1.5 first-half goals likely.
- Csikszereda first half goals: 0.3 per match, first half goals conceded: 0.7
- CFR Cluj first half goals: 0.4 per match, first half goals conceded: 0.8
- Combined first half average total goals: 1.1
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Slightly higher scoring in second halves for both teams, but the edge is marginal, so confidence is low.
- Csikszereda second half goals: 0.5 per match (0.8 total - 0.3 first half)
- CFR Cluj second half goals: 0.9 per match (1.3 total - 0.4 first half)
- Combined second half average total goals: 1.4
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate corner counts, and the combined average is below 9.5, supporting the under.
- Csikszereda average corners: 3.0 per match, opponent corners: 6.5
- CFR Cluj average corners: 4.3 per match, opponent corners: 4.5
- Combined average total corners: 9.2
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low shots on target averages, and the combined total is just under 8.5, making the under a reasonable pick.
- Csikszereda average shots on target: 3.5 per match, opponent: 5.3
- CFR Cluj average shots on target: 3.6 per match, opponent: 4.5
- Combined average total shots on target: 8.4
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined average is exactly 4.5, so the over/under is a coin flip, but Csikszereda's high card count could push it over.
- Csikszereda average yellow cards: 3.6 per match, opponent: 2.1
- CFR Cluj average yellow cards: 1.4 per match, opponent: 1.9
- Combined average total cards: 4.5
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 52% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Prediction history

CFR Cluj has struggled to convert win projections recently

CFR Cluj has fulfilled 1 of 4 win predictions, with 3 draws and no losses in missed matches. The expected fulfilment was 1.9, indicating underperformance relative to assigned probabilities. All three missed predictions ended in draws, and away from home they have yet to fulfil a win projection in two attempts.

Recent evidence for CFR Cluj4 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

30 Jul·UEFA Europa Conference League

CFR Cluj3-0