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Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc - FCSB
🇷🇴 Liga IFinished
Friday, May 1, 2026 at 17:30
Finished Snapshot
FT1-0
FinishedSettled
Halftime
0-0
Predictions
7W · 3L · 0P
Edges
1W · 0L · 0P
Match Stats
Possession
27%-73%
Shots
12-21
Shots on Target
3-3
Corners
4-14
Quick Take
FCSB lost their title-winning manager on March 9, entering this match in a documented instability window; Csikszereda host in their first-ever top-flight season with high survival stakes and already proved competitive in a 1-1 draw at FCSB's stadium. Double Chance Home/Draw @ 2.63 is +20pts underpriced (58% vs 38% implied) and represents the clearest value edge.
Double ChanceHome or Draw (Csikszereda or Draw)58%+20.0pp
Context Signals
Betting Edges
Market & pick
Implied
Model
Edge
Model probabilities
Market & pick
Model
Markets to Avoid
Match Winner Away (FCSB):FCSB priced at 1.44 (69.4% implied) offers no cushion against our 42% (home/draw combined) estimate; manager departure on March 9 not fully reflected in tight odds.
Double Chance Draw or FCSB:Implied 88.5% on this line is overly tight given FCSB's recent management disruption and Csikszereda's home advantage; no margin for safety.
Pre-match flagged 2 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc host defending two-time Liga I champions FCSB in a fixture laden with structural imbalances favoring the home side. FCSB lost their title-winning manager Elias Charalambous on March 9, 2026—less than two months before this May 1 kickoff—leaving the club in a documented instability window under interim management. The replacement manager's identity remains unconfirmed, a critical gap that suggests the market has not fully repriced the disruption.
Recent Form
Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
D0-0AFC HermannstadtApr 24LIG
W3-2Unirea SloboziaApr 18LIG
W1-0MetaloglobusApr 13LIG
L0-2Petrolul PloiestiApr 6LIG
D1-1Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheMar 28FRI
D1-1Farul ConstantaMar 21LIG
W3-2OÅ£elulMar 14LIG
W1-0Farul ConstantaMar 6LIG
D1-1Petrolul PloiestiMar 1LIG
W2-1AFC HermannstadtFeb 23LIG
FCSB
W3-1Petrolul PloiestiApr 24LIG
W3-2Farul ConstantaApr 20LIG
W4-0OÅ£elulApr 11LIG
L2-3FC BotosaniApr 3LIG
W1-0Uta AradMar 20LIG
D0-0MetaloglobusMar 15LIG
L1-3Universitatea ClujMar 7LIG
W4-2Uta AradMar 1LIG
W4-1MetaloglobusFeb 23LIG
L0-1Universitatea CraiovaFeb 15LIG
League Table
Liga I 2025/2026| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8-7 | 27 |
| 1 | FCSB Qualification Playoffs | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13-6 | 36 |
9pt gap between teams
Head-to-Head
0W · 1D · 1WL1-0FCSBvCsikszeredaFeb 1, 2026LIG
D1-1CsikszeredavFCSBSep 14, 2025LIG
1.5 goals/game avg