TPS Turku vs Inter Turku: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Inter Turku's superior away form and recent H2H dominance give them the edge, though TPS's strong home record keeps confidence at MEDIUM.
- Inter Turku have won the last three Turku derbies across league/cup, including a 3-0 away win at TPS in February 2026.
- Inter Turku away record this season: 6W 3D 1L in 10 matches, with 18 goals scored and 10 conceded.
- TPS home record: 7W 1D 2L in 10 matches, but their overall form is WDWLL with only 1 win in last 5.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostInter TurkuEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Inter Turku's consistency and H2H record make them unlikely to lose, while TPS's home resilience suggests a draw is possible, supporting a high-probability double chance.
- Inter Turku have lost only 2 of 20 league matches this season.
- TPS have lost 7 of 20 matches, but at home they have lost only 2 of 10.
- H2H: Inter Turku unbeaten in last 3 meetings (3 wins).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Inter TurkuEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Inter Turku are more likely to lead at half-time, but TPS's home resilience and the derby's tight nature make a draw a plausible outcome.
- TPS have led at half-time in only 20% of matches, while trailing in 53%.
- Inter Turku have led at half-time in 47% of matches, trailing in 33%.
- In the last three H2H meetings, the half-time results were: Inter led, Inter led, and draw.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by an Inter Turku win is a plausible scenario given Inter's second-half strength and TPS's tendency to fade.
- Inter Turku have won 10 of 20 matches, with many wins coming after a level first half.
- TPS have drawn 5 of 20 matches, often after a level first half.
- H2H: Inter Turku have won the last three meetings, but only one was after leading at half-time.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Inter TurkuEstimated chance25%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' home/away splits and recent H2H goal totals point toward an open game, though Inter's solid defense tempers the probability.
- TPS home matches average 2.7 total goals (18 scored, 9 conceded in 10 games).
- Inter Turku away matches average 2.8 total goals (18 scored, 10 conceded in 10 games).
- Last three H2H meetings produced 3, 3, and 5 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams show consistent scoring in their respective home/away splits, and the derby context often leads to open play, making BTTS likely.
- TPS have scored in 8 of 10 home matches this season.
- Inter Turku have scored in 9 of 10 away matches this season.
- In the last three H2H meetings, both teams scored in two of them.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to find the net early, especially in derby matches, making a first-half goal likely.
- TPS average 0.7 first-half goals per match overall, but at home they have scored in the first half in 6 of 10 matches.
- Inter Turku average 0.6 first-half goals per match, but away they have scored in the first half in 5 of 10 matches.
- In the last three H2H meetings, there was at least one first-half goal in each.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is common in this fixture, but the exact line of 1.5 is a coin flip given both teams' moderate second-half output.
- TPS home matches average 1.5 second-half goals (total goals minus first-half goals).
- Inter Turku away matches average 1.6 second-half goals.
- Recent H2H matches have seen second-half goals in all three meetings.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The low corner averages suggest under 8.5 is more likely, but the derby intensity could push the total higher, making this a low-confidence lean.
- TPS average 2.8 corners per match, while Inter Turku average 2.3 corners per match.
- Combined average corners per match for both teams is 5.1, but derby matches often see more attacking play.
- Limited corner data available for recent H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The derby atmosphere and Inter Turku's higher card count suggest a moderate chance of over 3.5 cards, but the low averages make it a coin flip.
- TPS average 0.7 yellow cards per match, Inter Turku average 1.6 yellow cards per match.
- Combined average yellow cards per match is 2.3, but derby matches often see more bookings.
- No red card data available for recent H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance50%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
7	TPS Turku Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)	20	8	5	7	27-22	29	WDWLL
2	Inter Turku Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)	20	10	8	2	28-16	38	WDWLD

TPS Turku0Inter Turku0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Inter Turku

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

TPS Turku

Inter Turku

Squad & Injuries

TPS Turku

Inter Turku