Derby County22 – 2Cardiff City2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Derby's inconsistent form and Cardiff's strong scoring record make the away side or draw the safer combined outcome.

• Cardiff City won 2 of the last 3 competitive H2H meetings.
• Derby County have only 1 win in their last 5 competitive matches (all competitions).
• Cardiff City averaged 2.6 goals per game in their last 15 matches.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Cardiff CityEstimated chance68%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Cardiff's slightly better first-half record gives them a modest edge, but the margin is small.

• Cardiff City led at half-time in 47% of their last 15 matches.
• Derby County trailed at half-time in 21% of their last 15 matches.
• Cardiff City averaged 1.1 first-half goals vs Derby's 0.9.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonCardiff CityEstimated chance35%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Cardiff's high-scoring trend and Derby's leaky defense suggest a decent chance of at least three total goals.

• Cardiff City averaged 2.6 goals for and 1.5 goals against in their last 15 matches.
• Derby County averaged 1.4 goals for and 1.5 goals against in their last 15 matches.
• Cardiff City's last 5 matches produced 3+ goals in 4 of them.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability, and Cardiff's defense has been vulnerable, making BTTS likely.

• Derby County scored in 12 of their last 15 matches.
• Cardiff City conceded in 10 of their last 15 matches.
• Cardiff City scored in 13 of their last 15 matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to score in the first half, making at least one first-half goal probable.

• Derby County averaged 0.9 first-half goals in their last 15 matches.
• Cardiff City averaged 1.1 first-half goals in their last 15 matches.
• Derby County led at half-time in 43% of their last 15 matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Cardiff's high corner count could push the total over 9.5, but Derby's low numbers make it a coin flip.

• Cardiff City averaged 8.4 corners per game in their last 15 matches.
• Derby County averaged 4.2 corners per game in their last 15 matches.
• Cardiff City's last 5 matches averaged 9.2 total corners.