Draw
Market 49% · BetBugs 70%
Both teams have drawn at half-time in 60% of their recent matches, and the last two H2H first halves were goalless, making a stalemate highly probable.
La LigaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
A tight, low-scoring opener is expected between Espanyol and Levante, with strong value on Under 0.5 First Half Goals (+27-point edge) and Half-Time Draw (+21 points).
The Over 4.5 Cards market also offers a solid +17.4-point edge, while full-time outcomes are efficiently priced with no clear value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Market 49% · BetBugs 70%
Both teams have drawn at half-time in 60% of their recent matches, and the last two H2H first halves were goalless, making a stalemate highly probable.
Market 38% · BetBugs 65%
Both teams have low first-half scoring rates and H2H psychology shows goalless first halves, making a 0-0 at the break probable.
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams average around 5 corners per match, and recent H2H had 8 corners, suggesting a total under 9.5 is likely.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 31% leaves no cushion vs our 40% estimate; the price already reflects the draw bias and offers no value.
In 4 recent matches where Under 2.5 goals was projected for Espanyol, the prediction was fulfilled 2 times. The average estimated probability was 63%, with an expected 2.5 fulfilled predictions, so actual fulfilment was slightly below expectation. Notably, the two missed predictions occurred away from home, where Espanyol has fulfilled only 1 of 3 such projections.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0 |
| 8 | Levante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0 |

