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Predictions graded

Dasha Plekhanova #779Canada2Demi Tran #636Netherlands0

Sets 6-3 · 6-1Mon 26 Oct 2026, 18:25 Predictions gradedQ1Clay

Predictions0–10%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageDemi Tran · 143 places

Dasha Plekhanova

Canada

Listed at No. 779, with clay as her preferred surface.

Current ranking: #779
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: —
Height: —

Demi Tran

Netherlands

Listed at No. 636, with clay as her preferred surface.

Current ranking: #636
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: —
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:42 · Europe/Bucharest

Two players outside the top 600 meet in a clay qualifying opener with almost no shared history: Tran holds the only clay sample, Plekhanova the better recent win-loss count.

Tran, ranked 636 to 779, is the likelier winner, though that read is low confidence given four straight-set clay defeats. No quoted price was part of the reviewed markets, so nothing here justifies a bet.

Context

Tran is the only player in this match with clay matches in the supplied record.
The six-match window is small and more than six weeks old, but it is the only clay evidence either player brings. Two wins came in straight sets and two of the six matches went to a tiebreak, at 20.2 games per match on average. It supports Tran as the more proven clay competitor here while leaving a 2-4 record clearly imperfect.
- Six completed best-of-3 clay matches, 20 August to 9 September 2026: 2 wins, 4 losses.
- Scorelines in that sample: four 0-2 defeats, two 2-0 wins.
- Average 20.2 total games per match; two matches with a tiebreak.
The gap is the notable part: the supplied record has no completed match for her after 25 July, so any read on her present clay level is guesswork. Wong, ranked 627 that day, took the second set in a tiebreak after a one-sided opener. It leaves her current form unknown rather than poor, which is why the ranking gap alone does not settle this.
- 25 July 2026: lost 2-6, 6-7 to Hong Yi Cody Wong, ranked 627.
- This is the most recent match in Plekhanova's supplied recent list.
It is the only 6-0 6-0 in her supplied record and shows she can close a match quickly once the level drops. The result is more than four months old and came against an opponent without a listed ranking, so it sits as background rather than proof of clay form. It does at least mark her as capable of the kind of short, dominant match that a qualifying draw rewards.
- 10 June 2026: won 6-0, 6-0 against Aryn Walker (no ranking listed).
- 12 games won, none lost in that match.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Tran has the only clay evidence and a slightly higher ranking, while Plekhanova has no clay sample and has been inactive for about three months.
- Tran is 2-4 on clay in six completed best-of-3 matches, with four straight-set defeats.
- Plekhanova has no completed clay matches in the supplied current-surface sample and her latest listed match was in July 2026.
- Tran is ranked 636, while Plekhanova is ranked 779.
- Tran's clay matches averaged 20.2 total games, indicating some competitiveness despite the losing record.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDemi TranEstimated chance60%

Dasha Plekhanova

7W 8L

6-2 7-6(1)#627Hong Yi Cody Wong

6-1 6-4#368Jia-Jing Lu

6-1 6-1—Kaya Moe

4-6 6-4 6-4#313Lizette Cabrera

3-0 ret.#378Sahaja Yamalapalli

6-0 6-0—Aryn Walker

6-0 4-6 7-6(2)#716Mayu Crossley

6-4 6-0#806Ava Hrastar

3-6 6-3 6-4—Abigail Haile

7-6(5) 6-0—Sophie Suh

6-7(8) 6-1 6-4#675Anne Christine Lutkemeyer

6-0 6-2—Armira Kockinis

6-2 6-3—Anya Arora

4-2 ret.#186Kayla Cross

7-5 6-3#888Hiroko Kuwata

Demi Tran

6W 9L

6-3 6-0#726Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi

3-6 6-4 6-3#732Eleejah Inisan

6-3 6-1#533Kayo Nishimura

6-4 6-2—Tereza Krejcova

6-4 6-3#327Tessa Johanna Brockmann

6-1 6-3#172Anna Siskova

5-7 6-2 2-0 ret.#711Sachia Vickery

6-4 7-6(4)—Kim Chiarello

6-1 6-3#1047Ashmitha Easwaramurthi

6-1 6-2#782Unknown Player

6-1 7-6(1)—Charlotte Cora--Bruneton

6-4 7-5#370Loes Ebeling Koning

7-6(6) 6-2—Manoly Rengeard

6-4 7-5#895Sina Herrmann

7-5 6-3#780Lisa Claeys

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

DPDasha PlekhanovaPlekhanova

Last 15

5–4

9 core stats · 0 even

Demi TranTranDT

Dasha Plekhanova carries the stronger recent form — Demi Tran's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–3

1st Serve In56.3%+19.5pp75.8%

1st Serve Won63.3%+7.6pp55.7%

2nd Serve Won43.4%+1.2pp44.6%

Aces / Match3.7+3.20.5

Double Faults / Match5.52.5 fewer3.0

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won48.9%+5.4pp43.5%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted56.4%+15.6pp40.8%

Break Pts Saved48.6%+4.0pp52.6%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won51.8%+3.6pp48.2%

Serve · 2–3

56.3%1st Serve In+19.5pp75.8%

63.3%1st Serve Won+7.6pp55.7%

43.4%2nd Serve Won+1.2pp44.6%

3.7Aces / Match+3.20.5

5.5Double Faults / Match2.5 fewer3.0

Return · 1–0

48.9%Return Pts Won+5.4pp43.5%

Pressure · 1–1

56.4%Break Pts Converted+15.6pp40.8%

48.6%Break Pts Saved+4.0pp52.6%

Points · 1–0

51.8%Total Pts Won+3.6pp48.2%