South KoreaSeoul - South KoreaFinished

Predictions graded

Min Ho KoSouth Korea0Beibit Zhukayev #526Kazakhstan2

Sets 4-6 · 4-6Sun 25 Oct 2026, 05:00 Predictions gradedQ1Hard

Predictions6–367%

Player Profiles

Min Ho Ko

South Korea

Ko has no singles ranking listed for this matchup. The available structured profile identifies hard as his preferred surface.

Current ranking: —
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: —
Height: —

Beibit Zhukayev

Kazakhstan

ATP's Kazakhstan rankings listing showed Zhukayev aged 25 and ranked No. 316 in the latest indexed update. Reliable public sources in these searches did not confirm a career-high ranking or preferred surface.

Current ranking: #526
Peak ranking: —
Current age: 25
Preferred surface: Grass
Hand: Right handed
Height: 198 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Oct 2026, 00:34 · Europe/Bucharest

A big-serving 526-ranked Zhukayev meets a Ko without a listed ranking in Seoul qualifying, with Zhukayev's four-match losing run pulling the other way.

His first serve (73.1% of points won, 9.5 aces a match across 15 tracked matches) makes him the likelier winner, with straight sets and under 20.5 games as the low-confidence leans. No price was supplied for review, so there is nothing here to back or oppose on value.

Context

Zhukayev's serve remains his weapon, but results since August have not followed it.
The run stretches from 11 August to 17 October and includes straight-set defeats to Ilya Ivashka (No. 221) and Yaroslav Demin (No. 614), not only to higher-ranked opposition. It is a reason to treat his ranking edge as unproven form rather than settled quality. Ko has gaps of his own, so this is a caution rather than a verdict.
- 17 Oct 2026: lost 1-6, 5-7 to Adam Walton (No. 97)
- 11 Oct 2026: lost 0-6, 4-6 to Ilya Ivashka (No. 221)
- 5 Oct 2026: lost 4-6, 4-6 to Yaroslav Demin (No. 614)
- Last win: 11 Aug 2026, 6-3, 6-4 over Amir Omarkhanov (No. 618)
His service numbers are the most reliable part of his game heading into Seoul.
Those 15 matches cover 654 first-serve points and 1,064 service points, so the rate is not a one-week artefact. The counterweight is a 46.1% second-serve points-won rate, which leaves him exposed whenever the first ball misses. Ko's record carries no serve data for comparison, so the size of the gap stays unknown.
- 9.5 aces per match over 15 tracked matches (143 aces)
- 73.1% first-serve points won (478 of 654)
- 61.5% first serves in (654 of 1,064)
- 46.1% second-serve points won (189 of 410)
Short, one-sided sets have been the pattern in Ko's hard-court results.
Five of those 11 matches ended in 0-2 defeats and four in 2-0 wins, so the brief match length cuts both ways rather than pointing one direction. First sets have been his weaker end at 4-7, while second sets sit at 6-5. The sample runs from 18 November 2025 to 4 August 2026, so the pattern is descriptive rather than predictive.
- 11 hard-court matches tracked, 18 Nov 2025 to 4 Aug 2026
- Average 18.9 total games and 2.18 sets per match
- No tiebreaks in 11 matches
- Scorelines: five 0-2 losses, four 2-0 wins, one 1-2 loss, one 2-1 win
His return games have produced chances that have not been taken often enough.
A 33.3% conversion rate matters in a qualifying match where return opportunities may be scarce. Saving 65.4% of break points shows he defends well when behind in service games, which offsets some of that waste. Both rates come from a 15-match sample, so they are indicative rather than stable.
- 33.3% break points converted (27 of 81) over 15 tracked matches
- 65.4% break points saved (68 of 104) over the same 15 matches
- 46.1% second-serve points won (189 of 410)

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Zhukayev's ranking and serve power give him a narrow edge despite poor recent form.
- Zhukayev is ranked 526 and averages 9 aces per hard-court match.
- He wins 73.6% of first-serve points on hard.
- He has lost four straight completed matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBeibit ZhukayevEstimated chance55%

Games1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Min Ho Ko's low second-set game totals make under 9.5 more likely.
- Min Ho Ko's second sets average 8.09 total games.
- Zhukayev's second sets average 10.00 total games.
- Min Ho Ko has no second-set tiebreaks in the sample.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostUnder 9.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Most of their completed hard-court matches are straight-set and low-game, making under slightly more likely.
- Min Ho Ko's hard-court matches average 18.9 total games.
- Zhukayev's hard-court matches average 22.2 total games.
- Only 5 of their combined 22 set-score samples went to three sets.
BetBugs · Total GameswonUnder 20.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
First sets often end 6-4 or 6-3, keeping under 9.5 slightly more likely.
- Min Ho Ko's first sets average 9.18 total games.
- Zhukayev's first sets average 9.36 total games.
- Zhukayev loses 5.55 games per first set on hard.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostUnder 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Straight-set results dominate their hard-court samples.
- Min Ho Ko's hard-court set average is 2.18.
- Zhukayev's hard-court set average is 2.27.
- Recent samples show 2 three-set matches in 12 combined.
BetBugs · Total SetswonUnder 2.5Estimated chance77%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Zhukayev's stronger serve gives him a narrow first-set edge despite a worse set1 record.
- Zhukayev is 3-8 in first sets on hard.
- He has two first-set tiebreaks in 11 hard-court matches.
- Min Ho Ko is 4-7 in first sets.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonBeibit ZhukayevEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Min Ho Ko's second-set game differential is better, giving him a slight edge.
- Min Ho Ko is 6-5 in second sets on hard.
- His second-set games are 4.36 won and 3.73 lost.
- Zhukayev is 6-5 in second sets with 5.00 games won and lost.
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerlostMin Ho KoEstimated chance51%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Most of their completed hard-court matches avoid tiebreaks.
- Min Ho Ko has zero tiebreak matches in 11 hard-court matches.
- Zhukayev has three tiebreak matches in 11 hard-court matches.
- Their combined tiebreak rate is 3/22.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchwonNoEstimated chance75%

Min Ho Ko

7W 6L

6-4 6-1#898Evgeny Philippov

6-2 ret.—Erasyl Bakhtiyar

6-3 6-2#857Ofek Shimanov

6-2 2-6 10-7—Sion Ji

7-5 6-0—Geon Hyeok Jeon

6-3 6-3—Hyung Tak Oh

6-3 6-2#618Pietro Orlando Fellin

6-1 6-3—Yuki Ikeda

6-1 6-0—Ju Hun Choo

6-4 6-4#619Sanhui Shin

6-1 6-3—Ilya Maltsev

7-5 1-6 6-3—Junhyun Lee

3-6 6-4 6-3#1796Seongbin Sim

Beibit Zhukayev

6W 9L

6-1 7-5#97Adam Walton

6-0 6-4#221Ilya Ivashka

6-4 6-4#614Yaroslav Demin

6-3 6-4#311Mert Alkaya

6-3 6-4#618Amir Omarkhanov

7-6(7) 6-7(4) 6-2#727Yusuke Takahashi

6-2 6-1#233Liam Broady

7-6(7) 6-4#480Hiroki Moriya

6-3 6-2#427Masamichi Imamura

6-3 4-6 7-6(4)#109Sho Shimabukuro

4-6 6-4 6-4#753Uisung Park

4-6 6-3 6-4#73James Duckworth

7-5 7-6(5)#530Corentin Denolly

6-1 6-4—Alejandro Hayen

6-2 6-3#73James Duckworth

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

MKMin Ho KoKo

Last 15 · 13 vs 15

5–3

9 core stats · 1 even

Beibit ZhukayevZhukayevBZ

Min Ho Ko carries the stronger recent form — Beibit Zhukayev's route runs through serve.

Serve · 3–2

1st Serve In11/13 · 15/1563.4%+1.9pp61.5%

1st Serve Won11/13 · 15/1557.0%+16.1pp73.1%

2nd Serve Won11/13 · 15/1550.8%+4.7pp46.1%

Aces / Match11/13 · 15/150.4+9.19.5

Double Faults / Match11/13 · 15/151.81.7 fewer3.5

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won11/13 · 15/1542.9%+8.6pp34.3%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted11/13 · 15/1547.2%+13.9pp33.3%

Break Pts Saved11/13 · 15/1551.9%+13.5pp65.4%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won11/13 · 15/1548.9%—48.7%

Serve · 3–2

63.4%1st Serve In11/13 · 15/15+1.9pp61.5%

57.0%1st Serve Won11/13 · 15/15+16.1pp73.1%

50.8%2nd Serve Won11/13 · 15/15+4.7pp46.1%

0.4Aces / Match11/13 · 15/15+9.19.5

1.8Double Faults / Match11/13 · 15/151.7 fewer3.5

Return · 1–0

42.9%Return Pts Won11/13 · 15/15+8.6pp34.3%

Pressure · 1–1

47.2%Break Pts Converted11/13 · 15/15+13.9pp33.3%

51.9%Break Pts Saved11/13 · 15/15+13.5pp65.4%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

48.9%Total Pts Won11/13 · 15/15—48.7%