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Predictions graded

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #189France2Clement Tabur #160France0

Sets 7-6 · 6-3Wed 14 Oct 2026, 14:17 Predictions gradedSecond RoundI.hard

Predictions8–189%

Edges4–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageClement Tabur · 29 places

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

France

Reached a career-high No. 193 on 17 November 2025. Profile listings identify hard courts as his preferred surface.

Current ranking: #189
Peak ranking: #193 · 2025
Current age: 23
Preferred surface: I.hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 191 cm

Clement Tabur

France

Reliable current profile detail beyond the supplied ranking and playing style was limited. Use structured recent-form and hard-court data as the main context.

Current ranking: #160
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 173 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Oct 2026, 22:40 · Europe/Bucharest

The second round at Roanne is a rematch: Gueymard Wayenburg beat Tabur 2-6 6-3 6-4 in Mouilleron-le-Captif 12 days ago, and Tabur, ranked 29 places higher and seeded seventh, took the opening set that day.

Gueymard Wayenburg's 12-3 hard-court run and his straight-set first-round win make him the likelier winner. No quoted price is worthwhile: 1.53 for the match win, 1.62 and 1.60 in the set markets and 2.40 for a 2-0 win all offer no clear advantage.

Context

These two played 12 days before this meeting on the same French indoor hard swing, and Gueymard Wayenburg won it from a set down. That recent result is a firmer reference than a career head-to-head tally because both are in comparable form and conditions. It matters because it shows Gueymard Wayenburg can take a match off Tabur without dominating: he lost the opening set 6-2 and still closed it out. The caveat is that a single qualifying-week quarter-final is a small sample, and Tabur has since won a three-set match at Roanne.
- Open de Vendée (Mouilleron-le-Captif) quarter-final, : Gueymard Wayenburg d. Tabur 2-6 6-3 6-4
- Gueymard Wayenburg advanced to the last four at Mouilleron-le-Captif
- Tabur, the No. 7 seed at Roanne, reached this second round by beating Henry Bernet
ConfirmedSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 22:38 · Europe/Bucharest
The most recent results show Gueymard Wayenburg arriving at Roanne on his best run: a title, then a final, in consecutive weeks on French indoor hard. That directly qualifies any reading of the ranking gap to Tabur, who is 29 places higher. It also gives context to his 2-6 6-3 6-4 win over Tabur in their recent meeting, since he was already in the middle of that run. The limitation is the Mouilleron-le-Captif final, where Clement Chidekh beat him 6-2 6-0, so the level has dropped sharply when an opponent takes control early.
- Rennes Challenger 100 final, : Gueymard Wayenburg d. Harold Mayot 4-6 6-3 7-5
- Second ATP Challenger title of his career
- Mouilleron-le-Captif final, : Clement Chidekh d. Gueymard Wayenburg 6-2 6-0
- Gueymard Wayenburg reached consecutive ATP Challenger finals
ConfirmedSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 22:38 · Europe/Bucharest
Tabur finished his opening match and Gueymard Wayenburg, and Tabur needed three sets where his opponent needed two. That is the one asymmetric scheduling fact around this fixture: less recovery time and more time already spent on court for the seventh seed. Indoors, where long matches accumulate fatigue quickly, it can affect the closing stages if this goes deep. It is not decisive: Tabur's three-set win also gave him match rhythm and proved he could win a deciding set at this event, while Gueymard Wayenburg has played more competitive tennis over the past month.
- Roanne first round, : Gueymard Wayenburg d. Liam Broady 6-4 6-4
- Roanne first round, : Tabur d. Henry Bernet 7-6(5) 3-6 6-3
- Tabur is the No. 7 seed at Roanne
ConfirmedSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 22:38 · Europe/Bucharest
Gueymard Wayenburg, ranked No. 189, is the lower-ranked player in this second round but owns the stronger hard-court results in the tracked window.
Nine 2-0 wins, three 2-1 wins and two 1-2 losses make straight sets the most common shape of his matches, and only two of the 15 went to a tiebreak. That matters against an opponent who has been extending matches, because it limits how many games Tabur gets to build rhythm. The sample is 15 matches, and five of them still needed a deciding set, so a quick finish is common rather than certain.
- 15 hard-court matches tracked from 1 September to 12 October 2026
- Scorelines: nine 2-0 wins, three 2-1 wins, two 1-2 losses and one 0-2 loss
- Average 21.5 total games per match, with two of the 15 matches containing a tiebreak

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.53
The read
Gueymard Wayenburg has the better hard-court form and won their recent meeting, while Tabur has lost more than he has won on this surface.
- Hard-court last 15: 12-3, sets won 74.3%, games won 56.8%
- Beat Tabur 2-6 6-3 6-4 in their 2 Oct meeting
- Tabur 3-4 on this surface over his last 7, 7-8 overall
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSascha Gueymard WayenburgEstimated chance67%

Games3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Tabur's first sets often go long with tiebreaks, which can lift the game count.
- Home first sets average 9.1 total games
- Away first sets average 11.0 total games
- Away 4 tiebreaks in 7 first sets
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Gueymard Wayenburg wins comfortably in straight sets often enough to keep the total down.
- Home won 2-0 in 9 of hard-court last 15
- Home hard-court average 21.5 total games
- Away 1-2/2-1 in 5 of last 7
BetBugs · Total GameswonUnder 24.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The favorite's second sets have stayed short on this surface, averaging just over nine games.
- Home second sets average 9.1 total games
- Home second sets 12-3 on hard
- Away only 1 tiebreak in 7 second sets
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameswonUnder 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60
The read
Gueymard Wayenburg has been dominant in second sets, winning 12 of 15 on this surface.
- Home second sets on hard: 12-3
- Away second sets on hard: 3-4
- Home sets won 74.3% over last 15
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerwonSascha Gueymard WayenburgEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Gueymard Wayenburg has won the opening set in most of his recent hard-court matches.
- Home first sets on hard: 11-4
- Away first sets on hard: 4-3
- Home won 6-4 6-4 in the first round
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonSascha Gueymard WayenburgEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The favorite's straight-set habit and recent win over Tabur point to a two-set finish.
- Home won 2-0 in 9 of hard-court last 15
- Away scorelines 2-0 or 0-2 in 2 of 7
- Home games won 56.8% on this surface
BetBugs · Total SetswonUnder 2.5Estimated chance53%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The favorite's quick straight-set wins make a tiebreak-free match more likely.
- Home only 2 of 15 hard matches had a tiebreak
- Home wins 2-0 in 9 of 15
- Away 1 tiebreak in 7 second sets
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The two players' recent ace rates together fall just short of this line.
- Home 8.5 aces per match
- Away 4.5 aces per match
- Combined recent average around 13
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableUnder 13.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players double-fault regularly, and the combined recent rate sits above the line.
- Home 2.2 double faults per match on hard
- Away 2.7 double faults per match on hard
- Combined recent average near 4.9
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance53%

Previous match context available

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

12W 3L

6-4 6-4#213Liam Broady

6-2 6-0#146Clement Chidekh

6-4 6-2#176Joel Schwaerzler

2-6 6-3 6-4#160Clement Tabur

6-1 6-4#168Gauthier Onclin

6-4 7-5#296Pierre-Hugues Herbert

4-6 6-3 7-5#186Harold Mayot

4-6 7-6(8) 6-3#72Titouan Droguet

6-0 6-3#171Francesco Maestrelli

6-4 6-4#305Ugo Blanchet

6-4 6-3#640Maxime Janvier

6-7(3) 6-3 6-4#149Mark Lajal

6-0 6-1#789Mae Malige

3-6 6-2 6-2#282Michele Ribecai

6-4 6-1#522Sergio Callejon Hernando

Clement Tabur

7W 8L

7-6(5) 3-6 6-3#371Henry Bernet

2-6 6-3 6-4#189Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

6-1 6-4#328Thomas Faurel

7-6(4) 6-7(5) 6-3#272Matteo Martineau

7-6(6) 4-6 6-3#273Murphy Cassone

7-6(5) 1-6 6-4#186Harold Mayot

6-4 7-5#211Braden Shick

4-6 6-4 6-4#246Henri Squire

7-5 6-3#898Orlando Luz

1-6 7-6(5) 6-4#199Edas Butvilas

6-7(9) 7-6(5) 7-5#33Arthur Rinderknech

4-6 7-5 6-4#140Jurij Rodionov

6-4 7-6(3)#275Marc-Andrea Huesler

6-3 6-4#1046Hendrik Jebens

6-1 3-6 6-4#190Diego Dedura

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

SWSascha Gueymard WayenburgWayenburg

Last 15

6–1

9 core stats · 2 even

Clement TaburTaburCT

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg carries the stronger recent form — Clement Tabur's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–1 · 2 even

1st Serve In61.6%—61.1%

1st Serve Won76.6%+6.4pp70.2%

2nd Serve Won50.5%+5.6pp56.1%

Aces / Match8.5+4.04.5

Double Faults / Match2.2—2.0

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won38.9%+3.1pp35.8%

Pressure · 2–0

Break Pts Converted51.8%+17.3pp34.5%

Break Pts Saved66.2%+8.9pp57.3%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won53.1%+3.0pp50.1%

Serve · 2–1 · 2 even

61.6%1st Serve In—61.1%

76.6%1st Serve Won+6.4pp70.2%

50.5%2nd Serve Won+5.6pp56.1%

8.5Aces / Match+4.04.5

2.2Double Faults / Match—2.0

Return · 1–0

38.9%Return Pts Won+3.1pp35.8%

Pressure · 2–0

51.8%Break Pts Converted+17.3pp34.5%

66.2%Break Pts Saved+8.9pp57.3%

Points · 1–0

53.1%Total Pts Won+3.0pp50.1%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Clement Tabur

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 2-0

Result1 of 1 landed

Games3 of 3 landed

Sets3 of 3 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Clement Tabur

Stat Battle