Michael Zheng #94United States00 – 2Nicolas Mejia #119Colombia2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Zheng is the higher-ranked player, wins a slim majority of games and points on this surface, and has already beaten Mejia this year.

• Zheng is 10-5 on hard courts in this window, winning 53.6% of games and 51.6% of points
• Their only meeting was a four-set Zheng win at Wimbledon in July
• Mejia is 4-6 on hard courts in this window and has lost four of his last six completed matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.90

The read

Mejia's opening sets have regularly gone past ten games and Zheng's have sat right at the mark.

• Zheng's opening sets average 9.83 games, Mejia's average 11.2
• Zheng has played four first-set tiebreaks in 12 hard-court matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.40

The read

Both players' recent matches have run long, and their Wimbledon meeting needed four sets with two tiebreaks.

• Zheng's hard-court matches average 23.1 games and Mejia's average 24.8
• Six of Zheng's 12 hard-court matches contained a tiebreak

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Mejia's second sets have often ended quickly in either direction, pulling the total down.

• Mejia's second sets average 9.3 games, below the line
• Zheng's second sets average 9.67 games

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Zheng's second sets are the strongest part of his match while Mejia's have been his weakest.

• Zheng has won 7 of 12 second sets on hard courts, Mejia only 2 of 10
• Zheng's second-set games record is 5.42 won to 4.25 lost

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Zheng is the stronger player overall but first sets have been his weakest, so the lean is slight.

• Zheng has won 5 of 12 opening sets on hard courts, Mejia 3 of 10
• Zheng has averaged 4.67 first-set games, Mejia 5.2