Learner Tien #19United States11 – 2Hubert Hurkacz #72Poland2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Hurkacz is rarely beaten heavily and his serve keeps almost every scoreline close.

• Hurkacz has lost just 3 of his last 15 hard-court matches
• He has won 56.2% of games on this surface
• Tien has won 211 of 395 games in the same window

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.80

The read

Hurkacz's serve makes heavy defeats rare, and most of his matches stay within a couple of games either way.

• Hurkacz has lost 3 of his last 15 hard-court matches
• His recent hard-court best-of-three matches average 25.6 total games
• He has won 232 of 413 games in that window

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' recent first sets have sat around the nine-to-ten game mark, with Hurkacz's serve stretching them.

• Tien's first sets average 9.4 games in recent hard-court best-of-three play
• Hurkacz's first sets average 10.1 games
• Two of Hurkacz's last 13 first sets reached a tiebreak

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Hurkacz's serve produces long, tight sets that push the game count up even when Tien wins.

• Hurkacz's recent hard-court best-of-three matches average 25.6 total games
• Tien's equivalent figure is 20.8 games
• Six of Hurkacz's last 13 hard-court best-of-three matches featured a tiebreak

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Tien starts well in this format and Hurkacz may begin slowly after a final the previous day.

• Tien has won 6 of 10 first sets in recent hard-court best-of-three matches
• He averages 5.1 first-set games won against 4.3 lost
• Hurkacz has won 9 of 13 first sets in the same format

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Most of Tien's recent matches have been decided without a tiebreak, and short matches cut the chances further.

• Only 2 of Tien's last 10 hard-court best-of-three matches had a tiebreak
• Eight of those ten finished in straight sets
• Hurkacz's rate is 6 tiebreaks in 13 matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Their combined average sits just below the line and neither has been serving unusually badly.

• Tien averages 3.4 double faults per match over 13 tracked matches
• Hurkacz averages 3.6 over 15 matches
• Combined that is about seven per match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Hurkacz's serve alone accounts for nearly thirteen aces a match, so the two together sit right at the line.

• Hurkacz averages 12.9 aces per match on hard courts
• Tien averages 2.8 aces per match
• Combined that is about 15.7 per match