TürkiyeWTA AnkaraFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Fiona Crawley #258United States0Carole Monnet #215France2

Sets 1-6 · 6-7Tue 22 Sept 2026, 12:17 Predictions gradedFirst RoundHard

Predictions3–730%

Edges2–250%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageCarole Monnet · 43 places

Fiona Crawley

United States

Ranked No. 258 in the entry data for this match and the American player in the pairing, with age, handedness and height not recorded. All fifteen of the most recent tracked matches were on hard courts, where the record reads ten wins and five losses.

Current ranking: #258
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: —
Height: —

Carole Monnet

France

Ranked No. 215 in the entry data for this match and the French right-hander in the pairing, with age and height not recorded. Her fifteen most recent tracked matches are split across clay (seven), hard courts (six) and grass (two), for six wins and nine losses.

Current ranking: #215
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 21 Sep 2026, 11:41 · Europe/Bucharest

Monnet is the higher-ranked player at 215, but Crawley's 9-5 hard-court record since late July and 10 second-set wins in 14 matches make Crawley the more likely winner.

That leaves Crawley's 1.38 match price and 1.44 set prices asking more than her record supports, as does straight sets at 1.40. The prices that hold up are Monnet to win at 3.0, a three-set match at 2.6 and Monnet to take the first set at 2.6.

Context

Monnet's hard-court sample is six matches with one retirement excluded, so these are current but small numbers.
Her sets have rarely run away from her: she lost three matches in straight sets and won two in three, with three second-set tiebreaks among the six. Crawley's own hard-court matches average 22.5 games, so the pattern points to a match decided by small margins rather than a lopsided one.
- Six completed hard-court matches from 14 July to 14 September 2026, one retirement excluded.
- Monnet averages 24.2 total games per hard-court match; set 1 averages 10.2 games and set 2 averages 10.5.
- Four of the six matches featured at least one tiebreak, including three in the second set.
- Her hard-court scorelines: one 2-0 win, two 2-1 wins and three 0-2 losses.
The Siskova match is the most recent entry in Crawley's 14-match hard-court window, coming two days before this first round.
It shows she can be taken to a decider by a player ranked just inside the top 200, which is relevant against a Monnet side that has already gone three sets twice in six hard matches. The result itself says nothing about her condition for Ankara.
- 20 September 2026: lost 6-4, 2-6, 6-7 to Anna Siskova (196) on hard, a 31-game match.
- It is her latest completed match in the supplied record, two days before this fixture.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Crawley's larger hard-court sample and stronger second-set record give her a modest edge despite the ranking gap.
- Crawley is 9-5 on hard courts in her last 14 completed matches; Monnet is 3-3 on hard in her last 6.
- Crawley has won the second set in 10 of 14 hard-court matches, while Monnet has won it in 2 of 6.
- Crawley's recent hard wins include straight-set victories over Avdeeva (195), Bains (384) and Yamalapalli (349).
- Monnet ranks 215 to Crawley's 258, but Monnet's overall last-14 record is 6-8.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostFiona CrawleyEstimated chance56%

Games2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' first sets average above the line, with a combined average near 10.3 games.
- Crawley's first sets average 10.4 total games on hard courts.
- Monnet's first sets average 10.2 total games on hard courts.
- Crawley has three first-set tiebreaks in 14 hard matches.
- Monnet has one first-set tiebreak in 6 hard matches.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Monnet's longer second sets lift the combined average slightly above the line.
- Crawley's second sets average 9.2 total games on hard courts.
- Monnet's second sets average 10.5 total games on hard courts.
- Monnet has three second-set tiebreaks in 6 hard matches.
- Crawley has two second-set tiebreaks in 14 hard matches.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Monnet has kept recent hard-court matches close, and Crawley's margin is not consistently above three games.
- Monnet's four recent hard-court matches include two three-game losses and a six-game win.
- Crawley lost by three games to Anna Siskova in her most recent hard match.
- Monnet's hard-court set totals average 24.2 games, suggesting competitive matches.
- Crawley's average hard-court match total is 22.5 games.
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonCarole Monnet +2.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined hard-court averages sit just above the line, and recent matches often reached the mid-20s in games.
- Crawley's hard-court matches average 22.5 total games; Monnet's hard-court matches average 24.2.
- Their combined hard-court average is about 23.0 total games.
- Monnet's recent hard matches include totals of 34, 23, 23 and 20 games.
- Crawley's most recent hard match went to 31 games.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 22.5Estimated chance52%

Sets1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.44
The read
Crawley's second-set record is much stronger, with a clear games-won advantage.
- Crawley has won the second set in 10 of 14 hard-court matches.
- Monnet has won the second set in 2 of 6 hard-court matches.
- Crawley averages 5.3 second-set games won against 3.9 lost.
- Monnet averages 5.3 second-set games won against 5.2 lost.
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerlostFiona CrawleyEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Crawley's first-set win rate and game margin are both stronger than Monnet's.
- Crawley has won the first set in 8 of 14 hard-court matches.
- Monnet has won the first set in 2 of 6 hard-court matches.
- Crawley averages 5.4 first-set games won against 4.9 lost.
- Monnet averages 4.3 first-set games won against 5.8 lost.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostFiona CrawleyEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The majority of both players' hard-court matches finish in straight sets.
- Crawley has 7 straight-set wins and 3 straight-set losses in 14 hard matches.
- Monnet has 1 straight-set win and 3 straight-set losses in 6 hard matches.
- Combined, 14 of 20 hard-court matches ended in two sets.
- Both players average under 2.4 sets per match on hard courts.
BetBugs · Total SetswonUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The majority of both players' hard-court matches did not feature a tiebreak.
- Crawley has avoided tiebreaks in 8 of 14 hard-court matches.
- Monnet has avoided tiebreaks in 2 of 6 hard-court matches.
- Combined, 10 of 20 hard-court matches had no tiebreak.
- Crawley's straight-set wins often come with margins like 6-1 or 6-2.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostNoEstimated chance54%

Previous match context available

Fiona Crawley

10W 5L

4-6 6-2 7-6(3)#196Anna Siskova

6-3 2-0 ret.#346Manon Leonard

6-4 6-1#195Julia Avdeeva

7-6(4) 6-3#384Naiktha Bains

6-2 6-1#349Sahaja Yamalapalli

6-4 6-3#111Julia Grabher

6-4 6-3#552Ekaterina Ovcharenko

7-5 6-3#97Simona Waltert

6-4 6-4#109Anastasia Zakharova

6-1 7-6(2)#295Lizette Cabrera

6-3 6-3#284Ayana Akli

7-6(1) 6-3#371Eunhye Lee

6-7(6) 6-2 7-6(0)#855Lexington Reed

4-6 6-3 6-2#898Carolina Gomez

6-4 6-7(5) 6-1#287Yuki Naito

Carole Monnet

6W 9L

6-4 7-6(5)#169Sloane Stephens

7-6(6) 6-7(4) 6-2#238Katrina Scott

7-5 6-2#848Julia Garcia

6-4 7-6(4)#244Anouk Koevermans

7-6(4) 6-3#105Kaitlin Quevedo

7-6(1) 7-5#279Elena Ruxandra Bertea

6-1 6-3#351Miriam Bianca Bulgaru

6-3 3-1 ret.#386Jessica Pieri

6-0 6-2#38Barbora Krejcikova

4-6 6-2 7-6(10)#177Rebeka Masarova

6-2 6-4#165Tatiana Prozorova

6-3 6-1#82Xiyu Wang

7-5 7-6(5)#314Martina Trevisan

6-3 6-4#37Donna Vekic

1-6 6-2 6-1#145Leyre Romero Gormaz

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

FCFiona CrawleyCrawley

Last 15

6–2

9 core stats · 1 even

Carole MonnetMonnetCM

Fiona Crawley carries the stronger recent form — Carole Monnet's route runs through serve.

Serve · 3–2

1st Serve In59.7%+4.3pp64.0%

1st Serve Won60.6%+1.5pp59.1%

2nd Serve Won45.3%+9.7pp35.6%

Aces / Match0.9+0.31.2

Double Faults / Match3.53.0 fewer6.5

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won49.6%+3.6pp46.0%

Pressure · 1–0 · 1 even

Break Pts Converted49.1%—48.5%

Break Pts Saved55.6%+3.1pp52.5%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won52.0%+3.6pp48.4%

Serve · 3–2

59.7%1st Serve In+4.3pp64.0%

60.6%1st Serve Won+1.5pp59.1%

45.3%2nd Serve Won+9.7pp35.6%

0.9Aces / Match+0.31.2

3.5Double Faults / Match3.0 fewer6.5

Return · 1–0

49.6%Return Pts Won+3.6pp46.0%

Pressure · 1–0 · 1 even

49.1%Break Pts Converted—48.5%

55.6%Break Pts Saved+3.1pp52.5%

Points · 1–0

52.0%Total Pts Won+3.6pp48.4%

Fiona Crawley

Carole Monnet

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 2.5

Carole Monnet

Carole Monnet

Fiona Crawley

Result0 of 1 landed

Games2 of 4 landed

Sets1 of 3 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Fiona Crawley

Carole Monnet

Stat Battle