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Predictions graded

Kajsa Rinaldo Persson #252Sweden2Carla TomaiPortugal0

Sets 6-0 · 6-0Mon 21 Sept 2026, 14:42 Predictions gradedFirst RoundHard

Predictions9–0100%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

Sweden

Right-hander from Sweden, currently ranked No. 252. Twelve of her fifteen most recent tracked matches were played on clay.

Current ranking: #252
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Carla Tomai

Portugal

Portuguese player with no ranking listed, and no recorded handedness or height. Three wins across her fifteen most recent matches, two of them on indoor hard courts.

Current ranking: —
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: —
Height: —

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 21 Sep 2026, 10:43 · Europe/Bucharest

Carla Tomai has two wins in 14 recent matches and a 2-10 hard-court record, and she has lost 10 of 11 completed hard-court matches in straight sets; Kajsa Rinaldo Persson is the clear favourite to win without dropping a set.

The only reviewed price is Persson to win at 1.01, which demands near-certainty from a three-match hard-court sample and is not worth taking.

Context

Tomai arrives without a ranking in the record, so her level is read from results, and those results are almost entirely straight-set defeats.
The pattern matters here because a routine straight-sets win for Rinaldo Persson fits Tomai's recent hard-court profile far better than a long match does. It is a small sample over a long stretch, so it shows a direction rather than a fixed level.
- 11 completed hard-court best-of-three matches tracked from 14 October 2025 to 14 September 2026, with scorelines of 0-2 ten times and 2-0 once.
- First sets average 1.5 games won and 5.7 lost; second sets average 1.5 games won and 5.5 lost.
- Total games average 14.3 per match, with no tiebreaks recorded in the sample.
The world No. 252 has played little on hard courts lately, so her recent form is judged on a narrow window.
She has the stronger recent record overall, but this three-match sample means the gap to Tomai rests on far less hard-court evidence than the straight-sets forecasts imply. Her 6-3 7-5 win over Angelina Voloshchuk (353) is the clearest result in the window.
- Three completed hard-court matches tracked between 25 August and 16 September 2026, record 1-2, with one retired match excluded.
- First sets in that window: 1-2; second sets: 2-1; average 21.7 total games per match with no tiebreaks.
- Beat Angelina Voloshchuk (ranked 353) 6-3 7-5 on 15 September, then lost to Lisa Pigato (ranked 113) 2-6 6-2 4-6 on 16 September.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

1.01fair 1.11

BetBugs 90% · Market 99%

−9.0ppshort

Tomai's recent hard-court results are extremely weak, while Rinaldo Persson has a clear ranking and form advantage.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.01
The read
Tomai's recent hard-court results are extremely weak, while Rinaldo Persson has a clear ranking and form advantage.
- Tomai has 2 wins in 14 recent matches and 2 wins in 12 hard-court matches.
- Tomai has lost 10 of 11 hard-court matches in straight sets.
- Rinaldo Persson is ranked 252 and has won 7 of 14 recent matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonKajsa Rinaldo PerssonEstimated chance90%

Games3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tomai's very low first-set game totals make an under-9.5 first set more likely.
- Tomai's first sets average 7.3 total games on hard courts.
- Tomai has lost 10 of 11 first sets on hard courts.
- Rinaldo Persson's first sets average 9.0 total games.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonUnder 9.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tomai's low second-set game totals point toward an under-9.5 set.
- Tomai's second sets average 7.0 total games on hard courts.
- Tomai has won only 1.5 games per second set on hard courts.
- Rinaldo Persson's second sets average 9.7 total games.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameswonUnder 9.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Tomai's matches usually finish quickly, and a routine Rinaldo Persson win would likely stay under 18.5.
- Tomai's hard-court matches average 14.3 total games.
- Tomai has lost 10 of 11 hard-court matches 0-2.
- Rinaldo Persson's recent straight-set win totaled 21 games.
BetBugs · Total GameswonUnder 18.5Estimated chance64%

Sets4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tomai's first-set record is very poor, giving Rinaldo Persson a large advantage.
- Tomai has won 1 of 11 first sets on hard courts.
- Rinaldo Persson won the first set in one of three hard-court matches.
- Tomai's first sets average 1.5 games won to 5.7 lost.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonKajsa Rinaldo PerssonEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tomai's second-set record is very weak, so Rinaldo Persson is likely to win the second set if it is played.
- Tomai has won 1 of 11 second sets on hard courts.
- Rinaldo Persson won two of three second sets on hard courts.
- Tomai's second-set average is 1.5 games won and 5.5 lost.
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerwonKajsa Rinaldo PerssonEstimated chance87%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The evidence strongly favors a straight-set finish because Tomai almost never extends matches.
- Tomai has lost 10 of 11 hard-court matches 0-2.
- Tomai has played no three-set matches in her 11 hard-court matches.
- Rinaldo Persson's three hard-court matches include two straight-set results.
BetBugs · Total SetswonUnder 2.5Estimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
A straight-set Rinaldo Persson win is the most likely scoreline given Tomai's very low set win rate.
- Tomai has lost 10 of 11 hard-court matches 0-2.
- Tomai has won only 2 of 22 hard-court sets in that sample.
- Rinaldo Persson has one straight-set win in three hard-court matches.
BetBugs · Set BettingwonKajsa Rinaldo Persson 2-0Estimated chance78%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent hard-court sets have finished without tiebreaks.
- Tomai has no tiebreaks in 11 hard-court matches.
- Rinaldo Persson has no tiebreaks in three hard-court matches.
- Tomai has lost 10 of 11 hard-court matches in straight sets.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchwonNoEstimated chance88%

Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

7W 8L

6-2 2-6 6-4#113Lisa Pigato

6-3 7-5#353Angelina Voloshchuk

6-4 6-3#172Lola Radivojevic

5-7 7-5 5-2 ret.#273Eva Bennemann

7-5 6-2#542Ida Wobker

6-2 1-6 6-4#436Beatrise Zeltina

6-4 6-4#602Marta Lombardini

6-3 6-1#203Darya Astakhova

7-6(5) 3-6 6-3#90Kaitlin Quevedo

6-4 7-6(4)#145Dalma Galfi

6-2 4-6 6-3#107Fiona Ferro

6-1 6-3#148Elina Avanesyan

4-6 6-3 6-2#266Anna-Lena Friedsam

6-2 6-0#437Laura Mair

6-2 6-1#795Eszter Meri

Carla Tomai

3W 12L

6-0 6-0#126Jeline Vandromme

6-1 6-0#579Celia Cervino Ruiz

6-0 6-0#237Whitney Osuigwe

6-0 6-0#814Lauryn John-Baptiste

6-1 6-2#458Esther Adeshina

6-0 6-0—Aliesia Reva

6-1 6-2#212Mia Pohankova

6-2 6-3—Kristina Voznyak

6-2 6-1#598Indianna Spink

6-3 6-0—Teresa Franco Dias

7-6(3) 2-6 15-13—Mariana Cunha

6-3 6-3—Theodora Degelow

6-1 6-0#325Kathinka Von Deichmann

6-0 6-0#527Gina Marie Dittmann

0-6 7-5 1-2 ret.—Elena Giovanna Giessler

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

KPKajsa Rinaldo PerssonPersson

Last 15

8–1

9 core stats · 0 even

Carla TomaiTomaiCT

Kajsa Rinaldo Persson carries the stronger recent form — Carla Tomai's route runs through serve.

Serve · 4–1

1st Serve In15/15 · 10/1572.9%+13.7pp59.2%

1st Serve Won15/15 · 10/1557.8%+23.1pp34.7%

2nd Serve Won15/15 · 10/1545.7%+14.1pp31.6%

Aces / Match15/15 · 10/150.5+0.40.1

Double Faults / Match15/15 · 10/153.51.9 fewer1.6

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won15/15 · 10/1546.1%+15.5pp30.6%

Pressure · 2–0

Break Pts Converted15/15 · 10/1551.1%+17.8pp33.3%

Break Pts Saved15/15 · 10/1553.6%+19.5pp34.1%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won15/15 · 10/1550.3%+18.2pp32.1%

Serve · 4–1

72.9%1st Serve In15/15 · 10/15+13.7pp59.2%

57.8%1st Serve Won15/15 · 10/15+23.1pp34.7%

45.7%2nd Serve Won15/15 · 10/15+14.1pp31.6%

0.5Aces / Match15/15 · 10/15+0.40.1

3.5Double Faults / Match15/15 · 10/151.9 fewer1.6

Return · 1–0

46.1%Return Pts Won15/15 · 10/15+15.5pp30.6%

Pressure · 2–0

51.1%Break Pts Converted15/15 · 10/15+17.8pp33.3%

53.6%Break Pts Saved15/15 · 10/15+19.5pp34.1%

Points · 1–0

50.3%Total Pts Won15/15 · 10/15+18.2pp32.1%