ItalyBiella - ItalyFinished

Predictions graded

Oriol Roca Batalla #342Spain2Alejo Sanchez Quilez #395Spain0

Sets 6-2 · 6-2Tue 15 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions gradedFirst RoundClay

Predictions6–367%

Edges2–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageOriol Roca Batalla · 53 places

Oriol Roca Batalla

Spain

Spanish clay-court specialist with a career-high singles ranking of No. 150 in August 2024. His 2026 recorded match volume has been entirely on clay.

Current ranking: #342
Peak ranking: #150 · 2024
Current age: 33
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 175 cm

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Spain

Reached a career-high ATP singles ranking of No. 387 on 24 August 2026. No reliable public declaration of a preferred surface was found.

Current ranking: #395
Peak ranking: #387 · 2026
Current age: 21
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Sep 2026, 04:34 · Europe/Bucharest

Oriol Roca Batalla is favored over Alejo Sanchez Quilez due to superior clay-court experience and a 2-1 H2H lead, including two 2026 clay wins.

Roca Batalla's first-set strength and Sanchez Quilez's poor clay form support a straight-set victory. Best bet: Roca Batalla moneyline at 1.65 with a small edge.

Context

Roca Batalla, 346th, is a clay-court specialist with a career 62% win rate and 581 clay wins.
His recent clay results show he can beat players ranked above him, like Zdenek Kolar (175), but he has also lost to opponents ranked outside the top 800. This inconsistency makes his level hard to predict, though his overall points won (51.6%) suggests he remains competitive in most matches.
- Last 15 matches on clay: 7-8 record, 51.6% total points won.
- Wins over Zdenek Kolar (rank 175) and Enrico Dalla Valle (rank 333).
- Losses to Yanaki Milev (rank 866) and Niklas Guttau (rank 809).
Sanchez Quilez, 395th, has a stronger hard-court record this season (21-7) than on clay (17-13).
His last 15 matches include 13 on hard courts with a 10-3 record, but his two clay matches in that span were straight-set losses. This small clay sample suggests he may be less comfortable on this surface, though his overall form is strong.
- Last 15 matches: 10-5 overall, but 0-2 on clay.
- Clay losses to Orlando Luz (rank 887) and Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez (rank 799).
- Hard-court record in last 15: 10-3.
The two players have met three times, all on clay.
Roca Batalla won their meetings in June and May 2026 in straight sets and three sets respectively. Sanchez Quilez's only win came in March 2025. This recent head-to-head edge may give Roca Batalla confidence, though each match has been competitive.
- 2026-06-15: Roca Batalla won 6-3 6-3.
- 2026-05-09: Roca Batalla won 6-4 4-6 6-3.
- 2025-03-23: Sanchez Quilez won 7-6(2) 4-6 6-4.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65
The read
Oriol Roca Batalla's superior clay-court experience and recent H2H dominance on this surface give him the edge.
- H2H: Oriol Roca Batalla leads 2-1, winning both 2026 meetings on clay (6-3 6-3 in June, 6-4 4-6 6-3 in May).
- Oriol Roca Batalla last 15 on clay: 7-8 record, 52.3% games won, 41.1% return points won.
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez last 15 on clay: 0-2 record, 42.2% games won, 37.1% return points won (small sample).
- Oriol Roca Batalla career clay win percentage 62.1% vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez 59.1% overall.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonOriol Roca BatallaEstimated chance62%

Games0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Competitive clay match expected with both players capable of holding serve, leading to a higher total games count.
- Oriol Roca Batalla last 15 average 110.7 minutes per match.
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez last 15 average 102.5 minutes per match.
- H2H matches: 12, 17, and 19 total games (all over 21.5 except first).
- Both players have similar games won percentages around 52-54%.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
First sets between these players tend to be competitive, often exceeding 9.5 games.
- H2H first sets: 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 (all over 9.5 except 6-3).
- Oriol Roca Batalla first set average games in last 15: 9.8.
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez first set average games in last 15: 9.6.
- Both players have similar first set competitiveness.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second sets are likely to be competitive, with a fair chance of exceeding 9.5 games.
- H2H second sets: 6-3, 4-6, 4-6 (mixed).
- Oriol Roca Batalla second set average games in last 15: 9.4.
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez second set average games in last 15: 9.3.
- Both players have similar second set competitiveness.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance50%

Sets2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.67
The read
Oriol Roca Batalla's strong first-set record and H2H pattern support him taking the opener.
- Oriol Roca Batalla first set win conversion career 86%.
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez first set win conversion career 90%.
- Oriol Roca Batalla won first set in both 2026 H2H clay matches.
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez lost first set in both recent clay matches.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonOriol Roca BatallaEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have a tendency to finish matches in straight sets, especially on clay.
- Oriol Roca Batalla has 5 straight-set wins in last 15 matches.
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez has 8 straight-set wins in last 15 matches.
- H2H: 2 of 3 matches ended in straight sets.
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez lost both recent clay matches in straight sets.
BetBugs · Total SetswonUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Given the straight-set tendency and moderate tiebreak frequency, a tiebreak is less likely.
- Oriol Roca Batalla tiebreak win percentage 53% career.
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez tiebreak win percentage 63% career.
- H2H: only 1 tiebreak in 3 matches.
- Both players have moderate tiebreak rates in recent matches.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchwonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have relatively low double fault rates, suggesting under 3.5 is likely.
- Oriol Roca Batalla averages 1.7 double faults per match in last 15.
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez averages 1.5 double faults per match in last 15.
- Combined average double faults per match: 3.2.
- H2H: both players had 8 double faults in 3 matches (2.67 per match each).
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableUnder 3.5Estimated chance55%

Prediction history

Oriol Roca Batalla has been unreliable when projected to win

Oriol Roca Batalla has fulfilled 2 of 5 recent win projections. His average estimated probability was 70.2%, but he won only 40% of those matches. All three misses were losses, with no draws or wins.

Recent evidence for Oriol Roca Batalla5 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

30 Jun·Milan - Italy

#319Oriol Roca Batalla1-2#839Pierluigi Basile

BetBugsOriol Roca Batalla to win·78%

Missed

30 Jun 2026

Milan - Italy

#319Oriol Roca Batalla1-2#839Pierluigi Basile

Oriol Roca Batalla to win

78%probability

Pierluigi Basile won

Missed

29 Jun·Milan - Italy

#316Oriol Roca Batalla2-0#380Daniel Masur

BetBugsOriol Roca Batalla to win·72%

Matched

29 Jun 2026

Milan - Italy

#316Oriol Roca Batalla2-0#380Daniel Masur

Oriol Roca Batalla to win

72%probability

Oriol Roca Batalla won

Matched

23 Jun·Targu Mures - Romania

#316Oriol Roca Batalla0-2#190Francesco Passaro

BetBugsOriol Roca Batalla to win·65%

Missed

23 Jun 2026

Targu Mures - Romania

#316Oriol Roca Batalla0-2#190Francesco Passaro

Oriol Roca Batalla to win

65%probability

Francesco Passaro won

Missed

17 Jun·Parma - Italy

#234Chun Hsin Tseng2-0#320Oriol Roca Batalla

BetBugsOriol Roca Batalla to win·58%

Missed

17 Jun 2026

Parma - Italy

#234Chun Hsin Tseng2-0#320Oriol Roca Batalla

Oriol Roca Batalla to win

58%probability

Chun Hsin Tseng won

Missed

1 Jun·Perugia - Italy

#377Oriol Roca Batalla2-1#502Pietro Orlando Fellin

BetBugsOriol Roca Batalla to win·78%

Matched

1 Jun 2026

Perugia - Italy

#377Oriol Roca Batalla2-1#502Pietro Orlando Fellin

Oriol Roca Batalla to win

78%probability

Oriol Roca Batalla won

Matched

Head-to-Head

2-1 (3 meetings)

W6-3 6-3Oriol Roca Batalla#346vAlejo Sanchez Quilez#395Jun 15, 2026

W6-4 4-6 6-3Oriol Roca Batalla#346vAlejo Sanchez Quilez#395May 9, 2026

L7-6(2) 4-6 6-4Oriol Roca Batalla#346vAlejo Sanchez Quilez#395Mar 23, 2025

3 total meetings

Oriol Roca Batalla

7W 8L

4-6 6-4 6-1#55Jaume Antoni Munar Clar

6-3 6-0#508Alex Marti Pujolras

6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-0#603Iliyan Radulov

6-4 6-4#306Facundo Mena

7-6(2) 6-2#333Enrico Dalla Valle

6-1 6-1#175Zdenek Kolar

6-7(4) 7-5 7-5#313Radu Mihai Papoe

6-4 6-1#207Francesco Passaro

6-2 6-4#576Nikita Mashtakov

6-4 6-4#866Yanaki Milev

7-6(6) 6-3#809Niklas Guttau

6-4 6-0—Oliwier Sterniczuk

6-4 6-4#187Andrea Guerrieri

6-7(4) 6-3 6-1#562Pierluigi Basile

6-1 6-2#378Daniel Masur

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

10W 5L

7-6(4) 6-4#799Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez

6-2 6-3#152Mark Lajal

7-5 7-6(5)#258Maks Kasnikowski

7-5 6-4#465Felipe Meligeni Alves

6-4 6-4#491Izan Almazan Valiente

6-3 7-6(5)#729Aryan Shah

7-6(2) 6-2#894Andrea Colombo

7-6(0) 7-5#762Goncalo Marques

6-4 6-3#708Rafael Izquierdo Luque

6-4 7-6(6)#225Oliver Crawford

6-3 6-3#356Antoine Ghibaudo

6-4 7-6(4)#355Tiago Pereira

6-4 6-2#305Yanki Erel

6-3 6-4#474Pavel Lagutin

7-6(9) 6-3#887Orlando Luz

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

OBOriol Roca BatallaBatalla

Last 15

1–3

9 core stats · 5 even

Alejo Sanchez QuilezQuilezAQ

Alejo Sanchez Quilez carries the stronger recent form — Oriol Roca Batalla's route runs through serve.

Serve · 1–2 · 2 even

1st Serve In62.4%+2.3pp60.1%

1st Serve Won69.2%+1.7pp70.9%

2nd Serve Won50.7%+3.5pp54.2%

Aces / Match3.2—3.3

Double Faults / Match1.7—1.5

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

Return Pts Won41.1%—40.5%

Pressure · 0–1 · 1 even

Break Pts Converted45.9%—45.7%

Break Pts Saved55.2%+3.5pp58.7%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won51.6%—52.1%

Serve · 1–2 · 2 even

62.4%1st Serve In+2.3pp60.1%

69.2%1st Serve Won+1.7pp70.9%

50.7%2nd Serve Won+3.5pp54.2%

3.2Aces / Match—3.3

1.7Double Faults / Match—1.5

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

41.1%Return Pts Won—40.5%

Pressure · 0–1 · 1 even

45.9%Break Pts Converted—45.7%

55.2%Break Pts Saved+3.5pp58.7%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

51.6%Total Pts Won—52.1%