Federico Agustin Gomez #174Argentina22 – 1Daniel Milavsky #306United States1

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Despite Milavsky's edge, Gomez's competitive clay form and Milavsky's occasional three-setters suggest a moderately long match.

• Milavsky last 15 average match duration: 105.4 minutes; Gomez: 105.5 minutes
• Milavsky last 15 games won: 53%; Gomez: 50.4% overall, but 33.3% on hard
• Both players have similar average games per match around 22-23 in recent matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73

The read

Milavsky's superior hard-court form and first-set conversion rate make him the likely set 1 winner.

• Milavsky first-set win conversion career: 86%; Gomez career: 83%
• Milavsky last 15 hard: 61.1% sets won; Gomez last 15 hard: 0% sets won (1 match)
• Milavsky recent hard matches often start strong: won first set in 4 of last 5 wins

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined ace averages slightly exceed the line, and Milavsky's hard-court serving should push the total over.

• Milavsky averages 5.6 aces per match in last 15; Gomez averages 3.1
• Combined average aces per match: 8.7
• Milavsky's serve is a weapon on hard courts, and Gomez's first-serve percentage is low on hard (38.3% in one match)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both players average over 3 double faults per match, making the over a near coin flip.

• Gomez averages 3.5 double faults per match in last 15; Milavsky averages 3.3
• Combined average double faults: 6.8
• Gomez's hard-court double fault rate was 5 in his only recent hard match