Elsa Jacquemot #101France00 – 2Liudmila Samsonova #55Russia2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.15

The read

Samsonova's superior recent form, ranking, and comparable hard-court record give her a clear edge over Jacquemot.

• Samsonova last 15 overall record 9-6 (60%), Jacquemot 6-9 (40%)
• Samsonova last 15 hard record 6-4 (60%), Jacquemot 4-5 (44.4%)
• Samsonova ranking 47 vs Jacquemot 114
• Samsonova career hard win% 135/270 (50%), Jacquemot 47/94 (50%)

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Samsonova's matches tend to be longer and both players' serving inconsistencies suggest a competitive match with many games.

• Samsonova last 15 average match duration 131.6 minutes, Jacquemot 104.5
• Samsonova last 15 games won 52.6%, Jacquemot 46.6%
• Both players have double fault rates above 4.9 per match

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The first set is likely to be competitive, with both players capable of holding serve.

• Samsonova last 15 average games per set 202/39 = 5.18, Jacquemot 136/32 = 4.25
• Both players have close first sets in recent matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Samsonova's strong first-serve performance and high first-set conversion rate make her likely to take the opening set.

• Samsonova first set win conversion 84% career, Jacquemot 79%
• Samsonova last 15 first serve points won 72%, Jacquemot 62.9%
• Samsonova last 15 hard first serve points won 73.2%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Combined ace rates suggest a moderate total, but Samsonova's recent 5.0 aces per match pushes the over.

• Samsonova last 15 aces per match 5.0, Jacquemot 3.4
• Samsonova career aces 2192 in 597 matches (3.7 per match)
• Jacquemot career aces 1750 in 417 matches (4.2 per match)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have high double fault rates, especially on hard courts, making over 9.5 likely.

• Samsonova last 15 double faults per match 5.9, Jacquemot 4.9
• Samsonova last 15 hard double faults per match 6.4
• Jacquemot last 15 hard double faults per match 5.1