FranceRennes - FranceFinished

Predictions graded

Arthur Reymond #710France0Maxime Janvier #566France2

Sets 3-6 · 3-6Sun 13 Sept 2026, 11:50 Predictions gradedQ1I.hard

Predictions2–433%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageMaxime Janvier · 144 places

Arthur Reymond

France

French left-hander with a one-handed backhand. His ATP career-high singles ranking is No. 460, reached on 23 June 2025; no authoritative preferred-surface designation was found.

Current ranking: #710
Peak ranking: #460 · 2025
Current age: 27
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Left handed
Height: 180 cm

Maxime Janvier

France

Janvier, 29, is the right-hander in this matchup and reached a career-high No. 170 in September 2019. The reviewed profile material does not identify a preferred surface.

Current ranking: #566
Peak ranking: #170 · 2019
Current age: 29
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 196 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Sep 2026, 03:19 · Europe/Bucharest

Maxime Janvier is favored over Arthur Reymond based on superior recent form and return game, but the odds offer no value.

Expect a competitive match with potential for over 21.5 games and over 8.5 aces.

Context

Reymond, 710 in the world, is a left-hander with a one-handed backhand. He has won only 2 of his last 15 matches.
His recent form is poor, with a 13.3% win rate and low first serve percentage (53.5%). He has also struggled on return, winning only 30.8% of return points. This makes him vulnerable against Janvier, who has a stronger recent record.
- Reymond has lost 13 of his last 15 matches.
- His first serve percentage is 53.5% and return points won is 30.8% in that span.
Janvier, 572 in the world, is a right-hander with a two-handed backhand. He has won 6 of his last 15 matches.
Janvier's recent form is better than Reymond's, with a 40% win rate. He has a higher first serve percentage (61.9%) and return points won (37.9%). This gives him an edge in this matchup.
- Janvier has won 6 of his last 15 matches.
- His first serve percentage is 61.9% and return points won is 37.9% in that span.
The two players met once before, in 2019 on indoor hard.
Janvier won that match 6-2 6-1, showing a clear advantage. However, that was seven years ago and both players have changed since then, so it may not be a strong indicator.
- Janvier won their only previous meeting 6-2 6-1 in 2019.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Lean

Maxime Janvier

1.30fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

Janvier's superior recent form and return game outweigh Reymond's slightly better career win percentage, making Janvier the likely winner.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Janvier's superior recent form and return game outweigh Reymond's slightly better career win percentage, making Janvier the likely winner.
- Janvier last 15 overall record 6-9 (40%) vs Reymond 2-13 (13.3%)
- Janvier last 15 return points won 37.9% vs Reymond 30.8%
- Janvier last 15 total points won 49.5% vs Reymond 45.5%
- Janvier career win pct 49.3% vs Reymond 52.9%, but Reymond ranking 710 vs Janvier 572
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonMaxime JanvierEstimated chance62%

Games0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Janvier's matches tend to be longer and more competitive, suggesting a higher total games count.
- Janvier last 15 average duration 123.3 minutes vs Reymond 77.1 minutes
- Janvier last 15 games won 48.1% vs Reymond 42%
- Janvier last 15 sets won 46.2% vs Reymond 25%
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent set averages hover around 9.5 games, making over 9.5 a reasonable expectation.
- Janvier last 15 average games per set 9.5 (370 games / 39 sets)
- Reymond last 15 average games per set 9.4 (300 games / 32 sets)
- Both players have similar first serve points won percentages
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Janvier's slightly better recent break point conversion and comparable serve stats give him a modest edge in the opening set.
- Janvier first set win conversion 81% career vs Reymond 86%
- Janvier last 15 first serve points won 67.7% vs Reymond 67.5%
- Janvier last 15 break points converted 39.4% vs Reymond 35.7%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonMaxime JanvierEstimated chance58%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both players average over 4 aces per match, making over 8.5 total aces plausible.
- Janvier last 15 aces per match 4.2
- Reymond last 15 aces per match 4.5
- Combined average aces per match 8.7
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Janvier's high double fault rate combined with Reymond's moderate rate pushes the total over 6.5.
- Janvier last 15 double faults per match 4.6
- Reymond last 15 double faults per match 2.2
- Combined average double faults per match 6.8
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 6.5Estimated chance50%

Head-to-Head

0-1 (1 meetings)

L6-2 6-1Arthur Reymond#710vMaxime Janvier#572Oct 21, 2019

1 total meetings

Arthur Reymond

2W 13L

6-2 6-3#332Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

6-4 3-6 6-3#387Max Wiskandt

7-6(3) ret.#744Juan Sebastian Osorio

6-4 3-6 6-3#265Buvaysar Gadamauri

6-2 6-3#479Eero Vasa

7-5 7-6(3)#629Ramkumar Ramanathan

6-3 6-1#33Arthur Fery

6-4 6-4#369Norbert Gombos

6-2 6-1#1438Cleeve Harper

6-3 6-7(5) 6-4#447Viktor Durasovic

6-3 6-4#730Alexey Vatutin

7-5 4-6 6-2#765Maxence Bertimon

6-2 6-4#873David Pichler

6-2 6-3#227Henry Searle

4-1 ret.#634Theo Papamalamis

Maxime Janvier

6W 9L

2-6 6-3 7-5#595Yanis Ghazouani Durand

6-1 3-6 7-5#824Oskari Paldanius

5-1 ret.#712Thomas Fancutt

6-4 4-6 6-2#382Dimitar Kuzmanov

6-2 6-3#708Rafael Izquierdo Luque

6-4 3-6 7-5#728Daniele Rapagnetta

6-3 5-7 6-3#714Michael Vrbensky

4-6 6-4 6-2#570Lorenzo Angelini

6-0 6-1#382Dimitar Kuzmanov

7-5 7-6(4)#736Oskar Brostrom Poulsen

6-3 6-3—Giammarco Gandolfi

4-6 6-4 6-3#185Clement Chidekh

4-6 6-2 7-6(4)#275Ilia Simakin

7-6(8) 4-6 6-3#714Michael Vrbensky

6-1 3-6 6-3#897Kaito Uesugi

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

ARArthur ReymondReymond

Last 15

2–6

9 core stats · 1 even

Maxime JanvierJanvierMJ

Maxime Janvier carries the stronger recent form — Arthur Reymond's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

1st Serve In53.5%+8.4pp61.9%

1st Serve Won67.5%—67.7%

2nd Serve Won47.8%+1.7pp49.5%

Aces / Match4.5+0.34.2

Double Faults / Match2.22.4 fewer4.6

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won30.8%+7.1pp37.9%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted35.7%+3.7pp39.4%

Break Pts Saved57.9%+4.3pp62.2%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won45.5%+4.0pp49.5%

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

53.5%1st Serve In+8.4pp61.9%

67.5%1st Serve Won—67.7%

47.8%2nd Serve Won+1.7pp49.5%

4.5Aces / Match+0.34.2

2.2Double Faults / Match2.4 fewer4.6

Return · 0–1

30.8%Return Pts Won+7.1pp37.9%

Pressure · 0–2

35.7%Break Pts Converted+3.7pp39.4%

57.9%Break Pts Saved+4.3pp62.2%

Points · 0–1

45.5%Total Pts Won+4.0pp49.5%