Elsa Jacquemot #101France00 – 2Anna Blinkova #108Russia2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.44

The read

Blinkova's superior recent hard-court form and dominant H2H edge give her the advantage in this semifinal.

• Blinkova leads H2H 2-1, winning the most recent meeting 6-1 6-3 on clay in May 2025.
• Blinkova's last 15 hard-court record is 7-6 (53.8%), while Jacquemot is 4-4 (50%) on hard in the same window.
• Blinkova has won her last three matches in straight sets, dropping only 11 games total, while Jacquemot needed three sets in two of her last four wins.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Blinkova's strong first-set record and Jacquemot's tendency to start slowly favor Blinkova in the opening set.

• Blinkova has won the first set in 8 of her last 10 matches.
• Jacquemot has lost the first set in 3 of her last 5 matches, including both losses to top-100 opponents.
• Blinkova's first-set win rate on hard courts this season is 61.5% (8/13).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' ace rates on hard courts suggest the total aces will exceed 5.5.

• Jacquemot averages 4.1 aces per match on hard courts in her last 15 matches.
• Blinkova averages 2.6 aces per match on hard courts in her last 15 matches.
• Combined average aces per match is 6.7, above the 5.5 line.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both players' double fault rates on hard courts make over 8.5 total double faults likely.

• Jacquemot averages 5.1 double faults per match on hard courts.
• Blinkova averages 4.5 double faults per match on hard courts.
• Combined average double faults per match is 9.6, above the 8.5 line.