GermanyAugsburg - GermanyFinished

Predictions graded

Petr Brunclik #331Czechia0Daniel Masur #397Germany2

Sets 4-6 · 4-6Tue 25 Aug 2026, 12:10 Predictions gradedFirst RoundClay

Predictions3–350%

Edges1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantagePetr Brunclik · 66 places

Petr Brunclik

Czechia

Structured match data lists him at No. 331, left-handed with a two-handed backhand, and 188 cm. No reliable current public source established additional profile or availability context.

Current ranking: #331
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Left handed
Height: 188 cm

Daniel Masur

Germany

Masur reached a career-high singles ranking of No. 176 in March 2022. ITF lists hard courts as his preferred surface; current match data lists him at No. 397.

Current ranking: #397
Peak ranking: #176 · 2022
Current age: 31
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Aug 2026, 15:39 · Europe/Bucharest

Daniel Masur holds a structural edge over Petr Brunclik on clay due to superior serving and break-point conversion, but fatigue from a recent semi-final run could be a concern.

The best betting angle is Masur to win at odds of 3.20, with a model edge of 23.7 percentage points. The over 21.5 total games also offers value given both players' tendency for longer clay matches.

Context

Masur's recent results show singles matches on 18, 20, and 22 August, with the semi-final going three sets.
- The semi-final ended in a loss to Arthur Nagel, meaning Masur had to recover physically and mentally.
- Brunclik has no recent match load listed, giving him a freshness advantage.
Masur's clay first-serve points won is 77.8% vs Brunclik's 69.5% (last 15 matches, clay only).
- Masur's clay second-serve points won is 55.1% vs Brunclik's 50.1%.
- Masur's clay break-point conversion is 45.2% vs Brunclik's 35.2%.
- Brunclik's clay double-fault rate is 4.1 per match, which could give Masur more break chances.
Brunclik's clay record in the last 15 matches is 7-7 (50%).
- He beat Sumit Nagal (ranked 239) on 15 June and Vilius Gaubas (ranked 123) on 13 May.
- His recent losses include a retirement against Florian Broska on 17 June, but no current injury is reported.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 3.20
The read
Masur's superior clay serve and break-point efficiency in the recent window gives him a structural edge over Brunclik.
- Masur clay last-15 record 4-2 (66.7%), Brunclik clay last-15 record 7-7 (50%)
- Masur clay first-serve points won 77.8% vs Brunclik 69.5%
- Masur clay second-serve points won 55.1% vs Brunclik 50.1%
- Masur clay break-point conversion 45.2% vs Brunclik 35.2%
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDaniel MasurEstimated chance55%

Games1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent clay matches trend toward longer contests, supporting over 21.5 total games.
- Brunclik clay last-15 average 20.4 games per match
- Masur clay last-15 average 23.0 games per match
- Both players have 50%+ three-set matches in recent clay form
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent first-set game totals for both players on clay suggest a competitive opening set.
- Brunclik clay last-15 first-set average 9.6 games
- Masur clay last-15 first-set average 10.2 games
- Masur's last three clay matches all had first sets with 10+ games
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Masur's strong clay serving and recent first-set success support a slight edge in the opening set.
- Masur clay first-serve points won 77.8%
- Brunclik first-set win conversion career 90% but recent clay first-serve points won only 69.5%
- Masur won first set in 4 of last 6 clay matches
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonDaniel MasurEstimated chance52%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both players average around 4.6 aces per clay match, making over 8.5 total aces plausible.
- Brunclik clay last-15 aces per match 4.6
- Masur clay last-15 aces per match 4.6
- Combined average aces per match 9.2 on clay
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Brunclik's high double-fault rate on clay pushes the combined total near the over line.
- Brunclik clay last-15 double faults per match 4.1
- Masur clay last-15 double faults per match 1.4
- Combined average double faults per match 5.5
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance50%

Petr Brunclik

7W 8L

7-5 6-1#347Jan Kumstat

7-5 6-3#815Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou

6-4 6-4#490Lorenzo Carboni

6-4 6-4#239Sumit Nagal

6-2 6-4#886William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

6-4 1-0 ret.#293Florian Broska

6-4 5-4#239Sumit Nagal

3-6 6-3 6-2#191Vitaliy Sachko

6-4 7-6(5)#402Andrej Martin

7-6(2) 6-2#253Abedallah Shelbayh

1-6 7-6(3) 6-2#79Jaime Faria

3-6 6-4 6-3#123Vilius Gaubas

7-5 5-7 6-3#167Billy Harris

6-3 6-0#523Federico Arnaboldi

7-6(2) 3-6 7-6(4)#150Joel Schwaerzler

Daniel Masur

7W 8L

6-7(5) 6-3 6-3#404Arthur Nagel

7-6(7) 6-3#746Maximilian Marterer

7-6(8) 6-3—David Fix

6-4 6-3#844Calvin Mueller

6-1 6-2#351Oriol Roca Batalla

6-7(5) 6-3 6-1—Oskari Paldanius

6-1 6-4#241Jay Clarke

6-2 6-2#596Bruno Kuzuhara

6-2 6-4#661Joshua Sheehy

6-3 6-7(4) 6-3#273Petr Bar Biryukov

6-4 6-2#704Leo Vithoontien

7-6(5) 7-6(5)#120Bu Yunchaokete

6-3 6-2#311Matthew Dellavedova

6-2 6-0—Zhengyu Sun

6-2 7-6(5)#152Soon-Woo Kwon

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

PBPetr BrunclikBrunclik

Last 15

3–5

9 core stats · 1 even

Daniel MasurMasurDM

Daniel Masur carries the stronger recent form — Petr Brunclik's route runs through pressure.

Serve · 1–3 · 1 even

1st Serve In15/15 · 14/1560.8%+2.2pp58.6%

1st Serve Won15/15 · 14/1570.3%+4.9pp75.2%

2nd Serve Won15/15 · 14/1550.0%+2.3pp52.3%

Aces / Match15/15 · 14/155.3—5.5

Double Faults / Match15/15 · 14/154.01.9 fewer2.1

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won15/15 · 14/1537.8%+0.9pp36.9%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted15/15 · 14/1535.6%+8.5pp44.1%

Break Pts Saved15/15 · 14/1561.1%+4.8pp56.3%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won15/15 · 14/1549.8%+1.0pp50.8%

Serve · 1–3 · 1 even

60.8%1st Serve In15/15 · 14/15+2.2pp58.6%

70.3%1st Serve Won15/15 · 14/15+4.9pp75.2%

50.0%2nd Serve Won15/15 · 14/15+2.3pp52.3%

5.3Aces / Match15/15 · 14/15—5.5

4.0Double Faults / Match15/15 · 14/151.9 fewer2.1

Return · 1–0

37.8%Return Pts Won15/15 · 14/15+0.9pp36.9%

Pressure · 1–1

35.6%Break Pts Converted15/15 · 14/15+8.5pp44.1%

61.1%Break Pts Saved15/15 · 14/15+4.8pp56.3%

Points · 0–1

49.8%Total Pts Won15/15 · 14/15+1.0pp50.8%